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Ice Lab

Mon, Nov 22, 2010·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa

Boston Bruins 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 89% of the time.

TBL winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Horton–Krejci–LucicThornton–Campbell–MarchandRecchi–Bergeron–SeguinRyder–Wheeler–CaronRyder–Campbell–WheelerRecchi–Bergeron–CaronRecchi–Wheeler–SeguinRyder–Wheeler–SeguinChara–FerenceSeidenberg–StuartChara–BoychukBoychuk–HunwickSeidenberg–HunwickFerence–StuartChara–SeidenbergBoychuk–StuartChara–HunwickFerence–Hunwick
St. Louis–Downie–Stamkos4:030.36–0.022:590.23–0.182:160.02–0.110:380.14–0.000:420.00–0.000:530.00–0.023:520.35–0.140:490.00–0.003:380.36–0.120:540.08–0.031:160.00–0.000:360.00–0.071:290.15–0.07
Malone–Moore–Purcell1:030.00–0.062:360.28–0.001:340.08–0.001:370.00–0.050:510.00–0.000:330.00–0.001:010.00–0.001:270.50–0.004:070.08–0.090:420.04–0.000:360.05–0.000:430.00–0.020:380.00–0.000:480.05–0.000:350.00–0.00
Hall–Bergenheim–Thompson4:570.08–0.071:220.03–0.011:000.00–0.041:300.00–0.010:390.00–0.002:090.04–0.001:040.00–0.020:300.00–0.000:380.06–0.02
Hall–Thompson–Tyrell1:430.12–0.041:140.00–0.04
Malone–Moore–Tyrell0:550.00–0.000:550.00–0.00
Kubina–Jones4:060.50–0.043:050.58–0.091:140.03–0.002:110.14–0.040:510.00–0.000:490.00–0.001:280.51–0.023:090.44–0.031:570.38–0.022:570.04–0.021:190.00–0.000:320.15–0.071:040.00–0.021:040.12–0.00
Ohlund–Lundin5:480.08–0.112:400.18–0.131:500.02–0.010:300.00–0.090:490.00–0.003:290.13–0.221:320.00–0.062:300.02–0.111:390.06–0.031:200.00–0.021:030.00–0.001:230.06–0.00
Clark–Hedman2:030.00–0.081:040.08–0.002:590.08–0.110:390.00–0.000:300.00–0.022:160.05–0.053:370.08–0.011:110.08–0.001:070.00–0.08
Lundin–Hedman0:360.02–0.000:430.00–0.060:550.13–0.000:430.00–0.06
Ohlund–Jones1:070.00–0.000:460.00–0.000:470.00–0.001:070.00–0.00
Ohlund–Kubina0:460.00–0.000:480.00–0.00
Clark–Roy1:000.10–0.000:320.00–0.000:480.04–0.000:300.05–0.00
Kubina–Lundin1:120.08–0.050:580.08–0.05
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMalone FMoore FTyrell FJones FBergenheim FHall FThompson FSt. Louis FDownie FStamkos FPurcell FKubina DJones DClark DHedman DOhlund DLundin DRoy DSmith GCampbell FThornton FMarchand FKrejci FLucic FHorton FRecchi FBergeron FCaron FWheeler FSeguin FRyder FSeidenberg DStuart DHunwick DBoychuk DFerence DChara DRask G
TBLBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Zdeno CharaBOS3027:360:552:2533
Dennis SeidenbergBOS2722:280:501:3622
Pavel KubinaTBL2521:260:511:3702
Martin St. LouisTBL2721:200:471:3752
Mike LundinTBL2720:570:471:3232
Mattias OhlundTBL2520:400:502:2121
Steven StamkosTBL2720:280:451:3742
David KrejciBOS2419:530:501:3252
Randy JonesTBL2419:170:481:1414
Steve DownieTBL2419:040:481:1422
Johnny BoychukBOS2218:550:521:3714
Nathan HortonBOS2018:280:551:3251
Milan LucicBOS2017:470:531:3250
Ryan MaloneTBL2217:300:481:3741
Nate ThompsonTBL2217:170:471:2214
Dominic MooreTBL2517:140:411:1431
Matt HunwickBOS1916:580:541:2950
Mark StuartBOS2516:490:401:1213
Teddy PurcellTBL2116:260:471:3730
Adam HallTBL2216:190:451:2204
Patrice BergeronBOS2115:560:461:2704
Victor HedmanTBL2115:520:451:4312
Sean BergenheimTBL2315:510:411:0622
Blake WheelerBOS1915:150:482:1111
Andrew FerenceBOS2115:120:431:3213
Brett ClarkTBL2115:080:431:2651
Gregory CampbellBOS1914:270:461:2702
Tyler SeguinBOS1613:550:521:3511
Brad MarchandBOS1813:530:461:2702
Mark RecchiBOS1713:190:471:3721
Dana TyrellTBL1712:330:441:2610
Jordan CaronBOS1911:440:371:1203
Michael RyderBOS1511:140:451:2320
Shawn ThorntonBOS1510:530:441:1201
Blair JonesTBL96:010:401:3800
Mathieu RoyTBL42:510:430:5610