Sun, Oct 4, 2026·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Calgary Flames 1, Seattle Kraken 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 52% of the time.
39%
9%
10%
43%
SEA winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22:02 | 0.27 | 42.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 21:14 | 0.03 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:59 | 0.13 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:47 | 0.05 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 19:32 | 0.06 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 0 | 18:59 | 0.00 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:51 | 0.26 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 16:51 | 0.33 | 67.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:47 | 0.04 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:29 | 0.00 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:23 | 0.08 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 15:16 | 0.55 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 14:26 | 0.06 | 50.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:21 | 0.09 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:56 | 0.00 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 13:31 | 0.20 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 12:19 | 0.23 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 11:17 | 0.32 | 55.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 21 | 6 | .778 | 2.62 | −3.4 | 60:00 |
Seattle Kraken
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 23:12 | 0.16 | 69.3% | +11.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 22:27 | 0.08 | 73.6% | +11.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 21:44 | 0.00 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 18:49 | 0.33 | 43.2% | +12.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:37 | 0.03 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 18:34 | 0.02 | 33.1% | +2.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:50 | 0.24 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 15:58 | 0.00 | 51.2% | +0.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 15:51 | 0.00 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 15:46 | 0.00 | 45.7% | +8.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 15:42 | 0.07 | 64.8% | +0.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:39 | 0.44 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 15:27 | 0.42 | 49.3% | +8.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:47 | 0.32 | 55.7% | +2.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 14:03 | 0.19 | 64.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 13:15 | 0.00 | 63.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 12:41 | 0.26 | 63.9% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:46 | 0.04 | 27.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 32 | 1 | .970 | 2.71 | +1.7 | 60:00 |