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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 3, 2026·Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia

Carolina Hurricanes 3, Philadelphia Flyers 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 73% of the time.

PHI winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

PHI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Hall–Stankoven–BlakeCarrier–Aho–SvechnikovStaal–Martinook–EhlersJankowski–Robinson–KotkaniemiSlavin–ChatfieldWalker–MillerReilly–GostisbehereSlavin–MillerGostisbehere–WalkerReilly–Miller
Grundstrom–Tippett–Zegras2:090.04–0.583:420.22–0.091:010.06–0.001:250.00–0.204:230.02–0.403:480.28–0.211:290.04–0.171:000.00–0.11
Couturier–Acciari–Bump1:430.35–0.072:110.00–0.363:040.08–0.122:290.00–0.061:310.00–0.115:130.42–0.482:420.00–0.08
Dvorak–Konecny–Michkov0:560.07–0.002:510.00–0.661:120.00–0.040:430.18–0.003:540.07–0.661:310.00–0.040:590.18–0.00
Cates–Foerster–Martone2:340.13–0.140:580.00–0.002:440.00–0.072:440.01–0.070:530.00–0.142:110.13–0.010:300.00–0.00
Dvorak–Foerster–Martone0:460.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
York–Drysdale4:130.42–0.433:070.00–0.651:550.00–0.041:370.18–0.005:200.09–1.273:070.35–0.002:420.18–0.090:360.00–0.00
Ristolainen–Sanheim2:130.13–0.014:310.22–0.282:460.18–0.162:260.00–0.175:330.30–0.352:000.13–0.020:470.10–0.00
Seeler–Jiricek0:360.04–0.141:220.00–0.061:570.00–0.042:590.00–0.152:560.01–0.002:520.02–0.241:500.04–0.150:310.00–0.00
Seeler–Sanheim1:560.04–0.180:330.00–0.000:440.00–0.110:430.00–0.001:270.00–0.180:300.00–0.001:000.00–0.11
Sanheim–Drysdale0:360.00–0.181:100.00–0.000:430.00–0.18
York–Jiricek1:130.00–0.042:040.00–0.04
Seeler–Drysdale0:570.00–0.000:320.00–0.030:400.00–0.030:530.00–0.000:460.00–0.00
Sanheim–York0:360.06–0.000:400.00–0.070:490.06–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndKonecny FDvorak FMichkov FCouturier FBump FAcciari FZegras FTippett FGrundstrom FFoerster FMartone FCates FSanheim DRistolainen DJiricek DSeeler DYork DDrysdale DWoll GAho FCarrier FSvechnikov FStaal FEhlers FMartinook FStankoven FBlake FHall FJankowski FRobinson FKotkaniemi FChatfield DSlavin DMiller DWalker DReilly DGostisbehere DKochetkov G
PHICARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Travis SanheimPHI2927:050:562:1203
Jaccob SlavinCAR2724:470:552:0914
Jamie DrysdalePHI2924:330:511:4264
Sean WalkerCAR2724:100:541:4242
K'Andre MillerCAR2623:170:542:0652
Trevor ZegrasPHI2222:531:022:1440
Jalen ChatfieldCAR2722:500:511:5015
Cam YorkPHI3022:100:441:2047
Sebastian AhoCAR2420:300:512:0622
Tyson FoersterPHI2118:430:531:3634
Jackson BlakeCAR1918:430:591:3382
Nick SeelerPHI2318:070:471:2902
Andrei SvechnikovCAR2017:500:542:0512
Owen TippettPHI2217:470:491:4330
Logan StankovenCAR2217:100:471:1861
Jordan StaalCAR2516:350:401:1985
Travis KonecnyPHI2216:080:441:3721
Matvei MichkovPHI2216:080:441:3751
Sean CouturierPHI2015:580:481:3218
Noel AcciariPHI1915:530:501:3627
Shayne GostisbehereCAR1915:390:491:5370
Jordan MartinookCAR2215:160:421:1854
Taylor HallCAR1714:300:511:1771
Christian DvorakPHI2114:290:411:2403
Rasmus RistolainenPHI1714:260:511:3604
Carl GrundstromPHI1913:450:431:1420
Nikolaj EhlersCAR1813:380:451:1852
Alex BumpPHI1613:270:501:3415
David JiricekPHI1713:100:461:2600
William CarrierCAR2012:490:381:0902
Mark JankowskiCAR1412:010:521:1131
Eric RobinsonCAR1311:440:541:4531
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR1411:190:491:3731
Porter MartonePHI1411:020:471:2022
Mike ReillyCAR1510:360:421:0040
Noah CatesPHI149:130:401:0213