Fri, Oct 2, 2026·Lenovo Center, Raleigh
Washington Capitals 5, Carolina Hurricanes 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 69% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:41Shot by Stankoven, saved by Thompson
- P1 1:13Shot by Jenner, saved by Bussi
- P1 2:21Walker: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: CAR Aho, Walker, Robinson, Miller, Svechnikov · WSH Ovechkin, Wilson, Roy, Dubois, Desharnais
- P1 2:21Dubois: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: CAR Aho, Walker, Robinson, Miller, Svechnikov · WSH Ovechkin, Wilson, Roy, Dubois, Desharnais
- P1 3:43Shot by Fehérváry, saved by Bussi4v4
- P1 4:01Shot by Hall, saved by Thompson4v4
- P1 4:07Shot by Slavin, saved by Thompson4v4
- P1 5:14Shot by Martinook, saved by Thompson
- P1 5:35Shot by Strome, saved by Bussi
- P1 6:03Shot by Slavin, saved by Thompson
- P1 6:33Goal by Tuch (Dubois, Ovechkin)+15 pts WP
On ice: CAR Staal, Martinook, Slavin, Ehlers, Chatfield · WSH Ovechkin, Tuch, Dubois, Desharnais, Hutson
- P1 8:22Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Bussi
- P1 9:14Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Thompson
- P1 9:15Shot by Aho, saved by Thompson
- P1 9:36Shot by Staal, saved by Thompson
- P1 9:44Shot by Staal, saved by Thompson
- P1 11:08Shot by Hutson, saved by Bussi
- P1 11:12Shot by Protas, saved by Bussi
- P1 11:15Shot by Hutson, saved by Bussi
- P1 11:33Goal by Hutson (Protas, Protas)+14 pts WP
On ice: CAR Deslauriers, Jankowski, Carrier, Walker, Miller · WSH Kyrou, Desharnais, Protas, Hutson, Protas
- P1 12:55Shot by Tuch, saved by Bussi
- P1 14:20Shot by Dubois, saved by Bussi
- P1 14:23Goal by Tuch (Dubois, Wilson)+10 pts WP
On ice: CAR Hall, Gostisbehere, Chatfield, Stankoven, Blake · WSH Wilson, Tuch, Dubois, Desharnais, Hutson
- P1 15:23Shot by Chychrun, saved by Bussi
- P1 15:44Shot by Chychrun, saved by Bussi
- P1 16:53Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Bussi
- P1 17:06Shot by Walker, saved by Thompson
- P1 17:10Shot by Slavin, saved by Thompson
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 1:03Shot by Jenner, saved by Bussi
- P2 1:09Legault: Slashing (2 min)5v6
On ice: CAR Deslauriers, Jankowski, Gostisbehere, Robinson, Legault · WSH Ovechkin, Jenner, Beauvillier, Liljegren, Fehérváry, Sourdif
- P2 1:36Goal by Chychrun (Strome)4v5+4 pts WP
On ice: CAR Staal, Martinook, Slavin, Chatfield · WSH Ovechkin, Wilson, Strome, Chychrun, Dubois
- P2 3:20Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Bussi
- P2 4:01Shot by Carrier, saved by Thompson
- P2 4:05Shot by Leonard, saved by Bussi
- P2 4:38Dubois: Cross checking (2 min)
On ice: CAR Deslauriers, Jankowski, Martinook, Walker, Miller · WSH Wilson, Tuch, Dubois, Desharnais, Hutson
- P2 5:43Shot by Ehlers, saved by Thompson5v4
- P2 5:54Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Thompson5v4
- P2 7:05Shot by Leonard, saved by Bussi
- P2 7:40Shot by Slavin, saved by Thompson
- P2 7:58Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Bussi
