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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 3, 2026·Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia

Carolina Hurricanes 3, Philadelphia Flyers 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 73% of the time.

PHI winsCAR wins

Carolina Hurricanes

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Jaccob SlavinD · #74000+1124:470.0584.0%0.0
Sean WalkerD · #26000−1424:100.1954.4%0.0
K'Andre MillerD · #19000−1023:170.1157.7%0.0
Jalen ChatfieldD · #5000+1222:500.0688.5%0.0
Sebastian AhoC · #202130620:300.7585.0%+95.5
Jackson BlakeRW · #530110218:430.1958.1%+49.6
Andrei SvechnikovRW · #370220417:500.9384.6%+46.0
Logan StankovenC · #220000417:100.4756.7%0.0
Jordan StaalC · #110000116:350.0450.0%0.0
Shayne GostisbehereD · #4101−1415:390.2139.2%+49.6
Jordan MartinookLW · #480000315:160.1965.5%0.0
Taylor HallLW · #710000214:300.1658.9%0.0
Nikolaj EhlersLW · #270110113:380.0252.5%+31.7
William CarrierLW · #280110212:490.3386.8%+14.3
Mark JankowskiLW · #77000−1012:010.0667.9%0.0
Eric RobinsonLW · #50000−1211:440.2253.1%0.0
Jesperi KotkaniemiC · #82000−1111:190.0060.9%0.0
Mike ReillyD · #6000−1110:360.0351.1%0.0
Pyotr Kochetkov#52W18162.8892.49+0.562:51

Philadelphia Flyers

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Travis SanheimD · #60000127:050.0139.0%0.0
Jamie DrysdaleD · #9000+1024:330.0028.9%0.0
Trevor ZegrasC · #46011+1022:530.2523.2%+15.0
Cam YorkD · #8000+1022:100.0331.1%0.0
Tyson FoersterRW · #710000318:430.4446.1%0.0
Nick SeelerD · #240000018:070.0012.7%0.0
Owen TippettRW · #74101+1317:470.2830.9%+15.0
Travis KonecnyRW · #110110116:080.4628.2%+23.7
Matvei MichkovRW · #391010216:080.2021.7%+23.7
Sean CouturierC · #140000015:580.0040.2%0.0
Noel AcciariC · #520000115:530.0837.2%0.0
Christian DvorakC · #220110114:290.2037.7%+23.7
Rasmus RistolainenD · #550000014:260.0046.9%0.0
Carl GrundstromRW · #91000+1113:450.0423.2%0.0
Alex BumpLW · #200000313:270.3537.3%0.0
David JiricekD · #50000113:100.0127.3%0.0
Porter MartoneRW · #940000111:020.1358.3%0.0
Noah CatesLW · #27000009:130.0236.0%0.0
Joseph Woll#53O40373.9254.01+1.062:48