Sun, Oct 4, 2026·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Winnipeg Jets 3, Detroit Red Wings 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 56% of the time.
48%
8%
36%
DET winsWPG wins
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 23:53 | 0.10 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 21:33 | 0.31 | 61.6% | +24.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:53 | 0.02 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:17 | 0.00 | 19.5% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | −1 | 5 | 20:05 | 0.79 | 55.5% | +38.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:50 | 0.00 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:06 | 0.25 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:46 | 0.12 | 20.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | −1 | 2 | 17:10 | 1.12 | 51.1% | +38.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:17 | 0.00 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:41 | 0.30 | 17.4% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:21 | 0.03 | 19.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:09 | 0.18 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:54 | 0.00 | 26.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:44 | 0.11 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:15 | 0.00 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:27 | 0.08 | 40.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:35 | 0.00 | 15.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 36 | 34 | 2 | .944 | 3.79 | +1.8 | 60:00 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25:41 | 0.23 | 40.9% | +7.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:55 | 0.20 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23:44 | 0.17 | 39.0% | +7.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 23:16 | 0.40 | 52.5% | +16.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21:24 | 0.71 | 61.2% | +7.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 19:33 | 1.02 | 73.1% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:32 | 0.20 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:23 | 0.03 | 73.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:56 | 0.30 | 82.4% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:09 | 0.25 | 75.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 15:37 | 0.16 | 74.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:30 | 0.00 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:51 | 0.07 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:37 | 0.02 | 30.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:49 | 0.00 | 65.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:23 | 0.00 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:09 | 0.03 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:15 | 0.00 | 79.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 2.83 | −0.2 | 57:11 |