Sun, Oct 11, 2026·Capital One Arena, Washington
Seattle Kraken 5, Washington Capitals 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 74% of the time.
19%
69%
WSH winsSEA wins
Seattle Kraken
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 0 | 24:43 | 0.04 | 59.5% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 24:38 | 0.03 | 28.6% | +31.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 24:12 | 0.10 | 54.1% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 20:02 | 0.03 | 38.8% | +31.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 18:58 | 0.95 | 62.2% | +19.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 18:24 | 0.81 | 62.3% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 18:16 | 0.00 | 61.5% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:20 | 0.20 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 15:51 | 0.26 | 26.8% | +29.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:36 | 1.57 | 45.8% | +31.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:21 | 0.06 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 13:06 | 0.00 | 30.9% | +29.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:00 | 0.11 | 79.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:49 | 0.12 | 76.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:25 | 0.27 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:15 | 0.18 | 77.8% | +14.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 10:45 | 0.18 | 52.9% | +29.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:19 | 0.10 | 63.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 36 | 33 | 3 | .917 | 3.31 | +0.3 | 60:00 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 8 | 27:23 | 0.26 | 41.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:32 | 0.00 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:17 | 0.00 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:52 | 0.25 | 77.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:49 | 0.18 | 76.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20:02 | 0.26 | 71.9% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:34 | 0.36 | 84.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:47 | 0.00 | 88.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:56 | 0.41 | 22.9% | +18.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 15:49 | 0.23 | 61.3% | +15.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15:31 | 0.68 | 43.3% | +21.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 15:21 | 0.28 | 60.5% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:49 | 0.10 | 22.9% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:51 | 0.15 | 29.5% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 11:36 | 0.00 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:11 | 0.16 | 24.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:53 | 0.00 | 24.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:05 | 0.00 | 29.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 22 | 5 | .815 | 3.35 | −1.7 | 57:42 |