Sat, Oct 22, 2011·Centre Bell, Montreal
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Montréal Canadiens 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 51% of the time.
41%
10%
10%
39%
MTL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 28:48 | 0.20 | 59.3% | +53.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 24:08 | 0.03 | 27.4% | +72.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:03 | 0.02 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 19:37 | 0.03 | 50.7% | +16.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18:50 | 0.35 | 32.9% | +85.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:46 | 0.50 | 78.4% | +16.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18:32 | 0.32 | 47.4% | +71.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:09 | 0.01 | 20.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:09 | 0.16 | 21.1% | +20.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:03 | 0.00 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:00 | 0.10 | 28.0% | +33.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:42 | 0.17 | 70.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:31 | 0.07 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:55 | 0.17 | 67.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:22 | 0.02 | 36.3% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:03 | 0.24 | 29.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:03 | 0.00 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:02 | 0.00 | 32.7% | 0.0 |
| – | 10 | 9 | 1 | .900 | 0.72 | −0.3 | 19:49 | |
| W | 18 | 15 | 3 | .833 | 1.71 | −1.3 | 41:23 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25:43 | 0.11 | 71.6% | +29.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 22:49 | 0.26 | 59.5% | +29.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22:16 | 0.46 | 68.6% | +29.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:11 | 0.01 | 27.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:20 | 0.00 | 70.7% | +29.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 20:32 | 0.55 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:49 | 0.02 | 61.2% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 0 | 17:17 | 0.03 | 45.4% | +36.3 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 16:06 | 0.38 | 50.4% | +46.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:51 | 0.04 | 60.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:42 | 0.00 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 15:16 | 0.16 | 52.5% | +48.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:59 | 0.00 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13:55 | 0.26 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:08 | 0.03 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:15 | 0.00 | 57.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:18 | 0.12 | 57.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:38 | 0.01 | 12.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 27 | 22 | 5 | .815 | 2.39 | −2.6 | 61:23 |