Thu, Oct 1, 2026·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Seattle Kraken 6, Calgary Flames 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 72% of the time.
21%
65%
CGY winsSEA wins
Seattle Kraken
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 24:11 | 0.21 | 76.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 20:42 | 0.02 | 75.3% | +9.4 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 20:37 | 0.13 | 64.3% | +30.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:00 | 0.09 | 69.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:48 | 0.02 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 17:54 | 0.30 | 50.9% | +15.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:52 | 1.07 | 76.9% | +15.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:59 | 0.24 | 69.9% | +2.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 16:58 | 0.07 | 43.3% | +0.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 16:49 | 0.11 | 48.9% | +9.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:17 | 0.39 | 56.3% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:05 | 0.47 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:55 | 0.37 | 58.5% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:28 | 0.02 | 30.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 14:28 | 0.01 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:58 | 0.17 | 31.0% | +9.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:31 | 0.24 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:58 | 0.00 | 44.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 24 | 1 | .960 | 2.47 | +1.5 | 59:30 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 21:18 | 0.45 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:07 | 0.01 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:55 | 0.13 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:14 | 0.00 | 35.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:10 | 0.01 | 35.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 17:47 | 0.08 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:14 | 0.00 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:11 | 0.16 | 46.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:07 | 0.30 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 16:01 | 0.19 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:32 | 0.23 | 52.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:34 | 0.13 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 13:19 | 0.35 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 12:48 | 0.04 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:40 | 0.06 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:28 | 0.07 | 21.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:10 | 0.25 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:29 | 0.00 | 21.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 32 | 26 | 6 | .813 | 3.93 | −2.1 | 59:50 |