Fri, Oct 2, 2026·Lenovo Center, Raleigh
Washington Capitals 5, Carolina Hurricanes 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 69% of the time.
61%
24%
CAR winsWSH wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Jenner–Beauvillier–Sourdif | Kyrou–Protas–Protas | Ovechkin–Strome–Leonard | Wilson–Tuch–Dubois | Ovechkin–Tuch–Dubois | Strome–Beauvillier–Leonard | Roy–Chychrun | Desharnais–Hutson | Liljegren–Fehérváry | Fehérváry–Hutson | Chychrun–Liljegren | Desharnais–Liljegren | Roy–Desharnais | Desharnais–Fehérváry | Liljegren–Hutson | Roy–Fehérváry | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ehlers–Svechnikov–Stankoven | 1:260.18–0.06 | 1:110.02–0.10 | 0:440.12–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:000.08–0.00 | 1:310.00–0.04 | 0:560.18–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.06 | 2:010.22–0.06 | 0:480.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Staal–Martinook–Carrier | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:400.19–0.00 | 1:250.14–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:430.30–0.00 | 1:460.12–0.00 | 0:310.16–0.00 | 0:430.01–0.00 | ||||||||
| Staal–Martinook–Ehlers | 0:340.13–0.00 | 3:100.02–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.13 | 1:420.02–0.12 | 0:470.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Deslauriers–Jankowski–Robinson | 2:220.00–0.15 | 0:560.00–0.14 | 0:500.00–0.09 | 0:530.00–0.05 | 0:370.00–0.06 | 1:140.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Hall–Aho–Blake | 0:430.06–0.00 | 1:590.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.07 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 1:490.00–0.07 | |||||||||||
| Aho–Robinson–Svechnikov | 1:090.02–0.00 | 1:220.20–0.15 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 0:330.02–0.15 | 1:280.22–0.14 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Deslauriers–Jankowski–Carrier | 2:260.00–0.14 | 1:000.00–0.39 | 1:190.00–0.30 | 0:310.00–0.23 | 1:280.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Hall–Stankoven–Blake | 0:590.00–0.00 | 1:480.02–0.00 | 1:180.02–0.00 | 0:560.05–0.22 | 0:590.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Slavin–Chatfield | 1:380.00–0.19 | 2:400.04–0.03 | 3:210.36–0.00 | 1:320.00–0.00 | 1:010.08–0.00 | 3:130.08–0.30 | 2:300.00–0.12 | 1:570.14–0.00 | 2:490.22–0.05 | 0:360.10–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | ||||
| Walker–Miller | 1:390.03–0.00 | 2:200.00–0.43 | 1:320.02–0.40 | 3:260.14–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 4:150.23–0.00 | 3:070.16–0.45 | 0:490.00–0.14 | 1:550.00–0.36 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:000.03–0.08 | 1:010.00–0.00 | ||||
| Gostisbehere–Legault | 5:000.23–0.09 | 2:570.00–0.20 | 0:430.01–0.00 | 2:120.00–0.20 | 2:260.18–0.00 | 2:520.02–0.09 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:550.05–0.00 | |||||||
| Slavin–Miller | ||||||||||||||||
| Gostisbehere–Walker |
Every shift, one row per player.
CARWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Shayne GostisbehereCAR | 22 | 22:40 | 1:02 | 1:52 | 6 | 0 |
 Matt RoyWSH | 25 | 22:29 | 0:54 | 2:05 | 0 | 10 |
 K'Andre MillerCAR | 26 | 22:11 | 0:51 | 1:36 | 3 | 3 |
 Vincent DesharnaisWSH | 22 | 21:15 | 0:58 | 1:54 | 1 | 2 |
 Logan StankovenCAR | 23 | 20:15 | 0:53 | 2:39 | 2 | 0 |
 Andrei SvechnikovCAR | 22 | 19:51 | 0:54 | 1:56 | 9 | 2 |
 Martin FehérváryWSH | 26 | 19:29 | 0:45 | 1:52 | 0 | 12 |
 Jackson BlakeCAR | 19 | 19:27 | 1:01 | 2:01 | 5 | 1 |
 Sean WalkerCAR | 27 | 19:05 | 0:42 | 1:13 | 5 | 3 |
 Nikolaj EhlersCAR | 23 | 19:02 | 0:50 | 2:06 | 3 | 0 |
 Jakob ChychrunWSH | 23 | 18:51 | 0:49 | 2:21 | 3 | 4 |
 Timothy LiljegrenWSH | 20 | 18:48 | 0:56 | 1:54 | 0 | 5 |
 Sebastian AhoCAR | 20 | 18:39 | 0:56 | 2:00 | 8 | 2 |
 Jaccob SlavinCAR | 23 | 18:32 | 0:48 | 1:29 | 5 | 3 |
 Aliaksei ProtasWSH | 23 | 17:36 | 0:46 | 1:50 | 2 | 4 |
 Jalen ChatfieldCAR | 23 | 17:33 | 0:46 | 1:30 | 4 | 3 |
 Cole HutsonWSH | 22 | 17:08 | 0:47 | 1:37 | 0 | 3 |
 Alex TuchWSH | 23 | 16:38 | 0:43 | 1:46 | 2 | 4 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 23 | 16:37 | 0:43 | 1:23 | 2 | 8 |
 Boone JennerWSH | 23 | 16:18 | 0:43 | 1:20 | 0 | 12 |
 Jordan StaalCAR | 25 | 14:54 | 0:36 | 1:20 | 8 | 4 |
 Anthony BeauvillierWSH | 18 | 13:55 | 0:46 | 1:13 | 0 | 7 |
 Taylor HallCAR | 19 | 13:34 | 0:43 | 1:32 | 1 | 1 |
 Dylan StromeWSH | 19 | 13:11 | 0:42 | 1:39 | 3 | 3 |
 Justin SourdifWSH | 18 | 13:00 | 0:43 | 1:00 | 0 | 5 |
 Jordan MartinookCAR | 20 | 12:47 | 0:38 | 1:16 | 2 | 4 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 21 | 12:46 | 0:36 | 1:30 | 2 | 0 |
 Mark JankowskiCAR | 17 | 12:35 | 0:44 | 1:13 | 5 | 0 |
 Jordan KyrouWSH | 16 | 12:16 | 0:46 | 1:18 | 0 | 2 |
 Ryan LeonardWSH | 17 | 12:08 | 0:43 | 1:06 | 2 | 4 |
 Pierre-Luc DuboisWSH | 19 | 12:08 | 0:38 | 1:23 | 2 | 3 |
 Eric RobinsonCAR | 18 | 11:44 | 0:39 | 1:10 | 5 | 2 |
 Ilya ProtasWSH | 14 | 11:32 | 0:49 | 1:22 | 1 | 2 |
 William CarrierCAR | 14 | 11:30 | 0:49 | 1:40 | 4 | 1 |
 Charles Alexis LegaultCAR | 17 | 11:07 | 0:39 | 1:43 | 2 | 0 |
 Nicolas DeslauriersCAR | 13 | 9:25 | 0:43 | 1:10 | 3 | 0 |