Tue, Nov 8, 2011·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Winnipeg Jets 5, Buffalo Sabres 6 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 83% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 2:39Shot by Wellwood, saved by Miller
- P1 4:48Goal by Flood (Glass, Slater)+14 pts WP
On ice: BUF Roy, Stafford, Sekera, Leino, Myers · WPG Wellwood, Slater, Flood, Glass, Festerling
- P1 5:54Goal by Little (Wheeler, Ladd)+15 pts WP
On ice: BUF Regehr, Leopold, McCormick, Ellis, Tropp · WPG Stuart, Ladd, Wheeler, Little, Bogosian
- P1 6:08Shot by Ladd, saved by Miller
- P1 6:28Shot by Oduya, saved by Miller
- P1 6:38Shot by Gaustad, saved by Pavelec6v5
- P1 6:39Burmistrov: Charging (2 min)6v5
On ice: BUF Boyes, Gaustad, Roy, Sekera, Gerbe, Myers · WPG Antropov, Oduya, Byfuglien, Kane, Burmistrov
- P1 7:55Shot by Pominville, saved by Pavelec5v4
- P1 8:36Shot by Adam, saved by Pavelec5v4
- P1 8:41Shot by Leino, saved by Pavelec
- P1 8:43Shot by Adam, saved by Pavelec
- P1 8:46Shot by Gragnani, saved by Pavelec
- P1 8:47Antropov: Cross checking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Stafford, Gragnani, Leino, Adam · WPG Antropov, Stuart, Glass, Bogosian, Burmistrov
- P1 9:05Goal by Roy (Myers)5v4+13 pts WP
On ice: BUF Boyes, Roy, Pominville, Vanek, Myers · WPG Thorburn, Slater, Stuart, Bogosian
- P1 9:15Shot by Tropp, saved by Pavelec
- P1 9:16Goal by Tropp (Gerbe, Gaustad)+16 pts WP
On ice: BUF Regehr, Leopold, Gaustad, Gerbe, Tropp · WPG Oduya, Byfuglien, Ladd, Wheeler, Little
- P1 11:23Shot by Wellwood, saved by Miller
- P1 11:25Goal by Glass (Wellwood, Oduya)+16 pts WP
On ice: BUF Roy, Pominville, Sekera, Leino, Myers · WPG Wellwood, Oduya, Byfuglien, Glass, Stapleton
- P1 11:39Shot by Wheeler, saved by Miller
- P1 11:47Shot by Gerbe, saved by Pavelec
- P1 12:25Leopold: Holding (2 min)
On ice: BUF Regehr, Leopold, Pominville, Vanek, Adam · WPG Antropov, Oduya, Byfuglien, Kane, Burmistrov
- P1 12:52Shot by Burmistrov, saved by Miller4v5
- P1 13:06Goal by Pominville (Gaustad)4v5+17 pts WP
On ice: BUF Regehr, Gaustad, Pominville, Ehrhoff · WPG Antropov, Byfuglien, Stapleton, Kane, Burmistrov
- P1 13:54Shot by Bogosian, saved by Miller4v5
- P1 14:31Shot by Little, saved by Miller
- P1 15:18Shot by Gragnani, saved by Pavelec
- P1 15:20Shot by Roy, saved by Pavelec
- P1 16:06Shot by Slater, saved by Miller
- P1 16:24Shot by Pominville, saved by Pavelec
- P1 17:39Kane: Holding (2 min)
On ice: BUF Roy, Stafford, Sekera, Leino, Myers · WPG Antropov, Oduya, Byfuglien, Kane, Burmistrov
- P1 18:06Shot by Vanek, saved by Pavelec5v4
- P1 18:08Shot by Vanek, saved by Pavelec5v4
- P1 18:14Bogosian: Hooking (2 min)5v4
On ice: BUF Boyes, Roy, Pominville, Vanek, Myers · WPG Thorburn, Slater, Stuart, Bogosian
- P1 18:52Shot by Pominville, saved by Pavelec5v3
- P1 19:23Shot by Roy, saved by Pavelec5v3
- P1 19:43Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Pavelec5v4
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 0:30Gerbe: Holding the stick (2 min)
On ice: BUF Boyes, Gaustad, Sekera, Gerbe, Myers · WPG Oduya, Stuart, Ladd, Little, Bogosian
- P2 1:07Goal by Little (Byfuglien, Stapleton)4v5+18 pts WP
On ice: BUF Regehr, Leopold, Roy, Stafford · WPG Wellwood, Byfuglien, Ladd, Stapleton, Little
- P2 1:48Shot by Adam, saved by Pavelec
- P2 1:49Shot by Adam, saved by Pavelec
- P2 3:03Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Pavelec
- P2 3:24Shot by Little, saved by Miller
- P2 3:42Shot by Little, saved by Miller
- P2 3:47Shot by Stuart, saved by Miller
- P2 3:49Shot by Wheeler, saved by Miller
- P2 3:52Ladd: Interference (2 min)
On ice: BUF Boyes, Gaustad, Sekera, Gerbe, Myers · WPG Stuart, Ladd, Wheeler, Little, Bogosian
- P2 4:16Shot by Stafford, saved by Pavelec5v4
- P2 4:21Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Pavelec5v4
- P2 5:09Shot by Burmistrov, saved by Miller5v4
- P2 5:10Shot by Burmistrov, saved by Miller5v4
