TOR 3 @ VGK 4 · Oct 8, 2026

Thu, Oct 8, 2026·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

Final

Shootout

Home

Vegas Golden Knights

Three stars

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 80% of the time.

74%

14%

VGK winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

VGK forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

	Sissons–Paul–McKenna	Nylander–Roslovic–Matthews	Roslovic–Matthews–Marchenko	Tavares–Marchenko–Cowan	Blueger–Duhaime–Groulx	Tavares–Nylander–Cowan	Sissons–Paul–Cowan	Tavares–Nylander–Marchenko	Tanev–McCabe	Rielly–Raddysh	Ekman-Larsson–Stecher	Ekman-Larsson–Raddysh	Rielly–Stecher
Stone–Barbashev–Eichel	1:590.15–0.00	1:520.00–0.03	0:560.14–0.00	2:000.27–0.06		3:110.15–0.11			4:470.41–0.14	3:170.34–0.06	2:140.03–0.00	0:560.00–0.00	0:320.01–0.00
Karlsson–Marner–Howden		1:460.38–0.00	2:570.02–0.18	0:400.07–0.02	1:570.10–0.00		0:400.00–0.00	0:490.00–0.02	6:010.18–0.09	2:380.39–0.12	1:450.14–0.00		0:500.00–0.00
Dowd–Gatcomb–Bowman		1:550.07–0.13	1:460.06–0.05	0:550.00–0.00	1:000.03–0.00		0:410.02–0.00		1:170.02–0.00	3:420.13–0.18	1:370.03–0.06	0:520.00–0.00
Hertl–Lavoie–Connelly	4:210.00–0.41				0:430.02–0.00				2:160.06–0.00	1:430.00–0.20	3:010.02–0.06
Karlsson–Barbashev–Bowman													0:550.01–0.00
McNabb–Theodore	2:320.04–0.00	4:130.60–0.21	3:080.00–0.11	0:340.04–0.00		1:540.25–0.11			5:260.29–0.17	5:470.50–0.18	1:500.13–0.13	1:030.00–0.00	0:370.00–0.07
Hanifin–Lauzon	1:410.00–0.10	1:550.08–0.03	1:460.06–0.12	1:180.09–0.06	1:130.03–0.00	0:440.03–0.00		0:470.00–0.02	3:330.09–0.03	3:120.27–0.18	4:150.04–0.10	1:310.04–0.02	1:160.01–0.00
Andersson–Wotherspoon	3:340.01–0.35	0:420.00–0.00	1:040.35–0.00	2:100.07–0.02	2:120.12–0.00	1:070.00–0.00	0:460.02–0.00		4:300.16–0.02	3:450.35–0.20	3:230.05–0.00	0:390.01–0.00	0:460.00–0.00
Hanifin–Andersson							0:400.00–0.00		1:230.16–0.00	0:380.20–0.00
Hanifin–Wotherspoon									0:310.19–0.00

Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

VGKTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals


Jack EichelVGK	23	26:38	1:09	3:03	2	4
Darren RaddyshTOR	33	24:45	0:45	1:57	7	2
Mitch MarnerVGK	24	24:10	1:00	2:06	9	0
Mark StoneVGK	21	23:57	1:08	2:49	2	3
Jake McCabeTOR	32	23:32	0:44	1:38	1	14
Chris TanevTOR	30	22:10	0:44	1:38	2	13
Noah HanifinVGK	26	21:48	0:50	1:15	3	2
Auston MatthewsTOR	23	21:32	0:56	1:50	4	3
Morgan RiellyTOR	30	20:57	0:42	1:20	5	2
Shea TheodoreVGK	27	20:49	0:46	1:40	4	2
William NylanderTOR	21	20:31	0:59	1:54	3	2
William KarlssonVGK	23	18:55	0:49	1:42	9	1
Rasmus AnderssonVGK	24	18:42	0:47	1:28	5	0
Ivan BarbashevVGK	21	18:34	0:53	1:26	4	2
Kirill MarchenkoTOR	20	18:20	0:55	3:08	3	2
Brayden McNabbVGK	24	18:10	0:45	1:27	4	3
Jack RoslovicTOR	20	17:32	0:53	1:28	3	4
Nick PaulTOR	21	17:05	0:49	1:49	1	3
Parker WotherspoonVGK	20	17:00	0:51	1:42	2	1
Troy StecherTOR	23	16:35	0:43	1:24	0	3
Jeremy LauzonVGK	21	15:59	0:46	1:17	2	2
Colton SissonsTOR	23	15:47	0:41	1:15	1	5
Trevor ConnellyVGK	16	15:26	0:58	2:11	5	0
John TavaresTOR	20	15:26	0:46	1:53	2	3
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR	26	15:22	0:35	1:34	0	4
Brett HowdenVGK	20	15:18	0:46	1:06	8	1
Tomas HertlVGK	14	14:41	1:03	2:17	5	0
Gavin McKennaTOR	17	14:08	0:50	1:20	0	1
Easton CowanTOR	18	14:00	0:47	1:07	1	6
Braeden BowmanVGK	19	13:36	0:43	1:51	4	2
Brandon DuhaimeTOR	17	12:07	0:43	1:38	0	9
Nic DowdVGK	16	11:15	0:42	1:04	3	3
Teddy BluegerTOR	14	11:02	0:47	1:38	0	4
Marc GatcombVGK	15	10:08	0:41	1:03	3	2
Raphael LavoieVGK	10	8:14	0:49	1:16	1	0
Bo GroulxTOR	9	6:09	0:41	1:21	1	1

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Vegas Golden Knights 4 (SO)

Who was on the ice

Shift totals