Wed, Oct 19, 2011·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Winnipeg Jets 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 70% of the time.
21%
10%
8%
61%
TOR winsWPG wins
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 31:05 | 0.04 | 55.3% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 29:26 | 0.28 | 47.9% | +31.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:27 | 0.40 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:25 | 0.24 | 60.6% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:17 | 0.09 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20:20 | 0.75 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:02 | 0.00 | 27.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:43 | 0.01 | 61.0% | +20.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:32 | 0.20 | 48.9% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:41 | 0.00 | 68.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:25 | 0.02 | 34.7% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:41 | 0.00 | 18.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:39 | 0.01 | 82.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11:48 | 0.18 | 62.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:17 | 0.02 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:16 | 0.02 | 20.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10:27 | 0.33 | 52.1% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:32 | 0.15 | 75.0% | +15.6 |
| O | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 1.63 | −1.4 | 65:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27:22 | 0.05 | 31.1% | +33.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26:35 | 0.01 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 0 | 25:54 | 0.00 | 40.6% | +47.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 25:09 | 0.05 | 69.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 5 | 23:32 | 0.38 | 62.5% | +63.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:19 | 0.02 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 19:17 | 0.39 | 67.9% | +30.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:31 | 0.00 | 63.5% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:27 | 0.21 | 74.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:29 | 0.35 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:00 | 0.04 | 30.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:58 | 0.00 | 26.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:33 | 0.02 | 6.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:33 | 0.00 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:06 | 0.09 | 24.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:02 | 0.00 | 76.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:54 | 0.03 | 25.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:49 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 2.73 | −0.3 | 65:00 |