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Ice Lab

Mon, Oct 18, 2010·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa

Dallas Stars 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 77% of the time.

TBL winsDAL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DAL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Richards–Eriksson–NealPetersen–Gagnon–WandellMorrow–Ribeiro–BurishOtt–Burish–WandellMorrow–Ribeiro–SegalOtt–Sutherby–SegalPetersen–Sutherby–GagnonSkrastins–NiskanenDaley–FistricRobidas–GrossmannRobidas–NiskanenDaley–GrossmannDaley–Niskanen
Hall–Thompson–Tyrell8:180.56–0.110:480.03–0.120:360.00–0.003:520.34–0.002:040.11–0.121:240.14–0.002:340.00–0.110:330.00–0.00
St. Louis–Downie–Stamkos1:360.00–0.021:020.04–0.001:100.02–0.030:430.00–0.001:150.07–0.180:440.21–0.000:430.00–0.051:290.16–0.033:100.04–0.131:080.01–0.020:440.02–0.000:440.21–0.00
Gagne–Malone–Moore0:320.09–0.002:170.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:560.00–0.001:060.23–0.000:400.08–0.000:420.06–0.003:310.24–0.001:100.02–0.000:360.08–0.00
St. Louis–Bergenheim–Purcell0:430.00–0.000:490.04–0.000:530.04–0.000:350.00–0.00
Gagne–Bergenheim–Purcell1:230.04–0.001:050.04–0.000:310.00–0.00
Bergenheim–Purcell–Stamkos0:360.00–0.000:520.08–0.00
Thompson–Downie–Tyrell0:360.02–0.00
Clark–Hedman9:430.56–0.110:470.00–0.003:330.31–0.001:590.11–0.002:030.14–0.003:400.00–0.110:410.00–0.00
Kubina–Lundin1:000.00–0.000:300.07–0.001:200.06–0.002:090.00–0.001:390.08–0.180:440.00–0.001:190.06–0.052:240.31–0.002:450.01–0.151:340.00–0.000:510.02–0.00
Smaby–Jones2:040.04–0.011:150.00–0.001:320.00–0.030:400.08–0.001:380.04–0.003:020.08–0.041:040.00–0.00
Smaby–Lundin1:010.01–0.021:270.03–0.002:130.04–0.02
Jones–Vernace0:440.21–0.000:390.02–0.000:440.21–0.00
Kubina–Vernace0:460.03–0.120:390.06–0.001:120.09–0.000:500.00–0.11
Jones–Lundin1:000.00–0.080:400.08–0.08
Kubina–Smaby0:360.04–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndHall FTyrell FThompson FStamkos FDownie FSt. Louis FGagne FMoore FMalone FBergenheim FPurcell FClark DHedman DKubina DLundin DJones DVernace DSmaby DSmith GNeal FEriksson FRichards FSutherby FSegal FOtt FMorrow FBurish FRibeiro FGagnon FPetersen FWandell FGrossmann DRobidas DDaley DFistric DNiskanen DSkrastins DLehtonen G
TBLDALFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL3224:330:461:2875
Stephane RobidasDAL3023:350:472:2337
Brad RichardsDAL2523:210:561:5264
Matt NiskanenDAL2923:070:482:0332
Loui ErikssonDAL2822:090:471:5074
Trevor DaleyDAL3021:510:442:0045
Brett ClarkTBL2720:580:471:4573
Pavel KubinaTBL2820:460:451:3524
Martin St. LouisTBL3020:070:401:3932
Mike LundinTBL2820:070:431:1133
James NealDAL2619:320:451:3244
Simon GagneTBL2618:350:431:2261
Mike RibeiroDAL2317:570:471:4773
Nate ThompsonTBL2917:260:361:0457
Adam HallTBL2817:150:371:2756
Brenden MorrowDAL2316:410:441:4773
Steve OttDAL2316:340:431:3223
Steven StamkosTBL2616:310:381:4633
Steve DownieTBL2316:300:431:1723
Adam BurishDAL2116:080:461:3036
Karlis SkrastinsDAL2215:500:431:1315
Nicklas GrossmannDAL2515:450:381:0006
Dana TyrellTBL2314:250:381:0152
Ryan MaloneTBL2214:080:391:0651
Dominic MooreTBL2313:570:361:0626
Tom WandellDAL2013:330:411:3222
Randy JonesTBL2213:030:361:2215
Teddy PurcellTBL1512:580:521:2510
Sean BergenheimTBL1612:300:471:1603
Mark FistricDAL1911:570:381:1423
Matt SmabyTBL1611:310:431:4411
Toby PetersenDAL1611:010:411:3513
Brandon SegalDAL179:050:320:5011
Brian SutherbyDAL148:120:350:5601
Aaron GagnonDAL127:380:381:0011
Mike VernaceTBL105:450:350:5000