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Ice Lab

Sun, Oct 4, 2026·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Winnipeg Jets 3, Detroit Red Wings 2

Away

Winnipeg Jets

3

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 56% of the time.

DET winsWPG wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:17Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Skinner
  3. P1 1:31Shot by Brandsegg-Nygård, saved by Skinner
  4. P1 1:32Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Skinner
  5. P1 1:45Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Skinner
  6. P1 3:08Shot by Compher, saved by Skinner
  7. P1 4:23Shot by Morrissey, saved by Gibson
  8. P1 4:28Shot by Morrissey, saved by Gibson
  9. P1 4:30Shot by Scheifele, saved by Gibson
  10. P1 8:21Shot by Brandsegg-Nygård, saved by Skinner
  11. P1 9:07Shot by Pionk, saved by Gibson
  12. P1 9:20Shot by Björck, saved by Gibson
  13. P1 9:26Vilardi: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Copp, Englund, Arvidsson, Appleton, Sandin-Pellikka · WPG Ferraro, Vilardi, Bauer, Rosen, Björck

  14. P1 9:30Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Skinner5v4
  15. P1 10:12Shot by Connor, saved by Gibson5v4
  16. P1 11:31Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Skinner
  17. P1 12:10Kolesar: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Compher, Kolesar, Appleton, Johansson · WPG Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor, Perfetti, Bauer

  18. P1 12:10Bauer: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Compher, Kolesar, Appleton, Johansson · WPG Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor, Perfetti, Bauer

  19. P1 12:10Kolesar: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Compher, Kolesar, Appleton, Johansson · WPG Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor, Perfetti, Bauer

  20. P1 12:20Shot by Vilardi, saved by Gibson4v5
  21. P1 12:24Shot by Johansson, saved by Skinner4v5
  22. P1 12:45Shot by Scheifele, saved by Gibson4v5
  23. P1 12:55Shot by Vilardi, saved by Gibson4v5
  24. P1 13:04Goal by Perfetti (Connor, Morrissey)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: DET Faulk, Compher, Rasmussen, Johansson · WPG Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor, Vilardi, Perfetti

  25. P1 13:04Compher: Abuse of officials (2 min)

    On ice: DET Faulk, Compher, Rasmussen, Johansson · WPG Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor, Vilardi, Perfetti

  26. P1 14:36Goal by Connor (Vilardi, Perfetti)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Faulk, Raymond, Johansson, Danielson · WPG Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor, Vilardi, Perfetti

  27. P1 14:43Shot by Brandsegg-Nygård, saved by Skinner
  28. P1 17:02Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Skinner
  29. P1 19:10Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Skinner
  30. P1 19:25Namestnikov: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Copp, DeBrincat, Seider, Johansson, Raymond · WPG Niederreiter, Namestnikov, Morrissey, Samberg, Iafallo

  31. P1 19:33Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Skinner5v4
  32. P1 19:58Shot by Seider, saved by Skinner5v4
  33. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  34. P2 0:00Period start
  35. P2 1:32Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Gibson
  36. P2 3:06Shot by Brandsegg-Nygård, saved by Skinner
  37. P2 3:18Shot by Connor, saved by Gibson
  38. P2 3:37Shot by Morrissey, saved by Gibson
  39. P2 3:44Shot by Perfetti, saved by Gibson
  40. P2 4:53Shot by Morrissey, saved by Gibson
  41. P2 5:02Raymond: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Copp, DeBrincat, Raymond, Sandin-Pellikka · WPG Lowry, Samberg, Pionk, Barron, Lambert

  42. P2 5:38Shot by Morrissey, saved by Gibson4v5
  43. P2 5:41Goal by Connor (Morrissey, Perfetti)4v5+8 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Copp, Rasmussen, Sandin-Pellikka · WPG Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor, Vilardi, Perfetti

  44. P2 7:45Shot by Brandsegg-Nygård, saved by Skinner
  45. P2 8:14Shot by Faulk, saved by Skinner
  46. P2 9:28Shot by Chiarot, saved by Skinner
  47. P2 10:36Shot by Compher, saved by Skinner
  48. P2 10:46Shot by Sandin-Pellikka, saved by Skinner
  49. P2 11:32Shot by Barron, saved by Gibson
  50. P2 15:25Shot by Faulk, saved by Skinner
  51. P2 15:48DeMelo: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Faulk, Compher, Kolesar, Rasmussen, Johansson · WPG DeMelo, Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor, Perfetti

  52. P2 15:54Shot by Seider, saved by Skinner5v4
  53. P2 16:11Shot by Raymond, saved by Skinner5v4
  54. P2 16:52Goal by Arvidsson (Copp, Seider)5v4+7 pts WP

    On ice: DET Copp, Arvidsson, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · WPG Lowry, Samberg, Pionk, Barron

  55. P2 17:47Shot by Iafallo, saved by Gibson
  56. P2 17:56Namestnikov: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Compher, Kolesar, Rasmussen, Sandin-Pellikka · WPG Niederreiter, Namestnikov, Samberg, Iafallo, Pionk

  57. P2 18:02Shot by Seider, saved by Skinner5v4
  58. P2 19:40Shot by Sandin-Pellikka, saved by Skinner5v4
  59. P2 19:52Shot by Sandin-Pellikka, saved by Skinner5v4
  60. P2 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Period start
  62. P3 1:12Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Skinner
  63. P3 1:18Arvidsson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Copp, Arvidsson, Seider, Johansson, Raymond · WPG Lowry, Samberg, Pionk, Barron, Lambert

  64. P3 2:53Shot by Pionk, saved by Gibson4v5
  65. P3 3:21Shot by Pionk, saved by Gibson
  66. P3 4:56Goal by Finnie (Brandsegg-Nygård, DeBrincat)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, DeBrincat, Sandin-Pellikka, Finnie, Brandsegg-Nygård · WPG DeMelo, Scheifele, Connor, Pionk, Perfetti

  67. P3 6:59Shot by Lambert, saved by Gibson
  68. P3 7:04Shot by Lambert, saved by Gibson
  69. P3 7:13Shot by Morrissey, saved by Gibson
  70. P3 7:48Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Skinner
  71. P3 8:29Shot by Finnie, saved by Skinner
  72. P3 9:07Shot by Copp, saved by Skinner
  73. P3 10:17Shot by Morrissey, saved by Gibson
  74. P3 11:32Shot by Connor, saved by Gibson
  75. P3 12:19Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Skinner
  76. P3 15:51Shot by Brandsegg-Nygård, saved by Skinner6v5
  77. P3 15:53DeMelo: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET DeBrincat, Seider, Johansson, Raymond, Finnie, Brandsegg-Nygård · WPG DeMelo, Namestnikov, Morrissey, Vilardi, Rosen

  78. P3 19:32Shot by Faulk, saved by Skinner6v5
  79. P3 19:34Shot by Raymond, saved by Skinner6v5
  80. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  81. P3 0:00Final6v5