Wed, Mar 16, 2011·RBC Center, Raleigh
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Carolina Hurricanes 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 67% of the time.
59%
9%
24%
CAR winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 26:36 | 0.08 | 48.9% | +56.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 26:26 | 0.00 | 42.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:15 | 0.17 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:49 | 0.06 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:51 | 0.20 | 74.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:40 | 0.38 | 62.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:11 | 0.13 | 35.6% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:12 | 0.13 | 14.1% | +25.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:05 | 0.04 | 74.9% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:24 | 0.34 | 13.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:04 | 0.01 | 24.7% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:30 | 0.06 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:03 | 0.00 | 16.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:56 | 0.00 | 26.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:28 | 0.74 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:56 | 0.00 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 8:41 | 0.03 | 38.5% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:14 | 0.01 | 9.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 37 | 36 | 1 | .973 | 3.42 | +2.4 | 60:00 |
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 26:38 | 0.59 | 64.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 26:13 | 0.12 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 24:29 | 0.00 | 65.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:55 | 0.05 | 43.4% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:53 | 0.54 | 70.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:36 | 0.05 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:31 | 0.03 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17:02 | 0.59 | 55.5% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:37 | 0.00 | 41.0% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:38 | 0.62 | 81.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:26 | 0.23 | 81.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:17 | 0.24 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:16 | 0.04 | 60.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:31 | 0.00 | 94.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:30 | 0.12 | 82.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:18 | 0.03 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:14 | 0.02 | 16.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:58 | 0.15 | 24.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 19 | 16 | 3 | .842 | 2.38 | −0.6 | 58:31 |