Thu, Oct 8, 2026·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Colorado Avalanche 7, Calgary Flames 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 53% of the time.
43%
10%
9%
39%
CGY winsCOL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
CGY forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against COL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Kadri–Lehkonen–MacKinnon | Nelson–Landeskog–Necas | Schwartz–Svechkov–Hughes | Roy–Kelly–L'Heureux | Schwartz–Roy–Hughes | Burns–Manson | Toews–Makar | Kulak–Juulsen | Kulak–Makar | Toews–Juulsen | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Backlund–Farabee–Sharangovich | 7:120.64–0.39 | 3:080.07–0.01 | 3:150.04–0.01 | 6:230.41–0.39 | 1:480.31–0.00 | |||||
| Strome–Pospisil–Honzek | 3:060.02–0.17 | 4:010.12–0.00 | 1:130.03–0.09 | 2:560.03–0.56 | 2:340.04–0.00 | 2:180.08–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.00 | |||
| Frost–Coronato–Gridin | 0:480.00–0.00 | 2:050.03–0.14 | 1:460.05–0.00 | 1:590.04–0.06 | 2:460.01–0.02 | 1:450.00–0.14 | 2:280.26–0.12 | 0:580.03–0.00 | ||
| Klapka–Castagna–Suniev | 0:460.10–0.00 | 1:510.00–0.41 | 3:040.14–0.08 | 2:490.23–0.06 | 1:540.01–0.39 | |||||
| Frost–Coronato–Suniev | 0:480.02–0.00 | 0:500.03–0.08 | 1:380.05–0.08 | |||||||
| Frost–Klapka–Gridin | 1:050.01–0.00 | 0:520.01–0.00 | ||||||||
| Frost–Coronato–Honzek | 1:140.00–0.08 | 0:500.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Strome–Pospisil–Gridin | 0:330.02–0.00 | |||||||||
| Middleton–Parekh | 1:000.00–0.00 | 3:510.07–0.17 | 4:340.08–0.07 | 3:110.14–0.13 | 7:260.17–0.64 | 3:350.00–0.00 | 2:410.32–0.13 | 1:060.00–0.02 | ||
| Kuznetsov–Nemec | 0:460.00–0.08 | 2:430.06–0.14 | 3:580.05–0.38 | 2:220.08–0.05 | 3:220.11–0.04 | 2:090.04–0.14 | 4:300.04–0.38 | 0:580.00–0.11 | ||
| Whitecloud–Bahl | 6:260.57–0.39 | 1:480.10–0.01 | 1:010.05–0.05 | 0:460.28–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 3:080.10–0.05 | 5:040.32–0.39 | 1:250.30–0.00 | 0:300.28–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 |
| Bahl–Nemec | 2:010.32–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.08 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:300.07–0.00 | 1:210.05–0.09 | |||
| Whitecloud–Kuznetsov | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:570.03–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:160.03–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | |||||
| Bahl–Parekh | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
CGYCOLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Cale MakarCOL | 23 | 22:17 | 0:58 | 1:59 | 5 | 3 |
 Kevin BahlCGY | 26 | 21:59 | 0:51 | 1:38 | 5 | 2 |
 Zayne ParekhCGY | 25 | 21:17 | 0:51 | 1:51 | 5 | 1 |
 Josh MansonCOL | 26 | 20:27 | 0:47 | 1:44 | 0 | 2 |
 Simon NemecCGY | 24 | 20:10 | 0:50 | 1:44 | 3 | 5 |
 Brent BurnsCOL | 24 | 20:00 | 0:50 | 1:27 | 0 | 2 |
 Devon ToewsCOL | 24 | 18:54 | 0:47 | 1:11 | 3 | 4 |
 Yan KuznetsovCGY | 27 | 18:51 | 0:42 | 1:44 | 1 | 6 |
 Nathan MacKinnonCOL | 21 | 18:42 | 0:53 | 1:29 | 2 | 3 |
 Brett KulakCOL | 23 | 18:42 | 0:49 | 1:25 | 3 | 4 |
 Jake MiddletonCGY | 21 | 18:34 | 0:53 | 1:51 | 2 | 1 |
 Zach WhitecloudCGY | 24 | 18:12 | 0:46 | 1:30 | 4 | 3 |
 Mikael BacklundCGY | 21 | 17:41 | 0:51 | 1:33 | 3 | 2 |
 Morgan FrostCGY | 22 | 17:24 | 0:47 | 1:27 | 1 | 2 |
 Artturi LehkonenCOL | 22 | 17:22 | 0:47 | 1:18 | 2 | 5 |
 Martin NecasCOL | 19 | 17:18 | 0:55 | 2:02 | 6 | 2 |
 Nazem KadriCOL | 19 | 17:14 | 0:54 | 1:25 | 1 | 3 |
 Joel FarabeeCGY | 21 | 17:03 | 0:49 | 1:26 | 4 | 1 |
 Noah JuulsenCOL | 22 | 16:35 | 0:45 | 1:11 | 2 | 3 |
 T.J. HughesCOL | 19 | 16:26 | 0:52 | 1:27 | 5 | 2 |
 Matt CoronatoCGY | 20 | 16:24 | 0:49 | 1:44 | 2 | 2 |
 Samuel HonzekCGY | 20 | 15:53 | 0:48 | 2:29 | 2 | 4 |
 Brock NelsonCOL | 20 | 15:35 | 0:47 | 1:19 | 5 | 3 |
 Yegor SharangovichCGY | 18 | 14:49 | 0:49 | 1:35 | 3 | 2 |
 Matvei GridinCGY | 21 | 14:48 | 0:42 | 1:22 | 1 | 2 |
 Martin PospisilCGY | 19 | 14:46 | 0:47 | 2:23 | 1 | 2 |
 Ryan StromeCGY | 18 | 14:39 | 0:49 | 2:23 | 1 | 4 |
 Gabriel LandeskogCOL | 16 | 14:09 | 0:53 | 1:21 | 3 | 3 |
 Nicolas RoyCOL | 18 | 14:03 | 0:47 | 1:40 | 1 | 1 |
 Jaden SchwartzCOL | 18 | 13:51 | 0:46 | 1:24 | 5 | 3 |
 Fedor SvechkovCOL | 16 | 11:55 | 0:45 | 1:13 | 4 | 2 |
 Aydar SunievCGY | 15 | 11:41 | 0:47 | 1:24 | 4 | 2 |
 Parker KellyCOL | 18 | 11:34 | 0:39 | 1:07 | 1 | 2 |
 Zachary L'HeureuxCOL | 16 | 10:56 | 0:41 | 1:23 | 1 | 1 |
 Adam KlapkaCGY | 13 | 10:40 | 0:49 | 1:44 | 1 | 2 |
 Jonathan CastagnaCGY | 14 | 9:09 | 0:39 | 1:16 | 1 | 3 |