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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 17, 2011·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Colorado Avalanche 2, Calgary Flames 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 53% of the time.

CGY winsCOL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CGY forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against COL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Winnik–Olver–DucheneJones–Stastny–StoaMcClement–Yip–O'ReillyDupuis–Porter–McLeodYip–McLeod–O'ReillyMcClement–Dupuis–PorterO'Byrne–WilsonHunwick–HolosO'Byrne–HunwickLiles–HolosLiles–O'ByrneLiles–WilsonWilson–HolosHunwick–WilsonHunwick–Johnson
Jokinen–Tanguay–Bourque7:540.01–0.111:190.00–0.011:540.01–0.111:080.00–0.001:220.00–0.011:330.00–0.000:530.00–0.000:500.00–0.001:090.00–0.000:400.03–0.00
Iginla–Glencross–Backlund0:550.12–0.045:120.28–0.070:400.00–0.000:560.00–0.003:130.12–0.021:390.00–0.031:070.01–0.040:410.00–0.000:340.09–0.020:380.00–0.00
Kotalik–Hagman–Stajan1:460.00–0.001:180.19–0.002:040.22–0.041:500.19–0.042:150.19–0.011:590.00–0.081:060.02–0.001:060.17–0.020:350.00–0.000:370.22–0.00
Kostopoulos–Jackman–Bouma2:560.02–0.000:530.03–0.011:200.25–0.000:440.00–0.000:500.00–0.000:540.00–0.001:380.32–0.011:520.02–0.001:130.08–0.161:150.02–0.00
Kostopoulos–Kotalik–Stajan0:560.00–0.00
Staios–Babchuk1:390.00–0.001:090.00–0.003:310.24–0.040:530.03–0.011:510.00–0.002:030.00–0.022:180.00–0.021:190.00–0.002:430.15–0.092:460.02–0.002:040.08–0.180:430.00–0.000:370.22–0.000:320.00–0.00
Regehr–Bouwmeester1:500.00–0.005:420.53–0.061:590.19–0.062:050.00–0.052:430.19–0.041:470.00–0.031:040.36–0.000:560.17–0.001:270.02–0.000:310.00–0.000:420.00–0.00
Sarich–Giordano6:580.13–0.151:250.00–0.000:420.25–0.003:360.16–0.111:130.00–0.001:130.25–0.001:190.00–0.001:140.00–0.040:580.00–0.000:300.04–0.00
Sarich–Regehr0:480.00–0.001:230.10–0.020:490.00–0.00
Staios–Bouwmeester0:400.00–0.000:410.00–0.000:410.00–0.000:400.00–0.00
Bouwmeester–Giordano0:330.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndJokinen FBourque FTanguay FBacklund FGlencross FIginla FKostopoulos FStajan FKotalik FJackman FHagman FBouma FGiordano DSarich DBouwmeester DRegehr DStaios DBabchuk DKiprusoff GDuchene FWinnik FOlver FStastny FStoa FJones FYip FO'Reilly FMcLeod FMcClement FPorter FDupuis FLiles DJohnson DO'Byrne DWilson DHolos DHunwick DBudaj G
CGYCOLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jay BouwmeesterCGY2925:520:542:1845
Ryan O'ByrneCOL3225:430:481:2425
Matt HunwickCOL2822:180:481:3032
John-Michael LilesCOL2521:470:522:0533
Ryan WilsonCOL2921:200:441:4414
Robyn RegehrCGY2720:550:462:0613
Matt DucheneCOL2120:300:592:0542
Jonas HolosCOL2820:300:441:2313
Cory SarichCGY2518:410:451:2022
Steve StaiosCGY2118:150:521:3132
Daniel WinnikCOL2317:590:471:3122
Anton BabchukCGY2017:510:542:1741
Mark GiordanoCGY2617:400:411:1932
Mark OlverCOL2217:390:482:0042
Rene BourqueCGY2217:380:481:4633
Alex TanguayCGY2417:270:441:4735
Paul StastnyCOL2117:100:491:2152
Curtis GlencrossCGY2216:350:451:2134
Jarome IginlaCGY2016:130:491:1830
Olli JokinenCGY2116:080:461:4432
David JonesCOL2015:120:461:2161
Jay McClementCOL2014:330:441:1827
Ryan StoaCOL1814:320:481:0931
Ryan O'ReillyCOL1914:320:461:2915
Matt StajanCGY2013:460:411:1651
Tom KostopoulosCGY1813:310:451:3712
Ales KotalikCGY2013:050:391:2331
Mikael BacklundCGY1813:030:441:2720
Tim JackmanCGY1612:070:451:1731
Brandon YipCOL1611:450:441:2924
Kevin PorterCOL1511:270:461:2121
Cody McLeodCOL1611:150:421:2321
Niklas HagmanCGY1610:260:391:1650
Lance BoumaCGY129:560:501:1721
Philippe DupuisCOL137:510:360:5711
Erik JohnsonCOL85:040:380:4924