- P2 8:57Chychrun: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: CAR Gostisbehere, Ehlers, Svechnikov, Stankoven, Legault · WSH Ovechkin, Strome, Roy, Chychrun, Leonard
- P2 9:03Shot by Staal, saved by Thompson5v4
- P2 9:17Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Thompson5v4
- P2 9:41Shot by Blake, saved by Thompson5v4
- P2 10:57Shot by Blake, saved by Thompson5v4
- P2 12:07Shot by Martinook, saved by Thompson
- P2 15:28Shot by Ehlers, saved by Thompson
- P2 15:30Hutson: Interference (2 min)
On ice: CAR Slavin, Ehlers, Chatfield, Svechnikov, Stankoven · WSH Ovechkin, Strome, Fehérváry, Leonard, Hutson
- P2 15:55Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Thompson5v4
- P2 16:50Goal by Aho (Svechnikov, Blake)5v4+3 pts WP
On ice: CAR Staal, Gostisbehere, Aho, Svechnikov, Blake · WSH Jenner, Wilson, Roy, Fehérváry
- P2 16:58Goal by Leonard (Strome, Chychrun)+3 pts WP
On ice: CAR Hall, Ehlers, Walker, Miller, Stankoven · WSH Ovechkin, Strome, Chychrun, Liljegren, Leonard
- P2 17:22Shot by Kyrou, saved by Bussi
- P2 18:21Ovechkin: Too many men on the ice (2 min)
On ice: CAR Hall, Martinook, Slavin, Aho, Blake · WSH Tuch, Dubois, Liljegren, Sourdif, Hutson
- P2 18:40Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Thompson5v4
- P2 18:47Shot by Stankoven, saved by Thompson5v4
- P2 19:12Shot by Jenner, saved by Bussi5v4
- P2 19:43Shot by Blake, saved by Thompson5v4
- P2 19:56Shot by Stankoven, saved by Thompson5v4
- P2 0:00Period end5v4
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:19Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Thompson5v4
- P3 1:58Hutson: Holding (2 min)
On ice: CAR Staal, Gostisbehere, Martinook, Carrier, Legault · WSH Ovechkin, Strome, Desharnais, Leonard, Hutson
- P3 7:17Fehérváry: Cross checking (2 min)
On ice: CAR Slavin, Ehlers, Chatfield, Svechnikov, Stankoven · WSH Kyrou, Fehérváry, Protas, Hutson, Protas
- P3 7:38Shot by Ehlers, saved by Thompson5v4
- P3 8:46Shot by Ehlers, saved by Thompson5v4
- P3 10:50Goal by Stankoven (Miller, Carrier)+1 pts WP
On ice: CAR Martinook, Slavin, Carrier, Miller, Stankoven · WSH Ovechkin, Strome, Kyrou, Desharnais, Hutson
- P3 12:15Shot by Walker, saved by Thompson
- P3 12:34Shot by Protas, saved by Bussi
- P3 13:13Shot by Kyrou, saved by Bussi5v6
- P3 13:15Hall: Tripping (2 min)5v6
On ice: CAR Hall, Slavin, Aho, Chatfield, Blake · WSH Ovechkin, Tuch, Roy, Chychrun, Kyrou, Protas
- P3 14:25Shot by Strome, saved by Bussi4v5
- P3 19:14Shot by Legault, saved by Thompson
- P3 19:18Sourdif: Cross checking (2 min)
On ice: CAR Hall, Gostisbehere, Aho, Blake, Legault · WSH Jenner, Beauvillier, Desharnais, Fehérváry, Sourdif
- P3 19:18Aho: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: CAR Hall, Gostisbehere, Aho, Blake, Legault · WSH Jenner, Beauvillier, Desharnais, Fehérváry, Sourdif
- P3 19:18Legault: Misconduct (10 min)
On ice: CAR Hall, Gostisbehere, Aho, Blake, Legault · WSH Jenner, Beauvillier, Desharnais, Fehérváry, Sourdif
- P3 0:00Period end4v4
- P3 0:00Final4v4