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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 28, 2010·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa

Boston Bruins 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 67% of the time.

TBL winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Ryder–Wheeler–KrejciRecchi–Bergeron–SeguinSavard–Horton–LucicThornton–Campbell–MarchandChara–BoychukFerence–McQuaidSeidenberg–KampferFerence–SeidenbergFerence–BoychukChara–McQuaidChara–FerenceSeidenberg–BoychukChara–SeidenbergSeidenberg–McQuaidChara–Kampfer
Lecavalier–Gagne–Bergenheim4:130.08–0.232:200.14–0.000:310.00–0.002:430.09–0.141:530.04–0.005:060.08–0.170:420.07–0.140:410.00–0.001:070.03–0.000:420.10–0.00
Hall–Thompson–Tyrell1:090.01–0.034:340.21–0.021:090.02–0.022:230.06–0.020:370.06–0.003:080.03–0.021:100.11–0.03
St. Louis–Malone–Stamkos1:400.26–0.002:260.03–0.091:480.27–0.001:030.04–0.002:170.28–0.000:390.00–0.001:450.03–0.060:340.06–0.000:540.02–0.000:390.15–0.000:490.10–0.03
Moore–Ritola–Purcell2:240.00–0.061:310.00–0.000:350.00–0.001:230.00–0.061:490.00–0.020:480.00–0.002:380.00–0.11
St. Louis–Malone–Moore0:430.00–0.110:430.00–0.11
St. Louis–Purcell–Stamkos0:330.01–0.000:320.01–0.00
Ohlund–Lundin2:570.00–0.110:500.00–0.002:220.10–0.000:530.00–0.002:190.02–0.022:320.08–0.002:240.03–0.040:540.05–0.000:440.00–0.020:350.00–0.03
Clark–Hedman5:250.36–0.161:210.03–0.091:140.04–0.010:330.09–0.141:430.05–0.112:480.08–0.001:430.07–0.140:470.03–0.070:590.17–0.000:320.10–0.03
Kubina–Smaby1:090.00–0.002:370.14–0.000:500.02–0.001:010.00–0.061:340.06–0.001:190.00–0.060:500.00–0.000:310.00–0.000:540.10–0.00
Kubina–Hedman0:400.00–0.001:050.01–0.001:110.00–0.021:200.00–0.000:430.07–0.02
Ohlund–Kubina1:440.25–0.070:530.00–0.001:110.25–0.00
Ohlund–Hedman0:480.00–0.000:370.24–0.000:320.10–0.000:460.00–0.010:570.00–0.000:370.24–0.000:340.00–0.01
Clark–Smaby0:370.00–0.000:440.11–0.000:430.09–0.00
Kubina–Lundin0:420.00–0.001:060.00–0.020:480.00–0.020:420.00–0.00
Lundin–Hedman0:520.00–0.170:310.02–0.000:570.00–0.170:440.02–0.00
Clark–Kubina0:330.01–0.000:580.00–0.080:320.01–0.00
Ohlund–Smaby1:000.05–0.020:500.05–0.02
Smaby–Lundin0:590.03–0.000:590.03–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndLecavalier FBergenheim FGagne FHall FThompson FTyrell FMalone FSt. Louis FStamkos FPurcell FMoore FRitola FOhlund DKubina DLundin DClark DHedman DSmaby DEllis GCampbell FThornton FMarchand FRecchi FBergeron FKrejci FRyder FLucic FHorton FSavard FWheeler FSeguin FFerence DChara DMcQuaid DSeidenberg DBoychuk DKampfer DThomas G
TBLBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Zdeno CharaBOS3224:500:471:2826
Dennis SeidenbergBOS3223:520:451:5025
Victor HedmanTBL3622:530:381:1175
Pavel KubinaTBL3022:030:441:3262
Mattias OhlundTBL3121:250:411:0724
David KrejciBOS2721:080:471:1254
Johnny BoychukBOS2720:300:461:4543
Brett ClarkTBL3020:240:411:5984
Andrew FerenceBOS3020:080:401:2324
Mike LundinTBL3119:100:371:1624
Michael RyderBOS2318:520:491:1252
Blake WheelerBOS2518:480:451:3325
Simon GagneTBL2518:240:441:2845
Vincent LecavalierTBL2517:460:431:1055
Martin St. LouisTBL2617:400:411:3571
Sean BergenheimTBL2516:500:401:3434
Steven StamkosTBL2616:430:391:2981
Patrice BergeronBOS2316:380:431:3857
Mark RecchiBOS2215:570:441:1166
Milan LucicBOS2015:380:471:2402
Ryan MaloneTBL2515:090:361:1092
Steven KampferBOS2314:220:371:1203
Marc SavardBOS2014:210:431:2503
Dominic MooreTBL2314:050:371:0913
Nate ThompsonTBL2513:060:311:0213
Adam McQuaidBOS2213:030:361:1732
Adam HallTBL2412:430:321:0113
Dana TyrellTBL2312:260:320:5113
Brad MarchandBOS2111:470:341:1704
Nathan HortonBOS1711:360:411:1501
Teddy PurcellTBL1611:260:431:2131
Gregory CampbellBOS1811:250:381:2704
Tyler SeguinBOS1510:280:421:0823
Matt SmabyTBL1510:090:411:1710
Mattias RitolaTBL138:340:400:5811
Shawn ThorntonBOS148:110:351:1000