Sun, Oct 24, 2010·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa
Nashville Predators 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 75% of the time.
68%
8%
17%
TBL winsNSH wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Sullivan–O'Reilly–Hornqvist | Dumont–Erat–Wilson | Legwand–Ward–Tootoo | Smithson–Kostitsyn–Spaling | Klein–O'Brien | Bouillon–Weber | Sulzer–Franson | Bouillon–Sulzer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hall–Thompson–Tyrell | 3:200.12–0.03 | 2:540.10–0.00 | 1:300.00–0.32 | 2:340.03–0.00 | 2:230.10–0.03 | 3:320.20–0.32 | ||
| St. Louis–Downie–Stamkos | 3:120.18–0.06 | 1:380.11–0.00 | 1:110.04–0.15 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 3:160.06–0.01 | 2:480.07–0.06 | 1:500.07–0.13 | |
| Lecavalier–Bergenheim–Purcell | 3:190.09–0.25 | 1:420.25–0.00 | 1:580.19–0.00 | 3:110.19–0.09 | 2:580.29–0.12 | 0:500.00–0.04 | ||
| St. Louis–Lecavalier–Stamkos | 1:150.11–0.09 | 1:180.12–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:350.03–0.00 | 1:460.21–0.09 | |||
| Lecavalier–Malone–Moore | 0:350.00–0.01 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.03 | 1:440.00–0.03 | 1:060.00–0.01 | |||
| Malone–Moore–Stamkos | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:320.12–0.00 | 0:510.05–0.00 | 0:550.09–0.00 | 0:400.07–0.00 | |||
| Bergenheim–Downie–Purcell | 0:320.00–0.05 | 0:410.09–0.11 | 0:410.09–0.11 | 0:320.00–0.05 | ||||
| St. Louis–Lecavalier–Bergenheim | 0:340.03–0.00 | 0:350.04–0.00 | 0:410.04–0.00 | |||||
| St. Louis–Malone–Moore | 0:470.08–0.00 | |||||||
| Clark–Hedman | 6:180.26–0.10 | 0:500.00–0.02 | 1:020.04–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.03 | 2:550.01–0.03 | 4:470.13–0.09 | 3:330.19–0.03 | |
| Kubina–Lundin | 0:450.00–0.00 | 3:290.17–0.09 | 3:240.34–0.01 | 2:410.31–0.03 | 5:460.32–0.14 | 2:490.22–0.00 | 1:430.15–0.00 | |
| Smaby–Jones | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:390.00–0.12 | 1:010.06–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.32 | 1:140.00–0.00 | 2:140.06–0.12 | 0:320.00–0.32 | |
| Jones–Vernace | 1:120.09–0.02 | 0:460.00–0.02 | 1:520.00–0.01 | 1:520.00–0.00 | 1:390.00–0.03 | |||
| Kubina–Jones | 0:560.02–0.00 | 0:390.09–0.00 | ||||||
| Vernace–Hedman | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Jones–Lundin | 0:540.00–0.05 | 0:590.00–0.05 | ||||||
| Jones–Hedman | 0:570.12–0.00 | 1:250.19–0.00 | ||||||
| Clark–Kubina | ||||||||
| Lundin–Vernace | 0:390.05–0.00 | |||||||
| Kubina–Vernace | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:550.05–0.00 | ||||||
| Kubina–Hedman | 0:380.11–0.09 | 0:390.11–0.09 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Vincent LecavalierTBL | 26 | 25:30 | 0:59 | 2:49 | 5 | 1 |
 Francis BouillonNSH | 27 | 24:02 | 0:53 | 1:33 | 2 | 4 |
 Martin St. LouisTBL | 25 | 23:42 | 0:57 | 2:31 | 4 | 1 |
 Shea WeberNSH | 30 | 22:43 | 0:45 | 1:30 | 3 | 4 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 28 | 22:41 | 0:49 | 2:28 | 3 | 2 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 24 | 22:13 | 0:56 | 1:46 | 4 | 1 |
 Kevin KleinNSH | 28 | 22:06 | 0:47 | 1:50 | 1 | 8 |
 Pavel KubinaTBL | 24 | 21:58 | 0:55 | 1:52 | 7 | 2 |
 Shane O'BrienNSH | 28 | 21:41 | 0:46 | 1:26 | 1 | 9 |
 Brett ClarkTBL | 29 | 19:22 | 0:40 | 1:35 | 6 | 3 |
 David LegwandNSH | 23 | 18:44 | 0:49 | 1:13 | 1 | 5 |
 Mike LundinTBL | 25 | 18:09 | 0:44 | 2:00 | 2 | 4 |
 Steve SullivanNSH | 24 | 17:37 | 0:44 | 1:48 | 3 | 4 |
 Joel WardNSH | 24 | 17:33 | 0:44 | 1:09 | 1 | 5 |
 Randy JonesTBL | 25 | 16:52 | 0:40 | 1:24 | 6 | 2 |
 Jerred SmithsonNSH | 28 | 15:32 | 0:33 | 1:13 | 3 | 9 |
 Alexander SulzerNSH | 22 | 15:31 | 0:42 | 1:16 | 5 | 2 |
 Teddy PurcellTBL | 19 | 15:22 | 0:49 | 1:20 | 4 | 1 |
 Ryan MaloneTBL | 18 | 15:17 | 0:51 | 1:54 | 7 | 1 |
 Sean BergenheimTBL | 20 | 14:59 | 0:45 | 1:21 | 2 | 1 |
 Martin EratNSH | 22 | 14:53 | 0:41 | 1:02 | 1 | 4 |
 Steve DownieTBL | 15 | 14:44 | 0:59 | 1:35 | 1 | 0 |
 Cal O'ReillyNSH | 20 | 13:48 | 0:41 | 1:48 | 3 | 4 |
 Cody FransonNSH | 21 | 13:29 | 0:39 | 1:16 | 5 | 1 |
 Dominic MooreTBL | 16 | 13:08 | 0:49 | 1:07 | 5 | 2 |
 Nate ThompsonTBL | 19 | 12:57 | 0:41 | 1:43 | 3 | 3 |
 J-P DumontNSH | 18 | 12:35 | 0:42 | 1:10 | 0 | 2 |
 Nick SpalingNSH | 21 | 12:27 | 0:36 | 1:11 | 3 | 5 |
 Colin WilsonNSH | 17 | 12:21 | 0:44 | 1:02 | 0 | 2 |
 Dana TyrellTBL | 18 | 12:08 | 0:40 | 1:13 | 2 | 2 |
 Patric HornqvistNSH | 20 | 12:03 | 0:36 | 1:21 | 2 | 3 |
 Adam HallTBL | 18 | 11:54 | 0:40 | 1:11 | 2 | 3 |
 Jordin TootooNSH | 16 | 11:45 | 0:44 | 1:09 | 1 | 2 |
 Sergei KostitsynNSH | 17 | 11:10 | 0:39 | 1:11 | 3 | 2 |
 Mike VernaceTBL | 14 | 9:51 | 0:42 | 0:58 | 2 | 0 |
 Matt SmabyTBL | 10 | 6:19 | 0:38 | 0:55 | 1 | 1 |