Thu, Mar 3, 2011·Philips Arena, Atlanta
Ottawa Senators 3, Atlanta Thrashers 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Atlanta Thrashers win this game 63% of the time.
55%
8%
29%
ATL winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 23:05 | 0.04 | 50.3% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:50 | 0.07 | 30.3% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:43 | 0.10 | 48.1% | +11.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:42 | 0.22 | 78.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:26 | 0.19 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:09 | 0.20 | 37.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 18:01 | 0.56 | 69.5% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:49 | 0.07 | 22.9% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:31 | 0.00 | 44.9% | +11.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:11 | 0.03 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:05 | 0.09 | 69.0% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:31 | 0.10 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:58 | 0.18 | 25.3% | +11.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 14:28 | 0.60 | 63.2% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:24 | 0.11 | 20.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:59 | 0.11 | 78.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:09 | 0.00 | 28.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:59 | 0.02 | 42.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 43 | 42 | 1 | .977 | 3.51 | +2.5 | 60:00 |
Atlanta Thrashers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 23:18 | 0.38 | 48.8% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 22:27 | 0.09 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 22:05 | 0.06 | 48.2% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:38 | 0.05 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 20:36 | 0.73 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:34 | 0.56 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:10 | 0.21 | 70.3% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 18:42 | 0.27 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:59 | 0.00 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:32 | 0.21 | 84.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:20 | 0.12 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:33 | 0.04 | 74.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:17 | 0.10 | 21.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:46 | 0.05 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:07 | 0.00 | 63.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:49 | 0.21 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:21 | 0.00 | 13.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8:44 | 0.43 | 48.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 2.69 | −0.3 | 58:02 |