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Ice Lab

Mon, Oct 12, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Florida Panthers 3, Buffalo Sabres 5

Away

Florida Panthers

3

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 62% of the time.

BUF winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:28Shot by Dahlin, saved by Markstrom
  3. P1 1:02Shot by Doan, saved by Markstrom
  4. P1 1:49Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Markstrom
  5. P1 2:01Shot by Zellweger, saved by Markstrom
  6. P1 2:03Shot by Benson, saved by Markstrom
  7. P1 2:39Shot by Zellweger, saved by Markstrom
  8. P1 4:03Shot by Forsling, saved by Ellis
  9. P1 5:21Shot by Ostlund, saved by Markstrom
  10. P1 5:58Goal by Doan (Krebs)+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Thompson, Krebs, Doan, Power, Metsa · FLA Ekblad, Bennett, Forsling, Tkachuk, Tkachuk

  11. P1 8:37Shot by Forsling, saved by Ellis
  12. P1 9:02Shot by Norris, saved by Markstrom
  13. P1 9:28Shot by Jones, saved by Ellis
  14. P1 10:08Shot by Kulich, saved by Markstrom
  15. P1 10:55Shot by Ekblad, saved by Ellis
  16. P1 11:00Goal by Lundell (Ekblad, Vilmanis)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Thompson, Krebs, Crevier, Zellweger, Helenius · FLA Ekblad, Forsling, Luostarinen, Lundell, Vilmanis

  17. P1 14:40Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Ellis
  18. P1 15:15Kulikov: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Malenstyn, Norris, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Kozak · FLA Kulikov, Gudas, Verhaeghe, Reinhart, Lafferty

  19. P1 15:55Goal by Dahlin (Quinn, Thompson)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Thompson, Dahlin, Quinn, Ostlund, Benson · FLA Eller, Jones, Hathaway, Mikkola

  20. P1 17:01Gudas: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Crevier, Quinn, Zellweger, Ostlund, Benson · FLA Kulikov, Gudas, Luostarinen, Lundell, Vilmanis

  21. P1 18:56Shot by Ekblad, saved by Ellis5v4
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 2:58Shot by Crevier, saved by Schmid
  25. P2 3:17Shot by Helenius, saved by Schmid
  26. P2 3:26Ekblad: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Thompson, Krebs, Doan, Power, Metsa · FLA Eller, Hathaway, Ekblad, Forsling, Imama

  27. P2 3:29Shot by Dahlin, saved by Schmid5v4
  28. P2 3:33Shot by Dahlin, saved by Schmid5v4
  29. P2 3:56Shot by Ostlund, saved by Schmid5v4
  30. P2 5:08Shot by Norris, saved by Schmid5v4
  31. P2 5:55Zellweger: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Malenstyn, McLeod, Samuelsson, Zellweger, Kozak · FLA Kulikov, Verhaeghe, Reinhart, Forsling, Luostarinen

  32. P2 6:23Shot by Jones, saved by Ellis4v5
  33. P2 6:26Goal by Reinhart (Jones, Tkachuk)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF McLeod, Samuelsson, Benson, Metsa · FLA Verhaeghe, Jones, Reinhart, Tkachuk, Tkachuk

  34. P2 7:08Shot by Zellweger, saved by Schmid
  35. P2 7:39Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Schmid
  36. P2 7:49Shot by Jones, saved by Luukkonen
  37. P2 11:25Goal by McLeod (Zellweger, Power)+26 pts WP

    On ice: BUF McLeod, Power, Zellweger, Kulich, Helenius · FLA Verhaeghe, Jones, Reinhart, Lafferty, Mikkola

  38. P2 12:48Malenstyn: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Malenstyn, Norris, Crevier, Power, Kozak · FLA Kulikov, Gudas, Luostarinen, Lundell, Vilmanis

  39. P2 13:01Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  40. P2 13:33Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  41. P2 13:37Shot by Jones, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  42. P2 13:41Goal by Reinhart (Tkachuk, Jones)4v5+25 pts WP

    On ice: BUF McLeod, Samuelsson, Ostlund, Metsa · FLA Verhaeghe, Jones, Reinhart, Tkachuk, Tkachuk

  43. P2 15:26Shot by McLeod, saved by Schmid
  44. P2 17:14Shot by Power, saved by Schmid
  45. P2 19:12Shot by Zellweger, saved by Schmid
  46. P2 19:48Shot by Zellweger, saved by Schmid
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 1:11Shot by Ekblad, saved by Luukkonen
  50. P3 1:55Shot by Quinn, saved by Schmid
  51. P3 5:00Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Luukkonen
  52. P3 5:58Shot by Crevier, saved by Schmid
  53. P3 6:15Ekblad: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Norris, Samuelsson, Crevier, Quinn, Benson · FLA Eller, Hathaway, Ekblad, Forsling, Imama

  54. P3 7:15Goal by Ostlund (Benson, Quinn)5v4+32 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Thompson, Quinn, Power, Ostlund, Benson · FLA Eller, Kulikov, Forsling, Luostarinen

  55. P3 8:51Shot by Doan, saved by Schmid
  56. P3 9:23Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Luukkonen
  57. P3 10:19Shot by Hathaway, saved by Luukkonen
  58. P3 10:24Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Luukkonen
  59. P3 12:03Shot by Kulich, saved by Schmid
  60. P3 13:20Goal by Thompson (Power, Krebs)+10 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Thompson, Krebs, Crevier, Doan, Power · FLA Ekblad, Bennett, Forsling, Tkachuk, Tkachuk

  61. P3 13:39Norris: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Malenstyn, Norris, Power, Zellweger, Kozak · FLA Verhaeghe, Jones, Reinhart, Lafferty, Mikkola

  62. P3 14:29Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  63. P3 15:19Shot by Lundell, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  64. P3 15:21Shot by Bennett, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  65. P3 16:23Shot by Zellweger, saved by Schmid
  66. P3 16:26Luostarinen: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Krebs, Doan, Power, Zellweger, Ostlund · FLA Eller, Lafferty, Forsling, Mikkola, Luostarinen

  67. P3 17:21Shot by Benson, saved by Schmid5v4
  68. P3 18:08Norris: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Norris, McLeod, Samuelsson, Doan, Zellweger · FLA Ekblad, Lafferty, Forsling, Vilmanis

  69. P3 19:42Shot by Lundell, saved by Luukkonen4v6
  70. P3 0:00Period end4v6
  71. P3 0:00Final4v6