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Ice Lab

Mon, Oct 18, 2010·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa

Dallas Stars 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 77% of the time.

TBL winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:23Shot by Tyrell, saved by Lehtonen
  3. P1 1:12Shot by Segal, saved by Smith
  4. P1 3:14Shot by Hedman, saved by Lehtonen
  5. P1 3:20Shot by Thompson, saved by Lehtonen
  6. P1 3:50Stamkos: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Lundin, Downie, Stamkos · DAL Robidas, Ott, Sutherby, Segal, Grossmann

  7. P1 6:03Shot by Ott, saved by Smith
  8. P1 6:11Shot by Robidas, saved by Smith
  9. P1 6:45Shot by Purcell, saved by Lehtonen
  10. P1 7:54Shot by Thompson, saved by Lehtonen
  11. P1 8:12Shot by St. Louis, saved by Lehtonen
  12. P1 8:13Stamkos: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Lundin, Downie, Stamkos · DAL Robidas, Morrow, Ribeiro, Burish, Grossmann

  13. P1 9:28Shot by Morrow, saved by Smith4v5
  14. P1 10:55Shot by Wandell, saved by Smith
  15. P1 11:37Shot by Moore, saved by Lehtonen
  16. P1 12:48Shot by St. Louis, saved by Lehtonen
  17. P1 14:40Shot by Thompson, saved by Lehtonen6v5
  18. P1 14:41Fistric: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Hall, Thompson, Tyrell, Hedman · DAL Richards, Daley, Eriksson, Fistric, Neal

  19. P1 15:04Goal by Petersen (Robidas)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Gagne, Malone, Stamkos · DAL Robidas, Skrastins, Petersen, Burish

  20. P1 15:41Shot by Robidas, saved by Smith5v4
  21. P1 16:05Shot by Gagne, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  22. P1 16:13Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  23. P1 16:21Goal by Downie (St. Louis, Stamkos)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Gagne, Downie, Stamkos · DAL Petersen, Burish, Daley, Grossmann

  24. P1 17:48Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Lehtonen
  25. P1 17:48Fistric: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Moore, Bergenheim, Jones, Vernace, Purcell · DAL Morrow, Ribeiro, Segal, Daley, Fistric

  26. P1 19:44Shot by Hedman, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  27. P1 19:46Goal by Stamkos (Hedman, Malone)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Malone, Stamkos, Hedman · DAL Morrow, Ribeiro, Daley, Grossmann

  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:33Shot by Clark, saved by Lehtonen
  31. P2 1:18Shot by Segal, saved by Smith
  32. P2 3:34Shot by Hedman, saved by Lehtonen
  33. P2 4:11Shot by St. Louis, saved by Lehtonen
  34. P2 6:04Goal by Burish (Ribeiro, Morrow)+21 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Hall, Thompson, Vernace, Tyrell · DAL Morrow, Ribeiro, Burish, Daley, Fistric

  35. P2 6:28Shot by Malone, saved by Lehtonen
  36. P2 6:30Shot by Gagne, saved by Lehtonen
  37. P2 6:37Shot by Thompson, saved by Lehtonen
  38. P2 6:38Shot by Hall, saved by Lehtonen
  39. P2 7:27Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lehtonen
  40. P2 7:51Shot by Downie, saved by Lehtonen
  41. P2 9:26Goal by Bergenheim (Stamkos, Purcell)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Bergenheim, Lundin, Purcell, Stamkos · DAL Ribeiro, Sutherby, Burish, Daley, Fistric

  42. P2 9:50Shot by Lundin, saved by Lehtonen
  43. P2 11:04Smaby: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Smaby, Vernace, Downie, Stamkos · DAL Petersen, Daley, Fistric, Gagnon, Wandell

  44. P2 13:18Shot by Downie, saved by Lehtonen
  45. P2 13:43Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lehtonen
  46. P2 13:49Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lehtonen
  47. P2 14:15Shot by Jones, saved by Lehtonen
  48. P2 14:19Niskanen: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Jones, Vernace, Downie, Stamkos · DAL Petersen, Sutherby, Daley, Gagnon, Niskanen

  49. P2 14:33Shot by Gagne, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  50. P2 15:52Shot by Kubina, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  51. P2 16:26Shot by Kubina, saved by Lehtonen
  52. P2 17:36Robidas: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Bergenheim, Jones, Stamkos · DAL Robidas, Morrow, Ribeiro, Burish, Grossmann

  53. P2 18:06Goal by Moore (Kubina, Downie)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Moore, Downie, Purcell, Hedman · DAL Skrastins, Petersen, Burish, Daley

  54. P2 18:36Shot by Tyrell, saved by Lehtonen
  55. P2 19:15Shot by Niskanen, saved by Smith
  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 1:43Shot by Gagne, saved by Lehtonen
  59. P3 2:52Shot by St. Louis, saved by Lehtonen
  60. P3 4:35Neal: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Downie, Stamkos, Hedman · DAL Robidas, Richards, Eriksson, Niskanen, Neal

  61. P3 4:49Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  62. P3 6:11Goal by Moore (Purcell, Hedman)5v4+5 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Moore, Downie, Purcell, Hedman · DAL Robidas, Skrastins, Eriksson, Wandell

  63. P3 6:24Goal by Morrow, unassisted+4 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Gagne, Malone, Bergenheim, Jones, Lundin · DAL Robidas, Morrow, Ribeiro, Segal, Niskanen

  64. P3 6:46Shot by Hedman, saved by Lehtonen
  65. P3 7:07Shot by Eriksson, saved by Smith
  66. P3 7:33Shot by Daley, saved by Smith
  67. P3 7:52Moore: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Gagne, Moore, Lundin, Downie · DAL Ott, Burish, Daley, Niskanen, Wandell

  68. P3 8:20Shot by Richards, saved by Smith4v5
  69. P3 9:37Shot by Richards, saved by Smith4v5
  70. P3 9:44Shot by Ott, saved by Smith4v5
  71. P3 9:58Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Smith
  72. P3 12:15Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Smith
  73. P3 12:43Shot by Gagne, saved by Lehtonen
  74. P3 12:46Shot by Moore, saved by Lehtonen
  75. P3 13:58Shot by Lundin, saved by Lehtonen
  76. P3 17:13Shot by Malone, saved by Lehtonen
  77. P3 19:00Goal by Neal (Richards, Ribeiro)5v6+5 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, Hall, Moore, Thompson, Hedman · DAL Robidas, Morrow, Ribeiro, Richards, Eriksson, Neal

  78. P3 19:03Malone: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Gagne, Malone, Hedman · DAL Richards, Ott, Burish, Niskanen, Wandell

  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. P3 0:00Final