Thu, Oct 8, 2026·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Vegas Golden Knights 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 80% of the time.
74%
14%
VGK winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24:45 | 0.03 | 26.9% | +9.6 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 23:32 | 0.03 | 37.4% | 0.0 |
 Chris TanevD · #8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:10 | 0.00 | 19.4% | +12.1 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:32 | 0.11 | 27.6% | +14.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:57 | 0.15 | 29.4% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 20:31 | 0.44 | 28.0% | 0.0 |
 Kirill MarchenkoRW · #86 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:20 | 0.35 | 27.6% | +14.0 |
 Jack RoslovicC · #96 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:32 | 0.56 | 25.0% | +14.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:05 | 0.38 | 49.0% | +9.6 |
 Troy StecherD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:35 | 0.01 | 57.4% | 0.0 |
 Colton SissonsC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:47 | 0.00 | 56.7% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:26 | 0.19 | 24.5% | 0.0 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:22 | 0.00 | 50.9% | 0.0 |
 Gavin McKennaLW · #92 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:08 | 0.05 | 59.7% | +9.6 |
 Easton CowanRW · #53 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 14:00 | 0.27 | 32.4% | +12.1 |
 Brandon DuhaimeLW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:07 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
 Teddy BluegerC · #73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:02 | 0.00 | 47.8% | 0.0 |
 Bo GroulxC · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 6:09 | 0.00 | 26.4% | 0.0 |
 Sergei Bobrovsky#72 | O | 43 | 40 | 3 | .930 | 4.72 | +1.7 | 65:00 |
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jack EichelC · #9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 26:38 | 0.75 | 84.8% | +26.5 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #93 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 24:10 | 0.56 | 66.9% | +14.9 |
 Mark StoneRW · #61 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 23:57 | 0.69 | 79.3% | +9.5 |
 Noah HanifinD · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:48 | 0.04 | 76.4% | 0.0 |
 Shea TheodoreD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 20:49 | 0.17 | 66.8% | 0.0 |
 William KarlssonC · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:55 | 0.04 | 69.4% | +14.9 |
 Rasmus AnderssonD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 18:42 | 0.16 | 63.5% | 0.0 |
 Ivan BarbashevLW · #49 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:34 | 0.26 | 87.3% | +9.5 |
 Brayden McNabbD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:10 | 0.09 | 63.4% | 0.0 |
 Parker WotherspoonD · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:00 | 0.13 | 62.9% | 0.0 |
 Jeremy LauzonD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:59 | 0.05 | 59.2% | 0.0 |
 Trevor ConnellyLW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:26 | 0.42 | 50.5% | 0.0 |
 Brett HowdenC · #21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 15:18 | 0.45 | 66.2% | +14.9 |
 Tomas HertlC · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:41 | 0.73 | 31.5% | 0.0 |
 Braeden BowmanRW · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:36 | 0.00 | 52.0% | 0.0 |
 Nic DowdC · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:15 | 0.00 | 36.0% | 0.0 |
 Marc GatcombC · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:08 | 0.17 | 69.6% | 0.0 |
 Raphael LavoieC · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:14 | 0.00 | 23.2% | 0.0 |
 Adin Hill#33 | W | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 2.57 | −0.4 | 64:40 |