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Ice Lab

Wed, Sep 30, 2026·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

New York Islanders 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 51% of the time.

TOR winsNYI wins

New York Islanders

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Matthew SchaeferD · #480000327:450.1254.0%0.0
Bo HorvatC · #14011+1422:310.1934.1%+8.4
Simon HolmstromRW · #920000020:170.1256.3%0.0
Adam PelechD · #30000019:510.0367.7%0.0
Kyle PalmieriC · #210000418:350.4639.7%0.0
Matias MaccelliLW · #630000117:390.1348.7%0.0
Tony DeAngeloD · #77000−1017:140.1156.7%0.0
Alexander RomanovD · #28000+1217:090.1256.4%0.0
Ryan PulockD · #60000016:270.0938.5%0.0
Calum RitchieC · #640000216:030.1077.7%0.0
Logan StanleyD · #80000015:060.0147.0%0.0
Brayden SchennC · #100000114:270.0941.9%0.0
Jean-Gabriel PageauC · #44000−1113:500.0040.2%0.0
Emil HeinemanLW · #511010113:260.2854.6%+8.4
Anthony DuclairLW · #110000412:170.4266.5%0.0
Victor EklundRW · #38000−1211:580.4158.1%0.0
Ondrej PalatLW · #810000210:060.0964.5%0.0
Casey CizikasC · #53000009:290.0072.2%0.0
Ilya Sorokin#30L26242.9232.52+0.557:56

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Chris TanevD · #80000020:390.0023.2%0.0
Darren RaddyshD · #43000−1420:360.1946.9%0.0
Jake McCabeD · #220000120:190.0241.2%0.0
Auston MatthewsC · #34000−1120:040.2776.8%0.0
Morgan RiellyD · #440110119:490.1042.9%+12.6
Kirill MarchenkoRW · #86000−1318:160.2666.5%0.0
William NylanderRW · #88000−1117:290.1611.1%0.0
John TavaresC · #91000−1116:580.1413.1%0.0
Troy StecherD · #28000+1016:050.0062.4%0.0
Nick PaulLW · #20011+1115:430.1661.0%+14.4
Gavin McKennaLW · #920000115:320.0615.5%0.0
Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95000+1215:300.1359.7%0.0
Jack RoslovicC · #960110214:530.4280.1%+12.6
Brandon DuhaimeLW · #240000214:390.0721.4%0.0
Easton CowanRW · #53112+1313:230.2756.7%+27.0
Teddy BluegerC · #730000012:320.0549.0%0.0
Colton SissonsC · #15101+1211:220.3971.3%+14.4
Bo GroulxC · #29000019:490.0463.9%0.0
Anthony Stolarz#41W27261.9632.77+1.858:22