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Ice Lab

Fri, Feb 25, 2011·HSBC Arena, Buffalo

Ottawa Senators 2, Buffalo Sabres 4

Away

Ottawa Senators

2

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 84% of the time.

BUF winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:01Shot by Michalek, saved by Miller
  3. P1 3:33Shot by Butler, saved by Miller
  4. P1 4:09Shot by Pominville, saved by Anderson
  5. P1 4:53Shot by Butler, saved by Anderson
  6. P1 6:25Goal by Grier (McCormick)+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Niedermayer, Grier, Leopold, Montador, McCormick · OTT Carkner, Spezza, Campoli, Michalek, Butler

  7. P1 7:41Shot by Kuba, saved by Miller
  8. P1 8:44Shot by Foligno, saved by Miller
  9. P1 9:06Weber: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Niedermayer, Grier, Morrisonn, McCormick, Weber · OTT Carkner, Spezza, Campoli, Michalek, Butler

  10. P1 10:34Shot by Foligno, saved by Miller4v5
  11. P1 11:05Shot by Vanek, saved by Anderson4v5
  12. P1 12:23Shot by Lessard, saved by Miller
  13. P1 12:42Shot by Gerbe, saved by Anderson
  14. P1 12:43Shot by Kaleta, saved by Anderson
  15. P1 12:43Lessard: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gaustad, Kaleta, Butler, Gerbe, Myers · OTT Lessard, Carkner, Campoli, Locke, Wick

  16. P1 14:00Shot by Ennis, saved by Anderson5v4
  17. P1 14:47Shot by Shannon, saved by Miller
  18. P1 16:03Shot by Svatos, saved by Miller
  19. P1 17:18Leopold: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Grier, Hecht, Leopold, Myers, Ennis · OTT Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Karlsson, Butler

  20. P1 19:17Shot by Kaleta, saved by Anderson4v5
  21. P1 19:19Shot by Connolly, saved by Anderson
  22. P1 19:21Shot by Kaleta, saved by Anderson
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 1:02Shot by Svatos, saved by Miller
  26. P2 1:20Shot by Pominville, saved by Anderson
  27. P2 1:39Shot by Greening, saved by Miller
  28. P2 1:58Shot by Montador, saved by Anderson
  29. P2 2:10Shot by Niedermayer, saved by Anderson
  30. P2 2:40Shot by Spezza, saved by Miller
  31. P2 5:00Shot by Vanek, saved by Anderson
  32. P2 5:31Shot by Stafford, saved by Anderson
  33. P2 7:08Niedermayer: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Niedermayer, Grier, McCormick, Butler, Myers · OTT Phillips, Spezza, Michalek, Lee, Butler

  34. P2 8:45Shot by Foligno, saved by Miller4v5
  35. P2 9:45Goal by McCormick (Montador, Leopold)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Niedermayer, Leopold, Montador, McCormick, Vanek · OTT Campoli, Wick, Lee, Condra, Smith

  36. P2 10:25Shot by Condra, saved by Miller
  37. P2 10:30Shot by Greening, saved by Miller
  38. P2 10:53Shot by Weber, saved by Anderson
  39. P2 10:55Shot by Ennis, saved by Anderson
  40. P2 10:56Shot by Stafford, saved by Anderson
  41. P2 11:55Shot by Butler, saved by Anderson6v5
  42. P2 11:57Michalek: Boarding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Connolly, Pominville, Vanek, Butler, Gerbe, Myers · OTT Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Karlsson, Butler

  43. P2 12:50Shot by Leopold, saved by Anderson5v4
  44. P2 14:15Shot by Stafford, saved by Anderson
  45. P2 14:24Goal by Spezza (Condra, Michalek)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Niedermayer, Morrisonn, Kaleta, Gerbe, Myers · OTT Carkner, Spezza, Campoli, Michalek, Condra

  46. P2 14:38Shot by Kaleta, saved by Anderson
  47. P2 15:03Shot by Connolly, saved by Anderson
  48. P2 15:06Shot by Pominville, saved by Anderson
  49. P2 15:55Shot by Butler, saved by Miller
  50. P2 15:57Shot by Locke, saved by Miller
  51. P2 16:26Shot by Gerbe, saved by Anderson
  52. P2 16:37Shot by Myers, saved by Anderson
  53. P2 17:51Shot by Michalek, saved by Miller
  54. P2 18:24Shot by Kaleta, saved by Anderson
  55. P2 18:26Kaleta: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gaustad, Morrisonn, Kaleta, Gerbe, Weber · OTT Phillips, Wick, Shannon, Lee, Smith

  56. P2 19:50Shot by Svatos, saved by Miller4v5
  57. P2 0:00Period end
  58. P3 0:00Period start
  59. P3 1:01Shot by Smith, saved by Miller
  60. P3 3:09Shot by Locke, saved by Miller
  61. P3 4:37Shot by Butler, saved by Miller
  62. P3 4:47Shot by Hecht, saved by Anderson
  63. P3 5:41Shot by Condra, saved by Miller
  64. P3 5:43Shot by Foligno, saved by Miller
  65. P3 6:08Shot by Pominville, saved by Anderson
  66. P3 7:35Goal by Hecht (Stafford, Ennis)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Stafford, Butler, Myers, Ennis · OTT Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Karlsson, Butler

  67. P3 7:34Shot by Stafford, saved by Anderson
  68. P3 9:27Shot by Butler, saved by Anderson
  69. P3 10:22Shot by Locke, saved by Miller
  70. P3 10:46Shot by Kaleta, saved by Anderson
  71. P3 13:05Shot by Hecht, saved by Anderson
  72. P3 13:27Shot by Michalek, saved by Miller
  73. P3 15:36Shot by Spezza, saved by Miller
  74. P3 16:32Shot by Connolly, saved by Anderson
  75. P3 16:46Shot by Vanek, saved by Anderson
  76. P3 16:56Shot by Connolly, saved by Anderson
  77. P3 18:05Goal by Michalek (Spezza, Carkner)+7 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gaustad, Kaleta, Butler, Gerbe, Myers · OTT Carkner, Spezza, Campoli, Michalek, Butler

  78. P3 18:45Shot by Smith, saved by Miller5v6
  79. P3 18:51Shot by Spezza, saved by Miller5v6
  80. P3 19:21Shot by Foligno, saved by Miller5v6
  81. P3 19:28Goal by Vanek (Montador, Miller)5v6+5 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Leopold, Gaustad, Montador, Vanek · OTT Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Foligno, Karlsson, Butler

  82. P3 0:00Period end
  83. P3 0:00Final