Skip to content
Ice Lab

Fri, Feb 25, 2011·HSBC Arena, Buffalo

Ottawa Senators 2, Buffalo Sabres 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 84% of the time.

BUF winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Spezza–Michalek–ButlerGreening–Condra–SmithSvatos–Shannon–SmithLessard–Locke–WickSvatos–Shannon–FolignoGreening–Foligno–CondraLocke–Foligno–ButlerLocke–Greening–FolignoSpezza–Michalek–CondraPhillips–LeeKuba–KarlssonCarkner–Campoli
Gaustad–Kaleta–Gerbe1:350.00–0.090:330.00–0.002:010.00–0.002:130.40–0.000:580.00–0.000:430.00–0.000:350.02–0.004:230.19–0.003:020.07–0.002:400.41–0.09
Hecht–Stafford–Ennis1:410.56–0.053:530.11–0.140:500.02–0.000:580.00–0.111:030.01–0.000:330.00–0.203:140.03–0.232:410.53–0.222:550.15–0.06
Connolly–Pominville–Vanek1:290.00–0.020:470.00–0.022:030.15–0.040:430.00–0.020:430.16–0.000:310.00–0.004:000.50–0.043:060.07–0.040:560.09–0.03
Niedermayer–Grier–McCormick3:310.19–0.070:380.00–0.000:460.00–0.002:310.00–0.101:550.06–0.001:510.13–0.04
Pominville–McCormick–Vanek0:330.00–0.000:300.00–0.000:300.00–0.000:470.00–0.00
Leopold–Montador1:570.13–0.142:350.02–0.021:040.03–0.003:230.18–0.171:060.00–0.000:460.00–0.036:130.38–0.243:340.07–0.244:200.24–0.09
Morrisonn–Weber3:010.10–0.103:330.10–0.143:540.12–0.041:310.00–0.110:490.02–0.005:560.32–0.283:230.16–0.023:150.16–0.09
Butler–Myers3:360.46–0.153:100.40–0.030:400.00–0.003:430.02–0.093:350.52–0.002:400.38–0.09
Leopold–Myers0:470.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:410.02–0.00
Montador–Weber
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndConnolly FVanek FPominville FGaustad FKaleta FGerbe FStafford FHecht FEnnis FMcCormick FGrier FNiedermayer FButler DMyers DLeopold DMontador DWeber DMorrisonn DMiller GMichalek FButler FSpezza FSvatos FShannon FFoligno FSmith FCondra FGreening FLessard FWick FLocke FPhillips DLee DKuba DKarlsson DCampoli DCarkner DAnderson G
BUFOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Filip KubaOTT2323:421:022:2933
Erik KarlssonOTT2322:350:591:4523
Jason SpezzaOTT2322:340:592:1323
Tyler MyersBUF2621:130:491:2220
Jordan LeopoldBUF2421:100:531:5431
Chris PhillipsOTT2620:550:481:2325
Milan MichalekOTT2220:390:562:0233
Brian LeeOTT2520:300:491:5824
Mike WeberBUF2419:410:491:5624
Bobby ButlerOTT2119:310:562:0031
Chris ButlerBUF2519:160:461:2220
Steve MontadorBUF2218:300:501:2520
Shaone MorrisonnBUF2218:220:501:4814
Jason PominvilleBUF2417:550:452:0922
Thomas VanekBUF2217:530:491:5942
Paul GaustadBUF2317:270:461:2636
Jochen HechtBUF2217:110:471:2531
Nick FolignoOTT1716:541:001:4311
Chris CampoliOTT2316:430:441:4613
Zack SmithOTT2016:120:491:1526
Ryan ShannonOTT2015:570:481:2343
Tim ConnollyBUF2215:490:432:1220
Erik CondraOTT1914:390:461:2304
Marek SvatosOTT1914:320:461:1821
Drew StaffordBUF1814:120:471:2540
Tyler EnnisBUF1713:350:481:2530
Patrick KaletaBUF2013:270:401:0633
Mike GrierBUF1613:040:491:3221
Nathan GerbeBUF1913:000:411:3544
Matt CarknerOTT1912:360:401:1402
Corey LockeOTT1512:210:491:3500
Colin GreeningOTT1711:540:421:0814
Cody McCormickBUF1410:320:451:0420
Rob NiedermayerBUF1610:250:391:3630
Roman WickOTT138:380:401:3100
Francis LessardOTT95:530:391:3100