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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 8, 2026·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Colorado Avalanche 7, Calgary Flames 3

Away

Colorado Avalanche

7

Final

Home

Calgary Flames

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 52% of the time.

CGY winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:10Shot by Backlund, saved by Wedgewood
  3. P1 3:11Shot by Backlund, saved by Wedgewood
  4. P1 3:31Shot by Kadri, saved by Cooley
  5. P1 6:23Suniev: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Sharangovich, Kuznetsov, Nemec, Castagna · COL Kadri, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Makar

  6. P1 6:44Shot by Hughes, saved by Cooley4v5
  7. P1 7:29Shot by Farabee, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  8. P1 9:05Shot by Gridin, saved by Wedgewood
  9. P1 9:38Shot by Farabee, saved by Wedgewood
  10. P1 10:30Shot by Toews, saved by Cooley
  11. P1 12:31Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Cooley
  12. P1 12:42Shot by Sharangovich, saved by Wedgewood
  13. P1 15:54Goal by Toews (Makar, Nelson)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Frost, Kuznetsov, Coronato, Nemec, Gridin · COL Nelson, Landeskog, Toews, Necas, Makar

  14. P1 17:30Goal by Klapka (Castagna)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Middleton, Klapka, Castagna, Suniev, Parekh · COL Burns, Manson, Roy, Kelly, L'Heureux

  15. P1 18:54Shot by Gridin, saved by Wedgewood
  16. P1 19:13Toews: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Whitecloud, Farabee, Bahl, Sharangovich · COL Kadri, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Makar

  17. P1 19:22Shot by Burns, saved by Cooley5v4
  18. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:23Parekh: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CGY Frost, Farabee, Coronato, Parekh, Gridin · COL Nelson, Manson, Kulak, Lehkonen

  21. P2 0:41Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Wedgewood4v4
  22. P2 2:30Shot by Necas, saved by Cooley
  23. P2 2:46Shot by Middleton, saved by Wedgewood
  24. P2 2:53Shot by Frost, saved by Wedgewood
  25. P2 3:12Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Cooley
  26. P2 4:31Shot by Pospisil, saved by Wedgewood
  27. P2 5:07Shot by Backlund, saved by Wedgewood
  28. P2 5:21Shot by Sharangovich, saved by Wedgewood
  29. P2 5:24Shot by Sharangovich, saved by Wedgewood
  30. P2 5:29Shot by Nemec, saved by Wedgewood
  31. P2 6:02Shot by Burns, saved by Cooley
  32. P2 6:45Goal by Toews (Juulsen, Kelly)+18 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Middleton, Klapka, Castagna, Suniev, Parekh · COL Toews, Juulsen, Roy, Kelly, L'Heureux

  33. P2 8:14Shot by Hughes, saved by Cooley
  34. P2 9:16Goal by Makar (MacKinnon, Kulak)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Frost, Kuznetsov, Coronato, Nemec, Honzek · COL Kadri, Kulak, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Makar

  35. P2 9:46Shot by Whitecloud, saved by Wedgewood
  36. P2 10:09Shot by Manson, saved by Cooley
  37. P2 10:19Shot by Landeskog, saved by Cooley
  38. P2 10:24Shot by Nelson, saved by Cooley
  39. P2 11:17Shot by Manson, saved by Cooley
  40. P2 11:39Goal by MacKinnon (L'Heureux)+8 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Strome, Middleton, Pospisil, Honzek, Parekh · COL Burns, Manson, MacKinnon, Roy, L'Heureux

  41. P2 12:23Shot by Kadri, saved by Cooley
  42. P2 12:26Shot by Hughes, saved by Cooley
  43. P2 13:46L'Heureux: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: CGY Middleton, Frost, Coronato, Parekh, Gridin · COL Burns, Manson, Roy, Kelly, L'Heureux

  44. P2 13:46Coronato: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: CGY Middleton, Frost, Coronato, Parekh, Gridin · COL Burns, Manson, Roy, Kelly, L'Heureux

  45. P2 14:39Shot by Backlund, saved by Wedgewood
  46. P2 19:38Kelly: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Frost, Kuznetsov, Nemec, Klapka, Gridin · COL Toews, Roy, Makar, Kelly, L'Heureux

  47. P2 19:59Shot by Parekh, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  48. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:17Parekh: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CGY Frost, Farabee, Coronato, Parekh, Gridin · COL Nelson, Manson, Lehkonen, Toews

  51. P3 0:50Shot by Necas, saved by Cooley4v4
  52. P3 1:41Shot by Backlund, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  53. P3 2:03Shot by Backlund, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  54. P3 3:18Shot by Pospisil, saved by Wedgewood
  55. P3 3:52Shot by Hughes, saved by Cooley
  56. P3 5:35Goal by Makar (MacKinnon, Kadri)+2 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Whitecloud, Farabee, Bahl, Sharangovich · COL Kadri, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Makar

  57. P3 5:57Shot by Honzek, saved by Wedgewood
  58. P3 6:07Shot by Kelly, saved by Cooley
  59. P3 6:13Shot by Hughes, saved by Cooley
  60. P3 6:21Shot by Hughes, saved by Cooley
  61. P3 6:34Goal by Schwartz (Hughes, Kulak)0 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Kuznetsov, Nemec, Klapka, Castagna, Suniev · COL Schwartz, Kulak, Juulsen, Svechkov, Hughes

  62. P3 7:17Goal by Backlund (Strome)0 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Strome, Middleton, Sharangovich, Parekh · COL Burns, Nelson, Manson, Landeskog, Necas

  63. P3 8:28Goal by Bahl (Farabee, Sharangovich)+1 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Frost, Whitecloud, Farabee, Bahl, Sharangovich · COL Kadri, MacKinnon, Juulsen, Makar, L'Heureux

  64. P3 9:41Goal by Schwartz (Svechkov, Burns)+1 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Strome, Middleton, Pospisil, Suniev, Parekh · COL Burns, Schwartz, Manson, Svechkov, Hughes

  65. P3 11:41Shot by Suniev, saved by Wedgewood
  66. P3 12:07Shot by L'Heureux, saved by Cooley
  67. P3 13:31Shot by Sharangovich, saved by Wedgewood
  68. P3 14:25Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Wedgewood
  69. P3 16:37Shot by Backlund, saved by Wedgewood
  70. P3 18:23Shot by L'Heureux, saved by Cooley
  71. P3 18:47Shot by Kelly, saved by Cooley
  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final