Thu, Oct 8, 2026·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Colorado Avalanche 7, Calgary Flames 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 53% of the time.
43%
10%
9%
39%
CGY winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Cale MakarD · #8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 22:17 | 0.13 | 40.4% | +33.8 |
 Josh MansonD · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:27 | 0.17 | 67.7% | 0.0 |
 Brent BurnsD · #84 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:00 | 0.03 | 67.3% | +1.1 |
 Devon ToewsD · #7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 18:54 | 0.16 | 58.4% | +33.9 |
 Nathan MacKinnonC · #29 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 18:42 | 0.27 | 35.5% | +26.2 |
 Brett KulakD · #27 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 18:42 | 0.01 | 37.4% | +16.5 |
 Artturi LehkonenLW · #62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 17:22 | 0.07 | 34.7% | 0.0 |
 Martin NecasC · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:18 | 0.22 | 69.2% | 0.0 |
 Nazem KadriC · #91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:14 | 0.11 | 35.3% | +1.7 |
 Noah JuulsenD · #47 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:35 | 0.00 | 48.4% | +17.9 |
 T.J. HughesRW · #13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 16:26 | 0.46 | 74.7% | +0.4 |
 Brock NelsonC · #11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:35 | 0.05 | 46.9% | +16.0 |
 Gabriel LandeskogLW · #92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:09 | 0.16 | 49.1% | 0.0 |
 Nicolas RoyC · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:03 | 0.28 | 60.3% | 0.0 |
 Jaden SchwartzLW · #71 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 13:51 | 0.25 | 73.0% | +1.5 |
 Fedor SvechkovC · #9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 11:55 | 0.00 | 73.5% | +1.1 |
 Parker KellyC · #17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:34 | 0.12 | 38.4% | +17.9 |
 Zachary L'HeureuxLW · #68 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10:56 | 0.17 | 54.7% | +8.5 |
 Scott Wedgewood#41 | W | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 2.75 | −0.3 | 60:00 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Kevin BahlD · #7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:59 | 0.12 | 72.1% | +1.2 |
 Zayne ParekhD · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:17 | 0.26 | 31.7% | 0.0 |
 Simon NemecD · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 20:10 | 0.11 | 42.2% | 0.0 |
 Yan KuznetsovD · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 18:51 | 0.04 | 25.7% | 0.0 |
 Jake MiddletonD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:34 | 0.03 | 33.4% | 0.0 |
 Zach WhitecloudD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:12 | 0.04 | 70.0% | 0.0 |
 Mikael BacklundC · #11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 17:41 | 1.04 | 69.8% | +0.3 |
 Morgan FrostC · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:24 | 0.20 | 49.0% | 0.0 |
 Joel FarabeeLW · #86 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:03 | 0.22 | 66.5% | +1.2 |
 Matt CoronatoRW · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:24 | 0.00 | 41.5% | 0.0 |
 Samuel HonzekLW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:53 | 0.03 | 17.4% | 0.0 |
 Yegor SharangovichC · #17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 14:49 | 0.22 | 71.2% | +1.2 |
 Matvei GridinRW · #92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:48 | 0.11 | 50.3% | 0.0 |
 Martin PospisilC · #76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:46 | 0.05 | 20.6% | 0.0 |
 Ryan StromeC · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 14:39 | 0.00 | 41.8% | +0.3 |
 Aydar SunievLW · #61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:41 | 0.03 | 46.9% | 0.0 |
 Adam KlapkaRW · #43 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 10:40 | 0.23 | 46.4% | +16.2 |
 Jonathan CastagnaC · #38 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 9:09 | 0.00 | 31.8% | +16.2 |
 Devin Cooley#1 | L | 30 | 23 | 7 | .767 | 2.67 | −4.3 | 60:00 |