Fri, Oct 2, 2026·Lenovo Center, Raleigh
Washington Capitals 5, Carolina Hurricanes 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 68% of the time.
60%
24%
CAR winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:29 | 0.00 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 21:15 | 0.00 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:29 | 0.23 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 18:51 | 0.09 | 65.9% | +7.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:48 | 0.00 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:36 | 0.25 | 82.3% | +13.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 17:08 | 0.19 | 51.5% | +13.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 16:38 | 0.41 | 60.6% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:37 | 0.00 | 65.1% | +9.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:18 | 0.10 | 56.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:55 | 0.25 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13:11 | 0.23 | 41.3% | +7.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:00 | 0.00 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:46 | 0.07 | 32.5% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:16 | 0.15 | 83.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:08 | 0.46 | 42.1% | +2.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 12:08 | 0.05 | 56.3% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:32 | 0.01 | 93.6% | +13.5 |
| W | 33 | 31 | 2 | .939 | 3.63 | +1.6 | 59:53 |
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:40 | 0.01 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 22:11 | 0.00 | 37.7% | +0.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 20:15 | 0.35 | 47.5% | +0.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 19:51 | 0.65 | 58.8% | +2.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 19:27 | 0.34 | 28.7% | +2.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:05 | 0.03 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 19:02 | 0.47 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:39 | 0.28 | 45.4% | +2.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:32 | 0.17 | 67.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:33 | 0.06 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:54 | 0.58 | 78.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:34 | 0.08 | 17.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:47 | 0.33 | 80.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:35 | 0.00 | 0.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:44 | 0.00 | 25.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:30 | 0.20 | 61.3% | +0.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:07 | 0.05 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:25 | 0.00 | 0.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 22 | 5 | .815 | 2.50 | −2.5 | 60:00 |