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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 8, 2026·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Vegas Golden Knights 4 (SO)

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Final

Shootout

Home

Vegas Golden Knights

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 80% of the time.

VGK winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:34Goal by Roslovic (Matthews, Marchenko)+14 pts WP

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Karlsson, Theodore, Marner, Howden · TOR Tanev, McCabe, Roslovic, Matthews, Marchenko

  3. P1 1:47Shot by Stecher, saved by Hill
  4. P1 2:01Shot by McKenna, saved by Hill
  5. P1 2:18Shot by Raddysh, saved by Hill
  6. P1 3:20Goal by Cowan (Tanev)+12 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Karlsson, Andersson, Wotherspoon, Marner, Howden · TOR Blueger, McCabe, Stecher, Groulx, Cowan

  7. P1 3:29Shot by Hanifin, saved by Bobrovsky
  8. P1 4:18Shot by Eichel, saved by Bobrovsky
  9. P1 6:39Shot by Matthews, saved by Hill
  10. P1 8:37Goal by Paul (Raddysh, McKenna)+10 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Hertl, Andersson, Wotherspoon, Lavoie, Connelly · TOR Rielly, Sissons, Paul, Raddysh, McKenna

  11. P1 10:50Shot by Stone, saved by Bobrovsky
  12. P1 12:31Shot by Andersson, saved by Bobrovsky
  13. P1 13:25Shot by Gatcomb, saved by Bobrovsky
  14. P1 14:36Shot by Cowan, saved by Hill
  15. P1 14:52Shot by Cowan, saved by Hill
  16. P1 16:00Shot by Connelly, saved by Bobrovsky
  17. P1 17:36Goal by Stone (Eichel, Barbashev)+9 pts WP

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Stone, Theodore, Barbashev, Eichel · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Raddysh, Cowan

  18. P1 18:17McKenna: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Stone, Theodore, Barbashev, Eichel · TOR Tanev, Sissons, McCabe, Paul, McKenna

  19. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:24Shot by Stone, saved by Bobrovsky
  22. P2 0:40Shot by Eichel, saved by Bobrovsky
  23. P2 0:49Shot by Barbashev, saved by Bobrovsky
  24. P2 1:12Goal by Howden (Marner, Karlsson)+15 pts WP

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Karlsson, Theodore, Marner, Howden · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Stecher, Cowan

  25. P2 1:45Shot by Wotherspoon, saved by Bobrovsky
  26. P2 2:21Shot by Hertl, saved by Bobrovsky
  27. P2 3:07Shot by Nylander, saved by Hill
  28. P2 3:19Shot by Marchenko, saved by Hill
  29. P2 3:55Shot by Eichel, saved by Bobrovsky
  30. P2 3:58Rielly: Penalty shot tripping on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: VGK Barbashev, Andersson, Eichel, Wotherspoon, Gatcomb · TOR Rielly, Raddysh, Roslovic, Matthews, Marchenko

  31. P2 3:58Goal by Eichel, unassistedother+17 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Barbashev, Andersson, Eichel, Wotherspoon, Gatcomb · TOR Rielly, Raddysh, Roslovic, Matthews, Marchenko

  32. P2 5:08Shot by Marner, saved by Bobrovsky6v5
  33. P2 5:09Ekman-Larsson: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: VGK Stone, Barbashev, Hanifin, Eichel, Lauzon, Marner · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Stecher, McKenna

  34. P2 6:13Shot by Stone, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  35. P2 6:45Shot by Connelly, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  36. P2 7:52Shot by Lauzon, saved by Bobrovsky
  37. P2 9:15Shot by McNabb, saved by Bobrovsky
  38. P2 10:04Shot by Paul, saved by Hill
  39. P2 11:44Shot by Theodore, saved by Bobrovsky
  40. P2 11:47Shot by Howden, saved by Bobrovsky
  41. P2 11:48Shot by Marner, saved by Bobrovsky
  42. P2 12:10Shot by Wotherspoon, saved by Bobrovsky
  43. P2 12:28Shot by Cowan, saved by Hill
  44. P2 12:44Shot by Lauzon, saved by Bobrovsky
  45. P2 13:09Ekman-Larsson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Stone, Theodore, Barbashev, Eichel · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Blueger, Raddysh, Marchenko, Cowan

  46. P2 13:30Shot by Connelly, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  47. P2 14:21Shot by Rielly, saved by Hill5v4
  48. P2 14:56Shot by Andersson, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  49. P2 15:07Shot by Barbashev, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  50. P2 15:54Shot by Nylander, saved by Hill
  51. P2 16:44Shot by Marchenko, saved by Hill
  52. P2 17:27Stone: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Stone, Barbashev, Hanifin, Eichel, Lauzon · TOR Tavares, McCabe, Raddysh, Marchenko, McKenna

  53. P2 19:12Shot by Roslovic, saved by Hill4v5
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 1:37Shot by Stone, saved by Bobrovsky
  57. P3 2:45Shot by Matthews, saved by Hill
  58. P3 2:48Shot by Nylander, saved by Hill
  59. P3 3:43Shot by Marner, saved by Bobrovsky
  60. P3 5:50Shot by McCabe, saved by Hill
  61. P3 8:22Shot by Karlsson, saved by Bobrovsky
  62. P3 8:54Shot by Barbashev, saved by Bobrovsky
  63. P3 8:58Groulx: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Stone, Theodore, Barbashev, Eichel · TOR Tanev, Paul, Raddysh, Groulx, McKenna

  64. P3 9:43Shot by Marner, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  65. P3 9:49Shot by Hertl, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  66. P3 11:01Shot by Hertl, saved by Bobrovsky
  67. P3 13:29Shot by Nylander, saved by Hill
  68. P3 14:09Shot by Andersson, saved by Bobrovsky
  69. P3 19:03Shot by Theodore, saved by Bobrovsky
  70. P3 19:05Shot by Eichel, saved by Bobrovsky
  71. P3 19:10Shot by Barbashev, saved by Bobrovsky
  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. OT 0:00Period start
  74. OT 2:04Shot by Roslovic, saved by Hill3v3
  75. OT 2:16Shot by Howden, saved by Bobrovsky3v3
  76. OT 3:37Shot by Theodore, saved by Bobrovsky3v3
  77. OT 3:56Shot by Nylander, saved by Hill3v3
  78. OT 4:08Shot by Marner, saved by Bobrovsky3v3
  79. OT 4:44Shot by Eichel, saved by Bobrovsky3v3
  80. OT 4:53Shot by Marchenko, saved by Hill3v3
  81. OT 5:00Period end3v3
  82. SO Period start
  83. SO Goal by Bowman, unassistedother
  84. SO Goal by Marchenko, unassistedother
  85. SO Shot by Matthews, saved by Hillother
  86. SO Shot by Nylander, saved by Hillother
  87. SO Goal by Connelly, unassistedother
  88. SO Shot by Tavares, saved by Hillother
  89. SO Period endother
  90. SO Finalother