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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 9, 2010·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa

Atlanta Thrashers 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 57% of the time.

TBL winsATL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against ATL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Modin–Antropov–DawesLadd–Bergfors–LittleStewart–Peverley–KaneThorburn–Eager–BurmistrovEnstrom–ByfuglienOduya–BogosianSopel–HainseyEnstrom–BogosianHainsey–Byfuglien
Lecavalier–Gagne–Malone5:310.10–0.261:050.12–0.001:550.06–0.063:040.12–0.164:440.10–0.160:360.06–0.000:400.00–0.00
St. Louis–Downie–Stamkos1:140.39–0.003:470.35–0.150:580.07–0.071:010.00–0.003:030.20–0.272:200.58–0.000:470.03–0.000:310.00–0.00
Moore–Bergenheim–Purcell0:390.00–0.062:280.01–0.033:170.45–0.082:300.33–0.061:130.10–0.012:080.04–0.031:000.02–0.06
Hall–Thompson–Tyrell0:440.00–0.003:530.26–0.021:030.00–0.001:030.17–0.002:240.09–0.02
Thompson–Purcell–Tyrell0:540.00–0.021:180.00–0.04
Kubina–Lundin3:510.25–0.222:530.08–0.062:130.42–0.082:550.08–0.063:360.38–0.185:060.29–0.202:160.15–0.040:320.00–0.00
Clark–Hedman2:160.09–0.053:300.27–0.031:300.10–0.032:380.04–0.004:330.01–0.162:280.40–0.032:380.05–0.000:330.02–0.000:430.00–0.00
Jones–Vernace1:480.15–0.081:470.20–0.102:020.11–0.082:580.25–0.160:560.09–0.001:320.12–0.060:360.00–0.05
Jones–Lundin1:580.00–0.031:090.00–0.020:420.00–0.06
Kubina–Vernace0:330.00–0.020:370.08–0.000:530.13–0.000:440.02–0.02
Lundin–Hedman0:410.00–0.000:310.07–0.001:140.07–0.02
Kubina–Hedman
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndLecavalier FSt. Louis FStamkos FMalone FGagne FDownie FBergenheim FPurcell FMoore FHall FTyrell FThompson FKubina DLundin DClark DHedman DJones DVernace DSmith GDawes FModin FAntropov FKane FStewart FByfuglien FPeverley FLittle FLadd FBergfors FBurmistrov FEager FThorburn FBogosian DOduya DEnstrom DSopel DHainsey DMason G
TBLATLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Toby EnstromATL2829:131:032:2333
Zach BogosianATL2425:071:033:0843
Pavel KubinaTBL3023:360:471:4156
Victor HedmanTBL3022:580:461:3435
Mike LundinTBL3022:410:451:4437
Dustin ByfuglienATL2422:340:562:2011
Brett ClarkTBL3021:190:431:3424
Steven StamkosTBL2319:330:511:3812
Vincent LecavalierTBL2318:570:491:5863
Johnny OduyaATL2518:540:451:2524
Martin St. LouisTBL2318:380:491:3811
Rich PeverleyATL2118:300:532:0032
Nik AntropovATL1717:411:022:3122
Simon GagneTBL2217:330:481:3973
Evander KaneATL2017:320:532:3022
Bryan LittleATL2215:510:431:5753
Nate ThompsonTBL2014:330:441:2114
Andrew LaddATL2214:290:401:1543
Randy JonesTBL2314:160:371:1323
Freddy ModinATL1713:590:491:3013
Alexander BurmistrovATL1913:560:441:0804
Anthony StewartATL2013:520:421:1413
Brent SopelATL1813:310:451:2514
Dominic MooreTBL2213:280:371:1925
Ryan MaloneTBL2113:160:381:0242
Steve DownieTBL2213:020:361:2111
Sean BergenheimTBL1813:010:431:3314
Niclas BergforsATL1812:300:421:1541
Chris ThorburnATL1912:230:390:5612
Nigel DawesATL1512:150:491:3012
Ron HainseyATL1710:540:381:1410
Teddy PurcellTBL1510:470:431:2912
Adam HallTBL1410:310:451:3422
Mike VernaceTBL1610:040:380:5910
Ben EagerATL159:260:380:5711
Dana TyrellTBL128:440:441:1810