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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 29, 2011·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Florida Panthers 3, Buffalo Sabres 2

Away

Florida Panthers

3

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 73% of the time.

BUF winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:25Shot by Gerbe, saved by Theodore
  3. P1 1:10Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Miller
  4. P1 2:10Shot by Stafford, saved by Theodore
  5. P1 2:21Shot by Sturm, saved by Miller
  6. P1 2:41Shot by Matthias, saved by Miller
  7. P1 2:45Shot by McCormick, saved by Theodore
  8. P1 8:09Shot by Adam, saved by Theodore
  9. P1 8:24Shot by Skille, saved by Miller
  10. P1 9:55Shot by Boyes, saved by Theodore
  11. P1 10:57Myers: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Gaustad, Kaleta, Gerbe, Myers · FLA Campbell, Weiss, Fleischmann, Versteeg, Garrison

  12. P1 13:05Skille: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Roy, Ehrhoff, Stafford, Sekera, Leino · FLA Weaver, Goc, Upshall, Skille, Garrison

  13. P1 15:12Shot by Kaleta, saved by Theodore
  14. P1 15:24Sturm: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Gaustad, Sekera, Kaleta, Gerbe · FLA Sturm, Weaver, Santorelli, Skille, Garrison

  15. P1 17:30Shot by Sturm, saved by Miller
  16. P1 17:56Shot by Ellis, saved by Theodore
  17. P1 18:54Shot by Sekera, saved by Theodore
  18. P1 19:28Leopold: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Pominville, Vanek, Myers, Adam · FLA Jovanovski, Weiss, Fleischmann, Versteeg, Kulikov

  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 1:01Shot by Kulikov, saved by Miller4v5
  22. P2 1:41Shot by Roy, saved by Theodore
  23. P2 2:35Shot by Skille, saved by Miller
  24. P2 2:46Shot by Skille, saved by Miller
  25. P2 3:49Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Theodore
  26. P2 4:13Shot by Kulikov, saved by Miller
  27. P2 5:02Shot by Sturm, saved by Miller
  28. P2 6:48Goal by Goc (Upshall, Kopecky)+22 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Boyes, Ehrhoff, McCormick, Ellis, Sekera · FLA Jovanovski, Weaver, Kopecky, Goc, Upshall

  29. P2 7:07Stafford: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Roy, Stafford, Gerbe, Myers · FLA Jovanovski, Sturm, Santorelli, Skille, Gudbranson

  30. P2 9:07Shot by Goc, saved by Miller4v5
  31. P2 10:07Shot by Roy, saved by Theodore
  32. P2 10:25Shot by Bradley, saved by Miller
  33. P2 11:30Shot by Weiss, saved by Miller
  34. P2 13:14Shot by Versteeg, saved by Miller
  35. P2 13:29Shot by Stafford, saved by Theodore
  36. P2 14:40Shot by Jovanovski, saved by Miller
  37. P2 15:10Shot by Skille, saved by Miller
  38. P2 15:28Skille: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Pominville, Vanek, Gragnani, Adam · FLA Campbell, Goc, Upshall, Skille, Garrison

  39. P2 17:48Shot by Skille, saved by Miller
  40. P2 18:14Goal by Vanek (Adam, Myers)+27 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Pominville, Vanek, Myers, Adam · FLA Bradley, Campbell, Weaver, Kennedy, Matthias

  41. P2 19:27Shot by Stafford, saved by Theodore
  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 0:37Shot by Versteeg, saved by Miller
  45. P3 0:55Shot by Stafford, saved by Theodore
  46. P3 1:03Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Theodore
  47. P3 2:27Shot by Santorelli, saved by Miller
  48. P3 3:54Shot by Matthias, saved by Miller
  49. P3 3:59Shot by Bradley, saved by Miller
  50. P3 4:27Shot by Versteeg, saved by Miller
  51. P3 5:23Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Miller
  52. P3 6:24Shot by Bradley, saved by Miller
  53. P3 7:31Shot by Jovanovski, saved by Miller
  54. P3 8:28Shot by Leopold, saved by Theodore
  55. P3 8:33Shot by Roy, saved by Theodore
  56. P3 10:07Shot by Roy, saved by Theodore
  57. P3 10:26Shot by Roy, saved by Theodore
  58. P3 10:36Shot by Upshall, saved by Miller
  59. P3 11:34Shot by Skille, saved by Miller
  60. P3 11:43Matthias: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Pominville, Vanek, Myers, Adam · FLA Campbell, Santorelli, Skille, Matthias, Garrison

  61. P3 12:39Shot by Vanek, saved by Theodore5v4
  62. P3 12:53Goal by Pominville (Boyes, Ehrhoff)5v4+29 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Boyes, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Myers · FLA Jovanovski, Weiss, Versteeg, Kulikov

  63. P3 13:15Sturm: Boarding (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Roy, Ellis, Stafford, Gragnani · FLA Sturm, Campbell, Santorelli, Skille, Garrison

  64. P3 13:15Sturm: Game misconduct (10 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Roy, Ellis, Stafford, Gragnani · FLA Sturm, Campbell, Santorelli, Skille, Garrison

  65. P3 13:15Stafford: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Roy, Ellis, Stafford, Gragnani · FLA Sturm, Campbell, Santorelli, Skille, Garrison

  66. P3 13:18Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Miller4v4
  67. P3 13:55Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Miller4v4
  68. P3 14:05Shot by Roy, saved by Theodore4v4
  69. P3 14:23Shot by Gerbe, saved by Theodore4v4
  70. P3 14:41Gerbe: Tripping (2 min)4v4

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Pominville, Gerbe, Myers · FLA Campbell, Weiss, Versteeg, Kulikov

  71. P3 14:41Gerbe: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)3v4

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Pominville, Gerbe, Myers · FLA Campbell, Weiss, Versteeg, Kulikov

  72. P3 15:33Shot by Campbell, saved by Miller4v4
  73. P3 16:02Goal by Fleischmann (Kopecky, Garrison)4v4+37 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Roy, Pominville, Ehrhoff · FLA Weaver, Kopecky, Fleischmann, Kulikov

  74. P3 16:10Shot by Upshall, saved by Miller4v4
  75. P3 16:14Shot by Santorelli, saved by Miller4v4
  76. P3 16:21Shot by Pominville, saved by Theodore4v4
  77. P3 17:14Shot by Matthias, saved by Miller4v4
  78. P3 18:17Goal by Garrison (Campbell, Kopecky)4v5+48 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Roy, Ehrhoff, Stafford · FLA Bradley, Campbell, Kopecky, Versteeg, Garrison

  79. P3 19:11Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Theodore6v5
  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final