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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 6, 2026·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Nashville Predators 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 5 (OT)

Away

Nashville Predators

4

Final

Overtime

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 69% of the time.

TOR winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:23Shot by McKenna, saved by Saros
  3. P1 1:50Shot by Marchessault, saved by Stolarz
  4. P1 2:35Shot by Sissons, saved by Saros
  5. P1 3:51Shot by Hague, saved by Stolarz
  6. P1 4:45Shot by Edstrom, saved by Stolarz
  7. P1 4:55Shot by McKenna, saved by Saros
  8. P1 5:29Shot by Forsberg, saved by Stolarz5v6
  9. P1 5:31Rielly: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Raddysh, Cowan · NSH Josi, Marchessault, Forsberg, Colton, Bourque, Wilsby

  10. P1 7:10Shot by Wood, saved by Stolarz4v5
  11. P1 7:13Goal by Stamkos (Wood, Josi)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tanev, Sissons, McCabe, Duhaime · NSH Stamkos, Josi, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Wood

  12. P1 9:08Goal by Hoglander (Wilsby, Forsberg)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Tanev, McCabe, Paul, McKenna · NSH Forsberg, Hoglander, Wilsby, Trudeau, Wood

  13. P1 9:24Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Stolarz
  14. P1 10:51Shot by Paul, saved by Saros
  15. P1 12:25Shot by Josi, saved by Stolarz
  16. P1 12:50Shot by Tavares, saved by Saros
  17. P1 16:05Shot by Matthews, saved by Saros
  18. P1 17:47Shot by Sissons, saved by Saros
  19. P1 18:12Shot by Wilsby, saved by Stolarz
  20. P1 18:22Shot by Cowan, saved by Saros
  21. P1 19:37Shot by Marchessault, saved by Stolarz
  22. P1 19:47Marchessault: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tanev, Blueger, McCabe, Raddysh, Matthews · NSH Marchessault, Skjei, Kerfoot, Perbix, Bourque

  23. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 3:01Shot by Forsberg, saved by Stolarz
  26. P2 3:03Goal by Hoglander (Forsberg, Bourque)+9 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Sissons, Blueger, Paul, Stecher · NSH Skjei, Forsberg, Hoglander, Ahcan, Bourque

  27. P2 4:56Goal by Tavares (McKenna, Stolarz)+9 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Sissons, Stecher, McKenna · NSH O'Reilly, Kerfoot, Colton, Wilsby, Trudeau

  28. P2 5:31Drury: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Paul, Stecher, Duhaime, Cowan · NSH Colton, Drury, Edstrom, Wilsby, Trudeau

  29. P2 5:44Shot by Tavares, saved by Saros5v4
  30. P2 6:05Shot by Raddysh, saved by Saros5v4
  31. P2 6:17Shot by Tavares, saved by Saros5v4
  32. P2 6:19Shot by Marchenko, saved by Saros5v4
  33. P2 6:56Shot by Matthews, saved by Saros5v4
  34. P2 6:58Goal by Nylander (Matthews, Marchenko)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Nylander, Raddysh, Matthews, Marchenko, McKenna · NSH Josi, Kerfoot, Edstrom, Wilsby

  35. P2 7:48Shot by Colton, saved by Stolarz
  36. P2 7:54Shot by Colton, saved by Stolarz
  37. P2 8:14Shot by Edstrom, saved by Stolarz
  38. P2 9:22Shot by Matthews, saved by Saros
  39. P2 10:39Shot by Tavares, saved by Saros
  40. P2 11:18Shot by Bourque, saved by Stolarz
  41. P2 12:22Shot by Blueger, saved by Saros
  42. P2 13:30Goal by Stamkos (O'Reilly, Skjei)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Raddysh, Roslovic, Matthews, Marchenko · NSH Stamkos, O'Reilly, Marchessault, Skjei, Perbix

  43. P2 14:31Goal by McKenna (Matthews, Roslovic)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tanev, McCabe, Roslovic, Matthews, McKenna · NSH Stamkos, O'Reilly, Marchessault, Skjei, Perbix

  44. P2 15:06Colton: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Tanev, McCabe, Nylander, McKenna · NSH Josi, Forsberg, Colton, Hague, Bourque

  45. P2 18:08Shot by Stecher, saved by Saros
  46. P2 19:37Shot by Roslovic, saved by Saros
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:10Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Stolarz
  50. P3 0:40Shot by Roslovic, saved by Saros
  51. P3 2:24Shot by Trudeau, saved by Stolarz
  52. P3 2:59Shot by McCabe, saved by Saros
  53. P3 3:04Shot by Duhaime, saved by Saros
  54. P3 5:17Shot by Raddysh, saved by Saros
  55. P3 5:23Shot by Tavares, saved by Saros
  56. P3 7:38Shot by Paul, saved by Saros
  57. P3 8:08Shot by Edstrom, saved by Stolarz
  58. P3 8:54Goal by Roslovic (Matthews, Nylander)+25 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tanev, Rielly, Nylander, Roslovic, Matthews · NSH Skjei, Forsberg, Perbix, Hoglander, Wood

  59. P3 9:16Shot by Wilsby, saved by Stolarz
  60. P3 9:55Shot by Drury, saved by Stolarz
  61. P3 11:11Shot by Marchenko, saved by Saros
  62. P3 15:16Shot by Perbix, saved by Stolarz
  63. P3 16:11Shot by Marchenko, saved by Saros
  64. P3 16:43Shot by Cowan, saved by Saros
  65. P3 17:33Shot by McKenna, saved by Saros
  66. P3 19:41Shot by Roslovic, saved by Saros
  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. OT 0:00Period start
  69. OT 0:13Shot by Stamkos, saved by Stolarz3v3
  70. OT 2:51Shot by Rielly, saved by Saros3v3
  71. OT 3:07Shot by Cowan, saved by Saros3v3
  72. OT 3:09Shot by Rielly, saved by Saros3v3
  73. OT 4:46Goal by Matthews (Nylander)3v3+50 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Nylander, Raddysh, Matthews · NSH Josi, O'Reilly, Kerfoot

  74. OT 4:46Period end3v3
  75. OT 4:46Final4v4