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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 17, 2011·BankAtlantic Center, Sunrise

Toronto Maple Leafs 0, Florida Panthers 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 82% of the time.

FLA winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

FLA forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

MacArthur–Grabovski–KuleminLupul–Kessel–KadriCrabb–Boyce–BozakSjostrom–Brent–BrownLupul–Brent–KadriLupul–Kessel–BozakMacArthur–Kessel–BozakCrabb–Boyce–KadriPhaneuf–AulieGunnarsson–SchennLebda–LashoffPhaneuf–LashoffLebda–SchennPhaneuf–GunnarssonAulie–SchennLashoff–Gunnarsson
Samsonov–Weiss–Bergfors4:010.10–0.061:360.08–0.001:080.26–0.032:100.02–0.000:450.00–0.000:410.00–0.000:380.00–0.025:420.19–0.063:250.06–0.010:380.26–0.020:410.07–0.020:460.00–0.000:570.00–0.10
Reasoner–Booth–Repik2:250.14–0.002:470.23–0.120:370.00–0.001:450.18–0.002:020.01–0.002:220.02–0.050:590.04–0.051:340.18–0.020:320.11–0.000:540.19–0.00
Bernier–Santorelli–Duco0:420.01–0.001:290.04–0.000:330.00–0.000:330.00–0.050:590.06–0.140:320.00–0.000:310.00–0.002:100.08–0.011:170.04–0.000:320.00–0.000:470.01–0.00
Hordichuk–Rissmiller–Carter2:240.10–0.070:510.02–0.071:130.10–0.000:400.00–0.00
Reasoner–Booth–Carter0:520.00–0.070:460.00–0.000:380.00–0.07
Weiss–Bernier–Duco0:480.00–0.020:310.00–0.02
Reasoner–Bernier–Duco0:320.00–0.000:330.00–0.010:330.00–0.01
Booth–Carter–Repik0:540.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Weaver–Garrison5:540.25–0.064:320.18–0.100:560.00–0.000:460.00–0.024:520.12–0.062:580.04–0.032:480.10–0.051:360.07–0.050:340.00–0.001:280.12–0.100:460.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Ellerby–Kulikov2:560.00–0.143:130.19–0.072:110.08–0.051:090.00–0.100:410.00–0.001:140.00–0.003:230.07–0.134:330.00–0.062:350.08–0.160:380.00–0.000:480.00–0.001:000.24–0.00
Callahan–Wilson0:350.00–0.002:470.02–0.074:470.19–0.010:310.06–0.043:400.02–0.002:410.11–0.092:180.02–0.041:260.18–0.001:130.00–0.00
Callahan–Ellerby0:550.00–0.030:590.00–0.03
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndWeiss FBergfors FSamsonov FBooth FReasoner FRepik FDuco FSantorelli FBernier FHordichuk FCarter FRissmiller FWeaver DGarrison DEllerby DKulikov DWilson DCallahan DClemmensen GMacArthur FKulemin FGrabovski FLupul FKadri FKessel FBozak FCrabb FBoyce FSjostrom FBrown FBrent FPhaneuf DAulie DSchenn DGunnarsson DLebda DLashoff DGiguere G
FLATORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Dion PhaneufTOR2926:260:552:1581
Jason GarrisonFLA2624:470:571:3726
Mike WeaverFLA2623:070:531:2515
Marty ReasonerFLA2322:581:002:1343
Stephen WeissFLA2622:260:521:5126
Dmitry KulikovFLA2622:160:511:5132
Carl GunnarssonTOR2921:030:441:5832
Mikhail GrabovskiTOR2220:250:561:3860
Luke SchennTOR2719:520:441:5143
Phil KesselTOR2119:440:561:5722
Joffrey LupulTOR2019:100:581:3632
Keaton EllerbyFLA2419:010:481:4512
Clarke MacArthurTOR2218:400:511:3850
Matt LashoffTOR2518:070:431:3420
Sergei SamsonovFLA2217:300:481:5124
Niclas BergforsFLA2116:370:471:2514
Keith AulieTOR2316:270:431:1522
Tyler BozakTOR1816:250:551:5134
Nikolay KuleminTOR2216:160:441:1670
Nazem KadriTOR1916:100:511:3211
Steve BernierFLA2215:500:431:3412
Joe CallahanFLA1515:371:022:0412
Tim BrentTOR1715:360:551:3060
David BoothFLA2115:270:441:1154
Joey CrabbTOR1514:440:591:2511
Mike SantorelliFLA2114:270:411:5131
Brett LebdaTOR2012:390:381:1511
Clay WilsonFLA1412:320:541:4511
Ryan CarterFLA1612:050:451:3805
Michal RepikFLA1711:310:411:2542
Mike BrownTOR1310:340:491:5123
Mike DucoFLA1710:100:361:0711
Darryl BoyceTOR139:180:431:0220
Fredrik SjostromTOR107:490:471:1011
Patrick RissmillerFLA127:410:380:5101
Darcy HordichukFLA85:580:451:0300