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Ice Lab

Mon, Oct 5, 2026·American Airlines Center, Dallas

San Jose Sharks 0, Dallas Stars 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 83% of the time.

DAL winsSJS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DAL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against SJS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Marchment–Dellandrea–SmithToffoli–Wennberg–SherwoodChernyshov–Misa–StenbergGoodrow–Ostapchuk–GrafWennberg–Marchment–SmithDellandrea–Graf–StenbergToffoli–Chernyshov–MisaGoodrow–Sherwood–OstapchukSherwood–Chernyshov–MisaNurse–KesselringOrlov–CagnoniTrouba–DickinsonTrouba–NurseOrlov–TroubaNurse–CagnoniOrlov–NurseKesselring–Cagnoni
Benn–Hintz–Robertson3:150.52–0.000:400.00–0.001:060.00–0.000:560.14–0.001:310.01–0.000:450.00–0.002:410.27–0.002:330.26–0.002:440.06–0.071:010.14–0.00
Seguin–Hryckowian–Hyry0:550.03–0.001:530.21–0.031:560.01–0.112:050.00–0.052:260.09–0.001:340.00–0.004:410.24–0.083:440.10–0.12
Rantanen–Steel–Johnston0:310.07–0.002:050.13–0.041:330.00–0.001:090.00–0.092:240.59–0.011:130.07–0.004:590.66–0.051:030.00–0.001:380.07–0.000:390.13–0.00
Faksa–Bäck–Kiviranta0:330.00–0.001:220.00–0.162:120.26–0.000:430.00–0.001:310.18–0.110:450.00–0.002:470.00–0.112:180.00–0.161:120.40–0.000:460.04–0.000:340.00–0.00
Seguin–Steel–Hyry0:400.00–0.090:350.11–0.000:430.11–0.000:400.00–0.09
Myers–Bichsel1:570.03–0.000:350.11–0.002:340.21–0.031:360.01–0.111:460.00–0.001:190.04–0.001:310.00–0.001:160.00–0.005:500.34–0.033:460.05–0.11
Lundkvist–Harley0:560.07–0.003:100.13–0.160:490.00–0.011:030.00–0.001:010.01–0.000:460.09–0.000:590.25–0.000:450.00–0.001:370.13–0.003:160.00–0.164:440.53–0.070:570.00–0.000:400.13–0.00
Lindell–Heiskanen2:260.52–0.001:320.00–0.291:020.00–0.002:020.53–0.011:090.00–0.006:350.80–0.050:500.22–0.000:470.00–0.00
Lindell–Lundkvist1:050.04–0.000:450.00–0.000:540.00–0.000:500.00–0.001:020.00–0.000:570.00–0.000:460.04–0.00
Heiskanen–Harley0:590.00–0.000:500.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Harley–Bichsel0:380.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
Lindell–Harley0:310.00–0.00
Lundkvist–Bichsel0:450.00–0.090:310.00–0.00
Lindell–Bichsel
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSteel FJohnston FRantanen FBenn FRobertson FHintz FHyry FSeguin FHryckowian FKiviranta FFaksa FBäck FHeiskanen DLindell DHarley DLundkvist DBichsel DMyers DOettinger GSmith FWennberg FMarchment FToffoli FMisa FChernyshov FStenberg FDellandrea FGraf FGoodrow FOstapchuk FSherwood FKesselring DNurse DDickinson DTrouba DCagnoni DOrlov DAskarov G
DALSJSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Darnell NurseSJS2622:160:511:3823
Thomas HarleyDAL2221:310:591:3343
Michael KesselringSJS2420:500:521:4111
Miro HeiskanenDAL2120:370:593:0724
Lian BichselDAL2119:230:551:4821
Dmitry OrlovSJS2119:190:551:5021
Luca CagnoniSJS1819:011:032:0121
Esa LindellDAL2318:540:491:2413
Jacob TroubaSJS2418:500:471:4636
Will SmithSJS1818:281:022:1641
Jason RobertsonDAL1817:460:592:1442
Alexander WennbergSJS1817:390:592:0542
Mikko RantanenDAL1617:341:062:1731
Nils LundkvistDAL2117:220:501:2123
Tyler MyersDAL1917:190:551:3421
Arttu HyryDAL1816:560:561:4824
Wyatt JohnstonDAL1716:450:592:1641
Tyler SeguinDAL1816:280:551:2322
Sam DickinsonSJS2216:280:451:1833
Justin HryckowianDAL1916:140:511:1713
Mason MarchmentSJS1916:120:511:5361
Roope HintzDAL1915:310:492:0251
Michael MisaSJS1715:220:541:2231
Igor ChernyshovSJS1715:030:531:1541
Kiefer SherwoodSJS1915:020:471:0713
Sam SteelDAL1714:440:521:4931
Jamie BennDAL1914:200:451:4021
Ty DellandreaSJS1714:200:511:4942
Tyler ToffoliSJS1714:050:501:2621
Ivar StenbergSJS1713:450:491:2541
Barclay GoodrowSJS1713:140:471:3503
Collin GrafSJS1812:420:421:2016
Radek FaksaDAL1612:300:471:1011
Oskar BäckDAL1511:480:471:1411
Zack OstapchukSJS1411:350:501:3103
Joel KivirantaDAL1510:370:421:0711