Mon, Oct 18, 2010·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa
Dallas Stars 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 77% of the time.
70%
16%
TBL winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 23:35 | 0.13 | 62.1% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 23:21 | 0.07 | 17.7% | +4.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 23:07 | 0.03 | 21.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:09 | 0.11 | 15.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:51 | 0.03 | 12.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:32 | 0.06 | 26.7% | +4.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 17:57 | 0.03 | 43.7% | +25.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 16:41 | 0.48 | 50.9% | +25.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:34 | 0.29 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:08 | 0.14 | 59.7% | +20.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:50 | 0.00 | 8.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:45 | 0.00 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:33 | 0.01 | 12.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:57 | 0.00 | 17.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:01 | 0.08 | 2.8% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 9:05 | 0.13 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:12 | 0.00 | 17.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:38 | 0.00 | 2.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 44 | 39 | 5 | .886 | 3.16 | −1.8 | 58:20 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 24:33 | 0.08 | 86.4% | +23.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:58 | 0.01 | 83.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:46 | 0.05 | 61.3% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 20:07 | 0.23 | 60.0% | +21.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:07 | 0.03 | 71.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 18:35 | 0.57 | 86.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 17:26 | 0.37 | 76.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:15 | 0.18 | 68.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 16:31 | 0.63 | 63.9% | +62.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16:30 | 0.10 | 71.3% | +36.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:25 | 0.22 | 77.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 14:08 | 0.09 | 81.6% | +18.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 13:57 | 0.37 | 93.5% | +19.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:03 | 0.02 | 80.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 12:58 | 0.03 | 95.4% | +26.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:30 | 0.16 | 71.9% | +22.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:31 | 0.00 | 82.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:45 | 0.00 | 64.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 19 | 15 | 4 | .789 | 1.61 | −2.4 | 59:58 |