Fri, Feb 25, 2011·HSBC Arena, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 2, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 84% of the time.
79%
11%
BUF winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 23:42 | 0.02 | 25.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 22:35 | 0.05 | 23.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 22:34 | 0.18 | 27.4% | +21.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:55 | 0.00 | 32.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 20:39 | 0.45 | 25.3% | +21.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:30 | 0.02 | 28.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 19:31 | 0.12 | 28.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 16:54 | 0.46 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:43 | 0.03 | 24.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:12 | 0.05 | 31.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:57 | 0.01 | 31.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:39 | 0.08 | 55.3% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:32 | 0.37 | 22.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:36 | 0.00 | 33.9% | +6.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:21 | 0.24 | 25.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:54 | 0.13 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:38 | 0.00 | 12.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:53 | 0.02 | 27.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 38 | 35 | 3 | .921 | 3.96 | +1.0 | 59:15 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:13 | 0.04 | 73.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 21:10 | 0.12 | 64.2% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:41 | 0.17 | 78.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:16 | 0.20 | 88.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 18:30 | 0.04 | 59.5% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:22 | 0.00 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:55 | 0.39 | 79.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 17:53 | 0.85 | 73.1% | +4.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:27 | 0.00 | 84.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 17:11 | 0.25 | 57.9% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:49 | 0.34 | 81.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 14:12 | 0.64 | 71.6% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:35 | 0.50 | 69.5% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 6 | 13:27 | 0.64 | 76.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:04 | 0.13 | 40.6% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 13:00 | 0.10 | 71.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 10:32 | 0.11 | 56.5% | +30.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:25 | 0.03 | 59.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 2.22 | +0.2 | 59:18 |