Wed, Sep 30, 2026·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
New York Islanders 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 51% of the time.
40%
9%
9%
42%
TOR winsNYI wins
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27:45 | 0.12 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 22:31 | 0.19 | 34.1% | +8.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:17 | 0.12 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:51 | 0.03 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:35 | 0.46 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:39 | 0.13 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:14 | 0.11 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:09 | 0.12 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:27 | 0.09 | 38.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:03 | 0.10 | 77.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:06 | 0.01 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:27 | 0.09 | 41.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:50 | 0.00 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:26 | 0.28 | 54.6% | +8.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12:17 | 0.42 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:58 | 0.41 | 58.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:06 | 0.09 | 64.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:29 | 0.00 | 72.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 24 | 2 | .923 | 2.52 | +0.5 | 57:56 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:39 | 0.00 | 23.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:36 | 0.19 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:19 | 0.02 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:04 | 0.27 | 76.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:49 | 0.10 | 42.9% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:16 | 0.26 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:29 | 0.16 | 11.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:58 | 0.14 | 13.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:05 | 0.00 | 62.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:43 | 0.16 | 61.0% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:32 | 0.06 | 15.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:30 | 0.13 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:53 | 0.42 | 80.1% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:39 | 0.07 | 21.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 13:23 | 0.27 | 56.7% | +27.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:32 | 0.05 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:22 | 0.39 | 71.3% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:49 | 0.04 | 63.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 26 | 1 | .963 | 2.77 | +1.8 | 58:22 |