Tue, Mar 22, 2011·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa
New York Islanders 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 64% of the time.
56%
8%
10%
25%
TBL winsNYI wins
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 22:21 | 0.03 | 39.0% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 21:53 | 0.00 | 31.9% | +39.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 21:16 | 0.03 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 19:19 | 0.07 | 28.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 18:53 | 0.09 | 52.5% | +3.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:48 | 0.01 | 17.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:29 | 0.06 | 12.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:09 | 0.02 | 14.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:01 | 0.15 | 12.9% | +15.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 15:52 | 0.95 | 52.0% | +24.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:44 | 0.09 | 13.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:38 | 0.14 | 11.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:30 | 0.00 | 9.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:16 | 0.14 | 44.9% | +23.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 10:45 | 0.01 | 46.4% | +14.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:39 | 0.17 | 46.1% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:51 | 0.00 | 20.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 8:31 | 0.00 | 45.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 38 | 36 | 2 | .947 | 2.83 | +0.8 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 6 | 22:35 | 0.39 | 71.0% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 5 | 20:25 | 0.30 | 70.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19:38 | 0.44 | 71.0% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:55 | 0.44 | 71.9% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:11 | 0.04 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 17:58 | 0.07 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:48 | 0.04 | 89.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:28 | 0.00 | 71.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:28 | 0.11 | 85.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:56 | 0.22 | 79.2% | +2.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:36 | 0.00 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:28 | 0.00 | 80.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15:17 | 0.39 | 87.6% | +2.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 15:10 | 0.09 | 42.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 11:53 | 0.05 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:56 | 0.00 | 76.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:42 | 0.21 | 69.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:28 | 0.04 | 86.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 23 | 4 | .852 | 1.33 | −2.7 | 59:09 |