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Ice Lab

Fri, Oct 2, 2026·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise

Anaheim Ducks 4, Vegas Golden Knights 3

Away

Anaheim Ducks

4

Final

Home

Vegas Golden Knights

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 71% of the time.

VGK winsANA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:13Shot by Lauzon, saved by Dostal
  3. P1 2:47Shot by Bowman, saved by Dostal
  4. P1 3:15Shot by Greer, saved by Hart
  5. P1 4:57Shot by Hertl, saved by Dostal
  6. P1 8:34Shot by Gatcomb, saved by Dostal
  7. P1 9:01Shot by Washe, saved by Hart
  8. P1 9:17Shot by Mintyukov, saved by Hart
  9. P1 9:33Shot by Gauthier, saved by Hart
  10. P1 9:39Barbashev: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Stone, Barbashev, Andersson, Eichel, Wotherspoon · ANA Greer, Gauthier, Mintyukov, Carlsson, Mitchell

  11. P1 10:54Gauthier: Holding the stick (2 min)4v5

    On ice: VGK Hanifin, Lauzon, Marner, Howden · ANA Granlund, Greer, LaCombe, Gauthier, Sennecke

  12. P1 11:55Shot by Hertl, saved by Dostal5v4
  13. P1 13:44Shot by Hanifin, saved by Dostal
  14. P1 14:05Shot by Gauthier, saved by Hart
  15. P1 15:22Shot by Killorn, saved by Hart
  16. P1 17:41Gauthier: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Stone, Theodore, Barbashev, Eichel · ANA Greer, Gauthier, Mintyukov, Carlsson, Mitchell

  17. P1 17:53Shot by Hertl, saved by Dostal5v4
  18. P1 19:45Shot by Bowman, saved by Dostal
  19. P1 19:52Goal by Sennecke (Carlsson, Luneau)+16 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Karlsson, Olofsson, Andersson, Wotherspoon, Bowman · ANA Gauthier, Luneau, Mintyukov, Carlsson, Sennecke

  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 1:33Goal by Killorn (Warren, Granlund)+15 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Karlsson, Andersson, Wotherspoon, Marner, Howden · ANA Killorn, Granlund, Hinds, Warren, Sennecke

  23. P2 2:19Shot by LaCombe, saved by Hart
  24. P2 2:28Goal by Malott (Washe, LaCombe)+9 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Dowd, Andersson, Wotherspoon, Gatcomb, Bowman · ANA Caulfield, LaCombe, Malott, Luneau, Washe

  25. P2 3:03Shot by Dowd, saved by Dostal
  26. P2 4:04Shot by Lauzon, saved by Dostal
  27. P2 4:58Shot by Poehling, saved by Hart
  28. P2 5:49Shot by Olofsson, saved by Dostal
  29. P2 7:00Shot by Gauthier, saved by Hart
  30. P2 7:01Shot by Greer, saved by Hart
  31. P2 7:03Goal by Carlsson (Greer, Gauthier)+4 pts WP

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Theodore, Eichel, Gatcomb, Bowman · ANA Greer, LaCombe, Gauthier, Luneau, Carlsson

  32. P2 10:57Shot by Howden, saved by Dostal
  33. P2 12:38Shot by Hertl, saved by Dostal
  34. P2 12:54Shot by Howden, saved by Dostal
  35. P2 13:34Shot by Andersson, saved by Dostal
  36. P2 17:23Shot by Karlsson, saved by Dostal
  37. P2 18:12Shot by Howden, saved by Dostal
  38. P2 0:00Andersson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Hertl, Olofsson, Andersson, Wotherspoon, Bowman · ANA Granlund, Vatrano, LaCombe, Nesterenko, Luneau

  39. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  40. P3 0:00Period start
  41. P3 1:32Shot by Gauthier, saved by Hart4v5
  42. P3 1:44Shot by Gauthier, saved by Hart4v5
  43. P3 2:04Shot by Greer, saved by Hart
  44. P3 2:06Shot by Poehling, saved by Hart
  45. P3 2:26Shot by Eichel, saved by Dostal
  46. P3 4:38Goal by Theodore (Howden, Eichel)+2 pts WP

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Stone, Theodore, Eichel, Howden · ANA Greer, Hinds, Gauthier, Warren, Carlsson

  47. P3 4:38Nesterenko: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Stone, Theodore, Eichel, Howden · ANA Greer, Hinds, Gauthier, Warren, Carlsson

  48. P3 4:58Shot by Theodore, saved by Dostal5v4
  49. P3 6:07Goal by Hertl (Marner, Eichel)5v4+5 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Stone, Hertl, Theodore, Eichel, Marner · ANA Killorn, LaCombe, Warren, Washe

  50. P3 6:15Shot by Greer, saved by Hart
  51. P3 7:54Shot by Eichel, saved by Dostal
  52. P3 9:37Shot by Barbashev, saved by Dostal
  53. P3 9:59Shot by Lauzon, saved by Dostal
  54. P3 11:48Shot by Marner, saved by Dostal
  55. P3 12:29Shot by Andersson, saved by Dostal
  56. P3 12:45Shot by LaCombe, saved by Hart
  57. P3 17:10Goal by Bowman (Olofsson, McNabb)+10 pts WP

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Hertl, Theodore, Olofsson, Bowman · ANA Vatrano, Greer, Poehling, LaCombe, Mitchell

  58. P3 18:55Shot by Theodore, saved by Dostal6v5
  59. P3 18:59Shot by Theodore, saved by Dostal6v5
  60. P3 19:39Shot by Karlsson, saved by Dostal6v5
  61. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  62. P3 0:00Final6v5