- P2 7:43Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Miller
- P2 7:59Shot by Wellwood, saved by Miller
- P2 8:11Shot by McCormick, saved by Pavelec
- P2 8:16McCormick: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, McCormick, Ellis, Gragnani, Tropp · WPG Wellwood, Slater, Flood, Glass, Festerling
- P2 8:16Glass: Fighting (5 min)4v5
On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, McCormick, Ellis, Gragnani, Tropp · WPG Wellwood, Slater, Flood, Glass, Festerling
- P2 8:34Shot by Little, saved by Miller
- P2 8:44Shot by Bogosian, saved by Miller
- P2 9:08Gerbe: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: BUF Boyes, Gaustad, Sekera, Gerbe, Myers · WPG Antropov, Oduya, Byfuglien, Kane, Burmistrov
- P2 11:03Shot by Gaustad, saved by Pavelec4v5
- P2 14:29Shot by Boyes, saved by Pavelec
- P2 15:48Goal by Vanek (Boyes, Roy)5v4+29 pts WP
On ice: BUF Boyes, Roy, Pominville, Vanek, Myers · WPG Thorburn, Slater, Stuart, Bogosian
- P2 15:26Ladd: Holding (2 min)
On ice: BUF Regehr, Leopold, Pominville, Vanek, Adam · WPG Stuart, Ladd, Wheeler, Little, Bogosian
- P2 19:18Shot by Wheeler, saved by Miller
- P2 19:18Adam: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Regehr, Leopold, Pominville, Vanek, Adam · WPG Stuart, Ladd, Wheeler, Little, Bogosian
- P2 0:00Kane: Holding (2 min)4v5
On ice: BUF Gaustad, Ehrhoff, Gerbe, Myers · WPG Antropov, Byfuglien, Stapleton, Kane, Burmistrov
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:27Shot by Wheeler, saved by Miller4v4
- P3 0:48Goal by Byfuglien (Wheeler)4v4+29 pts WP
On ice: BUF Pominville, Vanek, Sekera, Myers · WPG Stuart, Byfuglien, Wheeler, Little
- P3 1:26Shot by Little, saved by Miller5v4
- P3 2:59Shot by Gaustad, saved by Pavelec
- P3 3:40Shot by Stafford, saved by Pavelec
- P3 3:40Byfuglien: Holding (2 min)
On ice: BUF Regehr, Leopold, Roy, Stafford, Leino · WPG Oduya, Byfuglien, Ladd, Wheeler, Little
- P3 4:04Myers: Interference (2 min)5v4
On ice: BUF Boyes, Roy, Pominville, Vanek, Myers · WPG Stuart, Bogosian, Kane, Burmistrov
- P3 4:49Shot by Vanek, saved by Pavelec4v4
- P3 6:50Shot by Leino, saved by Pavelec
- P3 7:10Shot by Myers, saved by Pavelec
- P3 8:58Shot by Burmistrov, saved by Miller
- P3 9:25Shot by Sekera, saved by Pavelec
- P3 11:12Shot by Gaustad, saved by Pavelec
- P3 11:13Shot by Gaustad, saved by Pavelec
- P3 11:14Oduya: Cross checking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Regehr, Leopold, Boyes, Gaustad, Gerbe · WPG Wellwood, Oduya, Slater, Byfuglien, Glass
- P3 11:26Shot by Roy, saved by Pavelec5v4
- P3 12:51Bogosian: High sticking (2 min)5v4
On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Stafford, Gragnani, Leino, Adam · WPG Stuart, Ladd, Little, Bogosian
- P3 13:25Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Pavelec5v4
- P3 13:34Shot by Pominville, saved by Pavelec5v4
- P3 13:35Stuart: Roughing (2 min)5v4
On ice: BUF Roy, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Gragnani · WPG Oduya, Stuart, Festerling, Little
- P3 13:52Goal by Roy (Pominville, Ehrhoff)5v3+39 pts WP
On ice: BUF Roy, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Gragnani · WPG Oduya, Flood, Little
- P3 14:56Shot by Bogosian, saved by Miller5v4
- P3 17:03Shot by Slater, saved by Miller
- P3 17:49Shot by Boyes, saved by Pavelec
- P3 19:59Shot by Leopold, saved by Pavelec
- P3 0:00Period end
- OT 0:00Period start
- OT 1:59Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Miller4v4
- OT 3:00Shot by Pominville, saved by Pavelec4v4
- OT 4:05Wheeler: Hooking (2 min)4v4
On ice: BUF Regehr, Leopold, Stafford, Gerbe · WPG Wellwood, Flood, Wheeler, Bogosian
- OT 4:05Byfuglien: Misconduct (10 min)4v3
On ice: BUF Regehr, Leopold, Stafford, Gerbe · WPG Wellwood, Flood, Wheeler, Bogosian
- OT 4:23Shot by Gragnani, saved by Pavelec4v3
- OT 4:35Goal by Vanek (Pominville, Gragnani)4v3+48 pts WP
On ice: BUF Roy, Pominville, Vanek, Gragnani · WPG Stuart, Little, Bogosian
- OT 4:35Period end
- OT 4:35Final