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Ice Lab

Wed, Oct 7, 2026·Capital One Arena, Washington

Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Washington Capitals 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 62% of the time.

WSH winsPIT wins

Pittsburgh Penguins

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Erik KarlssonD · #65000−1424:440.1036.8%0.0
Ben KindelC · #81011+1219:360.2461.7%+11.7
Rickard RakellRW · #67000−3319:220.1724.7%0.0
Bryan RustRW · #171010319:090.3443.7%+11.7
Sidney CrosbyC · #87000−4219:070.1123.9%0.0
Samuel GirardD · #49011+1119:000.0854.0%+11.7
Declan CarlileD · #72000−2018:040.0032.5%0.0
Kaedan KorczakD · #6011+2117:230.1663.9%+13.5
Evgeni MalkinC · #710000117:220.2067.0%0.0
Kris LetangD · #58000−1317:160.1655.2%0.0
Trevor van RiemsdykD · #57000−1116:240.0034.6%0.0
Egor ChinakhovRW · #59000+1215:290.4376.3%0.0
Tommy NovakC · #18101+1315:170.5071.7%+6.3
Ville KoivunenRW · #41000+1114:080.0956.1%0.0
Hendrix LapierreC · #22000−3113:020.2432.0%0.0
Connor DewarC · #19000+1011:110.0028.9%0.0
Blake LizotteC · #46011+1110:530.1669.4%+13.5
Nick RobertsonLW · #14101+118:320.0525.1%+13.5
Arturs Silovs#37L27225.8153.82−1.256:04

Washington Capitals

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Jakob ChychrunD · #60000125:220.0762.5%0.0
Martin FehérváryD · #42000+2023:560.0155.7%0.0
Vincent DesharnaisD · #73000+2021:030.0056.0%0.0
Tom WilsonRW · #43123+3219:490.1371.2%+36.4
Alex TuchRW · #89101+2618:350.8365.7%+6.5
Boone JennerC · #220000217:520.2449.8%0.0
Pierre-Luc DuboisC · #80112+3317:410.5979.4%+29.9
Timothy LiljegrenD · #270000117:030.0357.1%0.0
Cole HutsonD · #44011−1316:290.2948.9%+13.0
Aliaksei ProtasLW · #21000−3116:040.0719.4%0.0
Justin SourdifC · #340000015:080.1145.4%0.0
Alex OvechkinLW · #8000+1214:050.4850.0%0.0
Ryan LeonardRW · #91010213:530.4075.5%+13.0
Dylan StromeC · #17011+1113:310.3362.1%+11.4
Jordan KyrouRW · #25011−3111:580.045.8%+13.0
Ilya ProtasLW · #62000−3111:440.115.6%0.0
Anthony BeauvillierRW · #72101+2110:460.0647.3%+11.4
Dylan McIlrathD · #52000−109:010.0151.6%0.0
Logan Thompson#48W30273.9003.040.060:00