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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 16, 2011·RBC Center, Raleigh

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Carolina Hurricanes 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 67% of the time.

CAR winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

MacArthur–Grabovski–KuleminLupul–Kessel–KadriCrabb–Boyce–BozakSjostrom–Brent–BrownKessel–Bozak–KadriCrabb–Brent–BrownLupul–Brent–KesselSjostrom–Lupul–BoyceSjostrom–Crabb–BozakLupul–Kessel–BozakPhaneuf–AulieGunnarsson–SchennKomisarek–LashoffPhaneuf–GunnarssonAulie–SchennLashoff–SchennKomisarek–AulieLashoff–GunnarssonPhaneuf–Lashoff
Ruutu–Staal–Skinner2:420.02–0.052:480.42–0.040:300.00–0.001:480.01–0.000:440.03–0.005:070.38–0.043:000.15–0.040:350.00–0.001:030.00–0.110:320.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
LaRose–Tlusty–Sutter4:350.11–0.110:390.17–0.000:320.00–0.002:380.07–0.033:260.20–0.051:200.00–0.040:540.01–0.00
Stillman–Cole–Jokinen0:310.02–0.031:080.00–0.130:590.49–0.001:400.08–0.000:300.00–0.011:430.11–0.130:580.00–0.002:220.57–0.040:590.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Dwyer–Bowman–Samson0:520.02–0.000:410.00–0.001:000.00–0.070:330.00–0.002:030.02–0.000:530.00–0.000:330.15–0.000:360.00–0.07
Ruutu–Jokinen–Skinner0:520.00–0.001:180.00–0.000:410.00–0.000:530.00–0.000:520.00–0.00
Stillman–Cole–Staal0:500.22–0.070:360.00–0.000:500.22–0.070:360.00–0.00
Cole–Staal–Bowman0:500.10–0.000:350.00–0.000:500.10–0.000:350.00–0.00
LaRose–Sutter–Bowman0:440.00–0.000:530.00–0.00
Corvo–Pitkanen1:130.00–0.001:060.01–0.030:500.00–0.130:530.00–0.001:320.01–0.071:490.01–0.000:380.00–0.013:480.14–0.132:200.27–0.072:470.01–0.041:070.00–0.00
Gleason–Harrison6:470.32–0.481:020.49–0.000:320.00–0.003:490.33–0.033:230.03–0.371:450.49–0.040:320.00–0.110:420.00–0.00
Allen–Joslin1:330.25–0.001:260.02–0.001:060.06–0.000:370.00–0.001:170.03–0.003:330.19–0.002:020.12–0.000:580.06–0.000:350.00–0.000:310.15–0.00
Pitkanen–Joslin0:390.01–0.071:350.19–0.000:560.00–0.000:430.00–0.071:360.17–0.000:400.01–0.000:520.00–0.00
Corvo–Gleason0:440.00–0.000:440.00–0.320:440.10–0.000:350.00–0.001:300.02–0.001:190.10–0.320:350.00–0.00
Corvo–Allen0:460.16–0.041:120.16–0.040:390.00–0.00
Harrison–Pitkanen0:420.00–0.001:110.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
Gleason–Joslin
Corvo–Harrison0:430.00–0.000:430.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSutter FTlusty FLaRose FStaal FRuutu FSkinner FJokinen FCole FStillman FDwyer FSamson FBowman FGleason DHarrison DPitkanen DCorvo DAllen DJoslin DWard GMacArthur FKulemin FGrabovski FKadri FKessel FBozak FSjostrom FLupul FBoyce FCrabb FBrown FBrent FPhaneuf DAulie DSchenn DGunnarsson DKomisarek DLashoff DReimer G
CARTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Eric StaalCAR3026:380:532:08105
Dion PhaneufTOR3126:360:511:5326
Keith AulieTOR3326:260:482:3715
Joe CorvoCAR3126:130:511:5444
Joni PitkanenCAR2824:290:521:4642
Carl GunnarssonTOR3223:150:441:2516
Tim GleasonCAR2822:550:491:4374
Luke SchennTOR3321:490:401:1306
Jeff SkinnerCAR2420:530:521:29102
Derek JoslinCAR2720:360:461:2294
Mikhail GrabovskiTOR2419:510:501:4024
Tuomo RuutuCAR2419:310:491:29102
Nikolay KuleminTOR2317:400:461:3823
Tyler BozakTOR2517:110:411:1335
Chad LaRoseCAR2517:020:411:2034
Brandon SutterCAR2616:370:381:2035
Phil KesselTOR2016:120:491:5032
Clarke MacArthurTOR2016:050:481:3821
Erik ColeCAR2615:380:361:0465
Joffrey LupulTOR1815:240:511:4532
Tim BrentTOR2215:040:411:2333
Jussi JokinenCAR2314:260:381:1462
Cory StillmanCAR2314:170:371:1473
Jay HarrisonCAR2214:160:391:2042
Joey CrabbTOR1712:300:441:2513
Nazem KadriTOR1712:030:431:2731
Matt LashoffTOR1611:560:451:1811
Bryan AllenCAR1711:310:411:1142
Drayson BowmanCAR1611:300:432:0051
Mike BrownTOR1511:280:461:2004
Fredrik SjostromTOR1710:560:391:0612
Jiri TlustyCAR1910:180:331:1101
Darryl BoyceTOR148:410:370:5820
Mike KomisarekTOR108:140:491:3810
Jerome SamsonCAR106:140:370:5710
Patrick DwyerCAR115:580:330:5611