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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 6, 2026·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Nashville Predators 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 5 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 69% of the time.

TOR winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Forsberg–Hoglander–WoodMarchessault–Colton–BourqueStamkos–O'Reilly–KerfootKerfoot–Drury–EdstromStamkos–O'Reilly–BourqueColton–Drury–EdstromStamkos–O'Reilly–ForsbergMarchessault–Forsberg–BourqueStamkos–O'Reilly–MarchessaultForsberg–Drury–EdstromMarchessault–Kerfoot–BourqueSkjei–PerbixJosi–HagueWilsby–TrudeauHague–AhcanJosi–AhcanSkjei–AhcanJosi–Perbix
Roslovic–Matthews–Marchenko0:390.00–0.003:100.07–0.161:170.14–0.010:380.04–0.000:580.00–0.054:450.00–0.092:290.21–0.130:370.04–0.00
Blueger–Duhaime–Groulx0:590.09–0.002:080.07–0.081:180.00–0.000:440.00–0.001:080.01–0.081:240.00–0.001:080.06–0.00
Tavares–Nylander–McKenna1:410.17–0.120:310.06–0.081:090.05–0.071:240.11–0.081:560.13–0.121:160.12–0.11
Sissons–Paul–Cowan1:060.05–0.001:300.19–0.000:350.00–0.000:410.04–0.101:140.08–0.102:100.10–0.00
Sissons–Paul–McKenna1:090.00–0.000:420.02–0.000:340.00–0.001:050.00–0.091:480.21–0.000:410.00–0.000:420.02–0.00
Nylander–Roslovic–Matthews0:420.27–0.001:050.01–0.000:580.00–0.011:010.27–0.002:110.01–0.01
Tavares–Nylander–Cowan1:000.00–0.000:430.00–0.001:510.15–0.15
Nylander–Matthews–Marchenko0:310.00–0.000:510.00–0.000:570.00–0.00
Tavares–Marchenko–Cowan0:390.00–0.000:530.00–0.00
Tavares–Roslovic–Marchenko0:410.04–0.001:020.04–0.00
Tanev–McCabe3:230.19–0.270:560.18–0.002:190.00–0.001:520.00–0.311:020.01–0.000:330.04–0.000:580.00–0.011:350.00–0.000:500.09–0.114:060.23–0.314:170.04–0.011:270.00–0.381:330.00–0.011:100.00–0.000:300.06–0.00
Rielly–Raddysh1:590.21–0.003:300.11–0.151:460.03–0.021:070.00–0.001:180.05–0.071:060.06–0.001:100.03–0.145:480.13–0.294:090.31–0.003:310.38–0.170:400.00–0.00
Ekman-Larsson–Stecher2:250.07–0.121:010.05–0.001:080.07–0.131:580.00–0.001:550.14–0.012:390.07–0.100:530.05–0.003:320.00–0.104:240.26–0.253:230.12–0.001:100.00–0.000:380.09–0.00
Rielly–Stecher0:360.00–0.03
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndMatthews FMarchenko FRoslovic FTavares FNylander FMcKenna FSissons FPaul FCowan FDuhaime FGroulx FBlueger FRaddysh DRielly DMcCabe DTanev DEkman-Larsson DStecher DStolarz GKerfoot FO'Reilly FStamkos FEdstrom FForsberg FDrury FBourque FColton FMarchessault FWood FHoglander FPerbix DSkjei DJosi DHague DWilsby DTrudeau DAhcan DSaros G
TORNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Roman JosiNSH2926:330:551:5323
Darren RaddyshTOR2725:510:571:5841
Auston MatthewsTOR2325:091:061:5480
Ryan O'ReillyNSH3323:400:431:4227
Brady SkjeiNSH3022:530:461:2005
William NylanderTOR2322:480:591:5481
Kirill MarchenkoTOR2321:350:561:3660
Filip ForsbergNSH2821:000:451:5301
Nick PerbixNSH2620:490:481:1805
Morgan RiellyTOR2520:390:501:4430
Jake McCabeTOR2519:590:481:4233
Steven StamkosNSH2619:430:461:4225
Mavrik BourqueNSH2619:150:441:2314
Nicolas HagueNSH2519:120:461:1403
Alexander KerfootNSH2818:500:400:5714
John TavaresTOR2018:460:561:5430
Chris TanevTOR2518:380:451:4233
Jack RoslovicTOR2017:460:531:3630
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR2217:270:481:2100
Troy StecherTOR2017:200:521:3300
Matthew WoodNSH2216:540:461:4233
Easton CowanTOR1916:010:511:2130
Jack DruryNSH2115:340:441:2502
Adam WilsbyNSH1915:050:481:3311
Gavin McKennaTOR1814:450:491:1520
Adam EdstromNSH2114:110:411:1001
Colton SissonsTOR1713:390:481:4222
Nick PaulTOR1713:270:471:0920
Jonathan MarchessaultNSH1913:170:421:1911
Ross ColtonNSH2012:520:391:1111
Brandon DuhaimeTOR1411:220:491:4202
Nils HoglanderNSH1410:380:461:1911
William TrudeauNSH1510:380:431:3521
Teddy BluegerTOR139:530:461:0801
Jack AhcanNSH107:580:481:0900
Bo GroulxTOR107:310:451:1000