Fri, Oct 2, 2026·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Anaheim Ducks 4, Vegas Golden Knights 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 71% of the time.
62%
8%
8%
21%
VGK winsANA wins
Anaheim Ducks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 29:37 | 0.17 | 37.4% | +9.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 26:58 | 0.06 | 48.8% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:10 | 0.11 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:38 | 0.00 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:39 | 0.06 | 22.8% | +15.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:04 | 0.10 | 59.1% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 17:51 | 0.66 | 68.3% | +4.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 17:43 | 0.24 | 68.3% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:03 | 0.00 | 24.3% | +9.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:14 | 0.06 | 48.9% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:03 | 0.20 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 13:24 | 0.32 | 58.6% | +4.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:17 | 0.00 | 21.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:49 | 0.02 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:39 | 0.11 | 17.5% | +9.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:34 | 0.00 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:33 | 0.00 | 69.0% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:15 | 0.00 | 48.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 27 | 3 | .900 | 3.34 | +0.3 | 60:00 |
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 24:40 | 0.21 | 46.4% | +2.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 22:22 | 0.08 | 59.4% | +5.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22:07 | 0.10 | 31.1% | +7.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:39 | 0.00 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:13 | 0.18 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:33 | 0.01 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 19:14 | 0.18 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:57 | 0.04 | 46.4% | +9.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 17:23 | 1.21 | 75.6% | +5.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:48 | 0.09 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 15:39 | 0.01 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:05 | 0.13 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:58 | 0.35 | 55.7% | +2.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:13 | 0.18 | 70.5% | +9.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 12:02 | 0.42 | 49.1% | +9.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:30 | 0.05 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:24 | 0.07 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 7:33 | 0.05 | 28.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 20 | 16 | 4 | .800 | 2.13 | −1.9 | 57:40 |