Mon, Oct 12, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Florida Panthers 3, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 62% of the time.
55%
8%
30%
BUF winsFLA wins
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Gustav ForslingD · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 24:10 | 0.20 | 53.4% | 0.0 |
 Seth JonesD · #3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 23:55 | 0.41 | 28.3% | +45.7 |
 Sam ReinhartC · #13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 20:27 | 0.43 | 10.8% | +45.7 |
 Aaron EkbladD · #5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 20:25 | 0.32 | 58.9% | +16.1 |
 Niko MikkolaD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:48 | 0.01 | 25.3% | 0.0 |
 Matthew TkachukLW · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 18:25 | 0.04 | 28.4% | +20.6 |
 Carter VerhaegheC · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:37 | 0.06 | 10.4% | 0.0 |
 Eetu LuostarinenC · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:37 | 0.12 | 52.1% | 0.0 |
 Brady TkachukLW · #8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 16:32 | 0.79 | 26.8% | +25.1 |
 Sam BennettC · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:34 | 0.03 | 44.7% | 0.0 |
 Sam LaffertyC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:54 | 0.00 | 3.8% | 0.0 |
 Anton LundellC · #15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:51 | 0.23 | 60.2% | +16.1 |
 Dmitry KulikovD · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:32 | 0.00 | 3.5% | 0.0 |
 Lars EllerC · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:36 | 0.17 | 42.6% | 0.0 |
 Radko GudasD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:27 | 0.01 | 13.7% | 0.0 |
 Sandis VilmanisLW · #95 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:21 | 0.00 | 64.6% | +16.1 |
 Garnet HathawayRW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:05 | 0.28 | 73.5% | 0.0 |
 Bokondji ImamaLW · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:56 | 0.00 | 69.8% | 0.0 |
 Jacob Markstrom#25 | – | 11 | 9 | 2 | .818 | 1.45 | −0.5 | 20:00 |
 Akira Schmid#40 | L | 21 | 18 | 3 | .857 | 2.05 | −0.9 | 38:08 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Mattias SamuelssonD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26:59 | 0.07 | 55.6% | 0.0 |
 Owen PowerD · #25 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 26:31 | 0.01 | 65.0% | +35.8 |
 Olen ZellwegerD · #8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 20:03 | 0.54 | 69.2% | +25.5 |
 Zach BensonLW · #6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:40 | 0.59 | 72.0% | +32.3 |
 Tage ThompsonC · #72 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 17:58 | 0.21 | 60.1% | +26.3 |
 Noah OstlundC · #86 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:54 | 0.30 | 52.6% | +32.3 |
 Jack QuinnRW · #22 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17:35 | 0.06 | 58.7% | +48.3 |
 Josh DoanRW · #91 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 16:15 | 0.34 | 71.0% | +13.8 |
 Ryan McLeodC · #71 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:04 | 0.32 | 78.6% | +25.5 |
 Zach MetsaD · #73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:38 | 0.00 | 79.2% | 0.0 |
 Peyton KrebsC · #19 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 15:08 | 0.09 | 68.0% | +24.2 |
 Louis CrevierD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:03 | 0.09 | 59.6% | 0.0 |
 Konsta HeleniusC · #94 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:52 | 0.05 | 59.4% | 0.0 |
 Jiri KulichC · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:52 | 0.13 | 56.4% | 0.0 |
 Josh NorrisC · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:24 | 0.36 | 76.1% | 0.0 |
 Tyson KozakC · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:46 | 0.05 | 72.6% | 0.0 |
 Beck MalenstynLW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:56 | 0.38 | 96.4% | 0.0 |
 Rasmus DahlinD · #26 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9:06 | 0.28 | 70.9% | +16.0 |
 Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen#1 | W | 14 | 13 | 1 | .929 | 2.09 | +1.1 | 33:34 |
 Colten Ellis#92 | – | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 1.00 | −1.0 | 26:26 |