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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 29, 2011·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Florida Panthers 3, Buffalo Sabres 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 73% of the time.

BUF winsFLA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Weiss–Fleischmann–VersteegKopecky–Goc–UpshallSturm–Santorelli–SkilleBradley–Kennedy–MatthiasFleischmann–Versteeg–KennedyCampbell–GarrisonWeaver–KulikovJovanovski–GudbransonCampbell–KulikovCampbell–GudbransonGarrison–Gudbranson
Pominville–Vanek–Adam3:170.00–0.261:120.01–0.002:410.06–0.190:430.03–0.005:100.00–0.371:230.01–0.030:510.00–0.07
Gaustad–Kaleta–Gerbe4:280.03–0.102:390.03–0.020:340.07–0.002:410.03–0.091:510.08–0.001:550.00–0.010:430.00–0.02
Boyes–McCormick–Ellis0:520.02–0.080:490.00–0.002:270.03–0.060:480.06–0.000:540.00–0.002:540.05–0.060:540.00–0.090:480.06–0.00
Roy–Stafford–Leino1:310.03–0.052:150.07–0.050:510.00–0.000:510.00–0.051:400.03–0.051:350.07–0.00
Roy–Stafford–Gerbe1:140.07–0.000:360.00–0.000:350.05–0.021:320.05–0.000:350.05–0.020:570.07–0.00
Roy–Ellis–Stafford0:430.09–0.000:300.00–0.001:070.15–0.000:380.00–0.001:300.16–0.00
Boyes–Vanek–Adam0:320.00–0.000:560.00–0.07
Ehrhoff–Sekera1:000.00–0.094:230.14–0.092:270.06–0.072:470.19–0.023:030.05–0.066:050.25–0.031:330.07–0.100:450.06–0.00
Regehr–Myers5:570.03–0.201:550.02–0.030:340.03–0.001:180.05–0.024:340.03–0.183:360.07–0.121:470.00–0.01
Leopold–Gragnani1:090.08–0.100:300.00–0.023:590.07–0.183:170.00–0.044:520.00–0.261:330.00–0.093:260.15–0.00
Leopold–Myers1:100.00–0.08
Regehr–Sekera0:530.06–0.000:530.06–0.00
Regehr–Ehrhoff0:370.00–0.020:370.00–0.02
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndGaustad FKaleta FGerbe FVanek FPominville FAdam FRoy FStafford FLeino FMcCormick FBoyes FEllis FEhrhoff DSekera DRegehr DMyers DLeopold DGragnani DMiller GUpshall FGoc FKopecky FWeiss FFleischmann FVersteeg FSantorelli FSkille FSturm FKennedy FBradley FMatthias FKulikov DWeaver DCampbell DGarrison DGudbranson DJovanovski DTheodore G
BUFFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jason GarrisonFLA2926:330:551:5132
Brian CampbellFLA3026:000:522:5632
Christian EhrhoffBUF2625:280:591:4347
Dmitry KulikovFLA3024:060:481:2551
Andrej SekeraBUF2720:470:461:3018
Kris VersteegFLA2520:360:491:4923
Robyn RegehrBUF2520:270:491:3022
Thomas VanekBUF2219:540:541:5053
Stephen WeissFLA2319:540:521:4923
Jason PominvilleBUF2219:330:531:5062
Mike WeaverFLA2819:290:421:2055
Tyler MyersBUF2619:180:451:2431
Jordan LeopoldBUF2418:190:461:1802
Tomas FleischmannFLA2317:450:461:3233
Tomas KopeckyFLA2416:340:411:1546
Marcel GocFLA2216:270:451:3824
Derek RoyBUF2116:010:461:1625
Marc-Andre GragnaniBUF1816:000:532:0333
Drew StaffordBUF2315:500:411:1624
Luke AdamBUF2015:310:471:2332
Paul GaustadBUF1914:210:451:1434
Patrick KaletaBUF1814:070:471:3133
Brad BoyesBUF1514:040:561:2342
Ed JovanovskiFLA2213:420:371:1042
Scottie UpshallFLA2013:240:401:1532
Nathan GerbeBUF1813:140:441:1741
Mike SantorelliFLA1912:490:401:0841
Jack SkilleFLA1811:310:381:0421
Marco SturmFLA1810:580:371:0041
Shawn MatthiasFLA1410:240:451:2140
Erik GudbransonFLA1410:100:441:1021
Matt EllisBUF159:550:401:0924
Ville LeinoBUF149:350:411:0214
Tim KennedyFLA128:590:451:2040
Matt BradleyFLA128:290:421:2040
Cody McCormickBUF117:020:381:1013