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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 22, 2011·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa

New York Islanders 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 2

Away

New York Islanders

5

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 64% of the time.

TBL winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:59Shot by Purcell, saved by Montoya
  3. P1 1:01Goal by Thompson (Purcell, Lecavalier)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, Lecavalier, Thompson, Purcell, Hedman · NYI Martinek, Parenteau, Gervais, Moulson, Tavares

  4. P1 1:12Shot by Hamonic, saved by Roloson
  5. P1 1:58Jones: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Hall, Lundin, Stamkos · NYI Comeau, Joensuu, MacDonald, Bailey, Hamonic

  6. P1 2:23Shot by Nielsen, saved by Roloson4v5
  7. P1 2:42Shot by Nielsen, saved by Roloson4v5
  8. P1 2:50Shot by Comeau, saved by Roloson4v5
  9. P1 5:13Shot by Martinek, saved by Roloson
  10. P1 5:51Shot by Okposo, saved by Roloson
  11. P1 7:18Shot by Thompson, saved by Montoya
  12. P1 7:58MacDonald: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Gagne, Stamkos, Hedman · NYI Konopka, MacDonald, Haley, Hamonic, Martin

  13. P1 8:32St. Louis: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Gagne, Stamkos · NYI Jurcina, Nielsen, Grabner, Hillen

  14. P1 8:58Shot by Nielsen, saved by Roloson4v4
  15. P1 9:31Shot by Gagne, saved by Montoya4v4
  16. P1 9:56Shot by Comeau, saved by Roloson4v4
  17. P1 10:22Goal by Bailey (Jurcina)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, Brewer, Hall, Thompson · NYI Martinek, Jurcina, Moulson, Comeau, Bailey

  18. P1 13:10Shot by Hamonic, saved by Roloson
  19. P1 14:58Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Montoya
  20. P1 15:53Shot by Bergeron, saved by Montoya
  21. P1 17:18Shot by Jones, saved by Montoya
  22. P1 17:56Shot by Hedman, saved by Montoya
  23. P1 19:23Shot by Purcell, saved by Montoya
  24. P1 19:34Shot by Okposo, saved by Roloson
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 1:11Shot by Grabner, saved by Roloson
  28. P2 1:31Shot by Moore, saved by Montoya
  29. P2 1:41Shot by Grabner, saved by Roloson
  30. P2 2:01Shot by St. Louis, saved by Montoya
  31. P2 3:59Shot by Hamonic, saved by Roloson
  32. P2 4:22Shot by Purcell, saved by Montoya
  33. P2 4:30Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Montoya
  34. P2 5:16Goal by Okposo (Jurcina, Grabner)+24 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Gagne, Bergeron, Stamkos, Hedman · NYI Jurcina, Nielsen, Okposo, Grabner, Hillen

  35. P2 7:07Shot by Parenteau, saved by Roloson
  36. P2 7:52Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Montoya
  37. P2 8:52Shot by St. Louis, saved by Montoya
  38. P2 11:20Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Montoya
  39. P2 11:50Shot by MacDonald, saved by Roloson
  40. P2 12:10Shot by Moore, saved by Montoya
  41. P2 12:34Shot by St. Louis, saved by Montoya
  42. P2 13:39Goal by Martin (Hillen, Konopka)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, Lecavalier, Bergeron, Thompson, Purcell · NYI Jurcina, Konopka, Haley, Hillen, Martin

  43. P2 15:32Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Montoya
  44. P2 16:18Shot by Gervais, saved by Roloson
  45. P2 17:52Shot by Hall, saved by Montoya
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 0:05Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Montoya
  49. P3 0:15Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Montoya
  50. P3 0:51Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Montoya
  51. P3 0:52Parenteau: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, Kubina, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Bergenheim · NYI Parenteau, Moulson, MacDonald, Hamonic, Tavares

  52. P3 1:02Shot by Grabner, saved by Roloson5v4
  53. P3 1:53Shot by St. Louis, saved by Montoya5v4
  54. P3 3:29Shot by Brewer, saved by Montoya
  55. P3 3:35Shot by Brewer, saved by Montoya
  56. P3 4:00Shot by Konopka, saved by Roloson
  57. P3 4:30Shot by St. Louis, saved by Montoya
  58. P3 5:07Shot by Grabner, saved by Roloson
  59. P3 5:08Brewer: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, Brewer, Lecavalier, Thompson, Purcell · NYI Nielsen, Okposo, Grabner, MacDonald, Hamonic

  60. P3 5:24Shot by Parenteau, saved by Roloson4v5
  61. P3 5:48Shot by Parenteau, saved by Roloson4v5
  62. P3 7:38Comeau: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Gagne, Lundin, Stamkos · NYI Martinek, Comeau, Joensuu, Hillen, Bailey

  63. P3 8:08Goal by Nielsen, unassisted5v4+3 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Gagne, Stamkos · NYI Konopka, Nielsen, MacDonald, Hamonic

  64. P3 9:02Shot by Jones, saved by Montoya5v4
  65. P3 9:02Martinek: High sticking double minor (4 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Moore, Jones, Tyrell, Hedman · NYI Martinek, Nielsen, Gervais, Grabner

  66. P3 9:23Shot by Purcell, saved by Montoya5v3
  67. P3 9:39Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Montoya5v4
  68. P3 10:31Goal by Moore (Bergenheim, Thompson)5v4+2 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Moore, Bergeron, Bergenheim, Thompson, Hedman · NYI Jurcina, Comeau, Hillen, Bailey

  69. P3 12:18Shot by Bergeron, saved by Montoya5v4
  70. P3 12:36Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Montoya
  71. P3 12:44Shot by Tavares, saved by Roloson
  72. P3 13:20Shot by Hall, saved by Montoya
  73. P3 13:36Tavares: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, Hall, Lundin, Jones, Tyrell · NYI Parenteau, Gervais, Moulson, Hillen, Tavares

  74. P3 13:33Shot by Jones, saved by Montoya
  75. P3 14:17Hamonic: Cross checking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Bergenheim, Lundin · NYI Nielsen, Grabner, MacDonald, Hamonic

  76. P3 14:17Bergenheim: Roughing (2 min)5v3

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Bergenheim, Lundin · NYI Nielsen, Grabner, MacDonald, Hamonic

  77. P3 14:54Shot by Grabner, saved by Roloson5v4
  78. P3 15:37Lecavalier: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, Kubina, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Stamkos · NYI Martinek, Comeau, Hillen, Bailey, Tavares

  79. P3 15:37Hillen: Holding the stick (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Clark, Kubina, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Stamkos · NYI Martinek, Comeau, Hillen, Bailey, Tavares

  80. P3 16:25Shot by Clark, saved by Montoya4v4
  81. P3 18:24Jurcina: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Lecavalier, Gagne, Bergeron, Stamkos · NYI Jurcina, Nielsen, Joensuu, Grabner, Hillen

  82. P3 19:14Goal by Grabner, unassisted6v40 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Gagne, Bergeron, Stamkos · NYI Comeau, Grabner, MacDonald, Hamonic

  83. P3 19:08Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Montoya6v4
  84. P3 19:41Shot by Clark, saved by Montoya5v4
  85. P3 19:51Kubina: Holding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Clark, Kubina, Bergenheim, Thompson, Purcell · NYI Gervais, Hillen, Bailey, Martin

  86. P3 0:00Period end
  87. P3 0:00Final