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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 3, 2026·Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia

Carolina Hurricanes 3, Philadelphia Flyers 2 (OT)

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

3

Final

Overtime

Home

Philadelphia Flyers

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 73% of the time.

PHI winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:10Goal by Aho (Carrier, Svechnikov)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Ristolainen, Sanheim, Dvorak, Konecny, Michkov · CAR Slavin, Carrier, Aho, Chatfield, Svechnikov

  3. P1 1:36Shot by Blake, saved by Woll
  4. P1 1:49Shot by Martone, saved by Kochetkov
  5. P1 2:44Shot by Staal, saved by Woll
  6. P1 5:05Shot by Walker, saved by Woll
  7. P1 5:35Shot by Ehlers, saved by Woll
  8. P1 5:40Shot by Chatfield, saved by Woll
  9. P1 5:58Shot by Chatfield, saved by Woll
  10. P1 7:57Shot by Tippett, saved by Kochetkov
  11. P1 8:03Goal by Tippett (Zegras)+15 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Ristolainen, Sanheim, Grundstrom, Tippett, Zegras · CAR Carrier, Aho, Walker, Miller, Svechnikov

  12. P1 9:01Shot by Walker, saved by Woll
  13. P1 9:15Shot by Acciari, saved by Kochetkov
  14. P1 10:15Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Woll
  15. P1 10:30Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Woll
  16. P1 11:16Shot by Robinson, saved by Woll
  17. P1 12:21Kotkaniemi: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Ristolainen, Sanheim, Grundstrom, Tippett, Zegras · CAR Walker, Robinson, Miller, Kotkaniemi, Stankoven

  18. P1 13:31Konecny: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PHI Konecny, Tippett, Zegras, Drysdale, Michkov · CAR Slavin, Aho, Chatfield, Stankoven

  19. P1 14:58Shot by Aho, saved by Woll4v5
  20. P1 18:06Shot by Reilly, saved by Woll
  21. P1 18:54Aho: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Acciari, Grundstrom, Zegras, York, Drysdale · CAR Martinook, Slavin, Carrier, Aho, Chatfield

  22. P1 19:00Shot by Foerster, saved by Kochetkov5v4
  23. P1 19:33Shot by Foerster, saved by Kochetkov5v4
  24. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 2:24Shot by Grundstrom, saved by Kochetkov
  27. P2 3:05Shot by Kotkaniemi, saved by Woll
  28. P2 4:06Shot by Michkov, saved by Kochetkov
  29. P2 4:16Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Woll
  30. P2 5:12Shot by Slavin, saved by Woll
  31. P2 5:14Shot by Hall, saved by Woll
  32. P2 5:16Shot by Stankoven, saved by Woll
  33. P2 5:17Shot by Stankoven, saved by Woll
  34. P2 5:34Shot by Hall, saved by Woll
  35. P2 6:06Shot by Jiricek, saved by Kochetkov
  36. P2 7:20Goal by Michkov (Konecny, Dvorak)+24 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Dvorak, Konecny, York, Drysdale, Michkov · CAR Reilly, Jankowski, Gostisbehere, Robinson, Kotkaniemi

  37. P2 10:04Shot by Dvorak, saved by Kochetkov
  38. P2 10:13Shot by Konecny, saved by Kochetkov
  39. P2 11:16Shot by Aho, saved by Woll
  40. P2 12:48Seeler: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Couturier, Acciari, Jiricek, Bump · CAR Reilly, Jankowski, Gostisbehere, Robinson, Kotkaniemi

  41. P2 13:02Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Woll4v5
  42. P2 13:09Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Woll4v5
  43. P2 13:21Shot by Aho, saved by Woll4v5
  44. P2 14:52Shot by Stankoven, saved by Woll
  45. P2 15:42Shot by Carrier, saved by Woll
  46. P2 15:45Shot by Carrier, saved by Woll
  47. P2 16:34Shot by Martinook, saved by Woll
  48. P2 17:22Shot by Walker, saved by Woll
  49. P2 18:03Shot by Aho, saved by Woll
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 2:03Shot by Blake, saved by Woll
  53. P3 2:09Shot by Stankoven, saved by Woll
  54. P3 3:45Michkov: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Sanheim, Dvorak, Konecny, Drysdale, Michkov · CAR Jankowski, Walker, Robinson, Miller, Svechnikov

  55. P3 4:12Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Woll4v5
  56. P3 4:59Goal by Aho (Ehlers, Svechnikov)4v5+32 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Dvorak, York, Foerster · CAR Gostisbehere, Ehlers, Aho, Svechnikov, Blake

  57. P3 5:57Shot by Robinson, saved by Woll
  58. P3 6:25Shot by Bump, saved by Kochetkov
  59. P3 6:27Shot by Bump, saved by Kochetkov
  60. P3 6:28Shot by Bump, saved by Kochetkov
  61. P3 8:01Chatfield: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Sanheim, Grundstrom, Tippett, Zegras, Drysdale · CAR Slavin, Ehlers, Aho, Chatfield, Svechnikov

  62. P3 8:34Shot by Martinook, saved by Woll5v4
  63. P3 10:52Shot by Sanheim, saved by Kochetkov
  64. P3 11:49Shot by Tippett, saved by Kochetkov
  65. P3 15:48Shot by Walker, saved by Woll
  66. P3 15:50Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Woll
  67. P3 18:34Gostisbehere: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Sanheim, Konecny, Cates, Foerster · CAR Hall, Gostisbehere, Walker, Stankoven, Blake

  68. P3 18:45Shot by Martinook, saved by Woll5v4
  69. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  70. OT 0:00Period start
  71. OT 0:10Shot by Foerster, saved by Kochetkov4v3
  72. OT 1:35Tippett: Slashing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: PHI Sanheim, Dvorak, Tippett, York · CAR Aho, Walker, Miller, Svechnikov

  73. OT 2:51Goal by Gostisbehere (Blake, Aho)3v4+50 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Sanheim, Acciari · CAR Gostisbehere, Aho, Svechnikov, Blake

  74. OT 2:51Period end3v3
  75. OT 2:51Final4v4