Tue, Oct 6, 2026·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Nashville Predators 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 5 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 69% of the time.
61%
24%
TOR winsNSH wins
Nashville Predators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 26:33 | 0.04 | 21.6% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 23:40 | 0.19 | 46.7% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:53 | 0.00 | 60.2% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 21:00 | 0.42 | 46.4% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:49 | 0.15 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19:43 | 0.65 | 39.7% | +31.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:15 | 0.07 | 46.1% | +9.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:12 | 0.04 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:50 | 0.09 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:54 | 0.25 | 39.0% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:34 | 0.12 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:05 | 0.21 | 40.8% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:11 | 0.19 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:17 | 0.07 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:52 | 0.08 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 10:38 | 0.31 | 55.6% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:38 | 0.07 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 7:58 | 0.00 | 63.2% | 0.0 |
| O | 37 | 32 | 5 | .865 | 4.21 | −0.8 | 64:35 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25:51 | 0.14 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 4 | 25:09 | 0.47 | 56.0% | +106.8 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 22:48 | 0.72 | 60.5% | +90.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 21:35 | 0.54 | 52.6% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:39 | 0.22 | 64.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:59 | 0.03 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18:46 | 0.60 | 53.1% | +8.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:38 | 0.00 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 17:46 | 0.26 | 73.3% | +41.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:27 | 0.05 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:20 | 0.07 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:01 | 0.27 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 14:45 | 0.33 | 57.3% | +25.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:39 | 0.13 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 13:27 | 0.25 | 39.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:22 | 0.12 | 71.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:53 | 0.01 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:31 | 0.00 | 67.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 21 | 4 | .840 | 2.95 | −1.1 | 64:46 |