Sat, Oct 3, 2026·Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia
Carolina Hurricanes 3, Philadelphia Flyers 2 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 73% of the time.
20%
66%
PHI winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 24:47 | 0.05 | 84.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 24:10 | 0.19 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:17 | 0.11 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:50 | 0.06 | 88.5% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 20:30 | 0.75 | 85.0% | +95.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:43 | 0.19 | 58.1% | +49.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17:50 | 0.93 | 84.6% | +46.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:10 | 0.47 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:35 | 0.04 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 15:39 | 0.21 | 39.2% | +49.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:16 | 0.19 | 65.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:30 | 0.16 | 58.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:38 | 0.02 | 52.5% | +31.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:49 | 0.33 | 86.8% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:01 | 0.06 | 67.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:44 | 0.22 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:19 | 0.00 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:36 | 0.03 | 51.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 18 | 16 | 2 | .889 | 2.49 | +0.5 | 62:51 |
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27:05 | 0.01 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 24:33 | 0.00 | 28.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:53 | 0.25 | 23.2% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:10 | 0.03 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:43 | 0.44 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:07 | 0.00 | 12.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:47 | 0.28 | 30.9% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:08 | 0.46 | 28.2% | +23.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:08 | 0.20 | 21.7% | +23.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:58 | 0.00 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:53 | 0.08 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:29 | 0.20 | 37.7% | +23.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:26 | 0.00 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:45 | 0.04 | 23.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:27 | 0.35 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:10 | 0.01 | 27.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:02 | 0.13 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:13 | 0.02 | 36.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 40 | 37 | 3 | .925 | 4.01 | +1.0 | 62:48 |