Thu, Mar 31, 2011·TD Garden, Boston
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Boston Bruins 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 58% of the time.
33%
9%
10%
48%
BOS winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 30:25 | 0.10 | 37.6% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 30:23 | 0.14 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 22:53 | 0.11 | 35.6% | +49.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:31 | 0.02 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 19:57 | 0.70 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:42 | 0.14 | 52.5% | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 18:51 | 0.26 | 67.9% | +50.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:16 | 0.11 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:22 | 0.12 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 17:21 | 0.25 | 57.8% | +69.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:28 | 0.19 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:15 | 0.03 | 19.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:05 | 0.15 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:39 | 0.09 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:16 | 0.03 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:37 | 0.04 | 11.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:47 | 0.10 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:12 | 0.00 | 7.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 38 | 35 | 3 | .921 | 2.18 | −0.8 | 64:55 |
Boston Bruins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 25:26 | 0.13 | 78.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 24:03 | 0.03 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 22:46 | 0.31 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 21:23 | 0.05 | 59.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:47 | 0.06 | 55.1% | +21.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 19:28 | 0.11 | 47.5% | +21.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:03 | 0.19 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18:38 | 0.11 | 43.1% | +44.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:34 | 0.26 | 59.1% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:20 | 0.11 | 63.0% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 15:52 | 0.23 | 61.5% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 13:57 | 0.07 | 80.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:33 | 0.00 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:57 | 0.07 | 67.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:24 | 0.04 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:21 | 0.15 | 74.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:43 | 0.12 | 72.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:21 | 0.15 | 58.9% | 0.0 |
| O | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 2.59 | −0.4 | 64:56 |